Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>With a 5-week rally <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> is in overbought territory and quantitative models flag potential for a pullback.</li>
<li>Options may be underpricing the downside risk, creating an attractive opportunity to buy cheap options with high payoff potential.</li>
<li>This Insight outlines an option strategy combining quantitative signals with volatility analysis.</li>
</ul>


With a 5-week rally China Mobile (941 HK) is in overbought territory and quantitative models flag potential for a pullback.
Options may be underpricing the downside risk, creating an attractive opportunity to buy cheap options with high payoff potential.
This Insight outlines an option strategy combining quantitative signals with volatility analysis.


China Mobile (941 HK) Poised for Pullback: A Tactical Low-Cost Options Play With High Upside

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review cutoff done, there could be one change for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-ftse-a50-china-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:249:1" rel="noopener">iShares A50 China (2823 HK)</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csop-ftse-china-a50-etf-26e3b671-fa47-4165-a12e-bf841640c5a3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23664:1" rel="noopener">CSOP China A50 (HKD) (2822 HK)</a> ETFs in June.</li>
<li>As the highest ranked non-ETF member, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seres-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29951:1" rel="noopener">Seres Group (601127 CH)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-united-network-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12620:1" rel="noopener">China United Network A (600050 CH)</a> in the ETF at the close on 20 June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-united-network-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12620:1" rel="noopener">China United Network A (600050 CH)</a> was added to the ETF in March, so this could be a very short stint in the ETF for the stock.</li>
</ul>


With the review cutoff done, there could be one change for the iShares A50 China (2823 HK)/ CSOP China A50 (HKD) (2822 HK) ETFs in June.
As the highest ranked non-ETF member, Seres Group (601127 CH) could replace China United Network A (600050 CH) in the ETF at the close on 20 June.

China United Network A (600050 CH) was added to the ETF in March, so this could be a very short stint in the ETF for the stock.


China A50 ETFs Rebalance Preview: One Change Highly Likely

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 83.3% as of Mar 21st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.4ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, consumer discretionary, communication services and offset by consumer staples, financials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Huadian Power, Livzon Pharma, Joinn Lab, Maanshan Iron&amp;Steel, Datang Intl Power.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 83.3% as of Mar 21st.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.4ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, consumer discretionary, communication services and offset by consumer staples, financials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Huadian Power, Livzon Pharma, Joinn Lab, Maanshan Iron&amp;Steel, Datang Intl Power.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 21st): 47 Stocks at 52 Week High A-H Premium

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd-cca8f162-fa93-4d59-944e-86bad7251e5c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35371:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (600941 CH)</a> will release 2024 results on Thursday 20 March 2025. </li>
<li>Historically, the stock shows minimal post-earnings volatility, with rare exceptions. Options markets project moderate movement. Opportunities exist for investors with strong directional conviction.</li>
<li>Given China Mobile's recent history of dividend increases and strong stock performance, a significant dividend boost is possible.</li>
</ul>



China Mobile (941 HK) / China Mobile (600941 CH) will release 2024 results on Thursday 20 March 2025. 
Historically, the stock shows minimal post-earnings volatility, with rare exceptions. Options markets project moderate movement. Opportunities exist for investors with strong directional conviction.
Given China Mobile's recent history of dividend increases and strong stock performance, a significant dividend boost is possible.


China Mobile (941 HK): Expected Move on Profit Announcement and Option Insights

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 83.5% as of Mar 14th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.9ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, consumer staples, energy and offset by information technology, real estate, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CIMC, Sinotrans, Joinn Lab, Huahong Semicon, Huaneng Power, Tigermed, Asymchem Lab.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 83.5% as of Mar 14th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.9ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, consumer staples, energy and offset by information technology, real estate, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CIMC, Sinotrans, Joinn Lab, Huahong Semicon, Huaneng Power, Tigermed, Asymchem Lab.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 14th): CIMC, Sinotrans, Joinn Lab, Huahong Semicon, Huaneng Power

China

China Mobile Limited provides telecommunication services. The Company offers wireline voice, broadband, roaming, and other related services. China Mobile serves customers throughout the mainland of China and in Hong Kong.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Mobile (600941 CH)

China Mobile (941 HK) Poised for Pullback: A Tactical Low-Cost Options Play With High Upside

China Mobile (941 HK) is overbought and may see a pullback, creating an opportunity to buy cheap options with high payoff potential.

Gaudenz Schneider

China A50 ETFs Rebalance Preview: One Change Highly Likely

Seres could replace China United Network in the ETFs in June. This is the latest index/ETF inclusion for Seres. China United Network was added to...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 21st): 47 Stocks at 52 Week High A-H Premium

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Huadian Power, Livzon Pharma, Joinn Lab, Maanshan...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Mobile (941 HK): Expected Move on Profit Announcement and Option Insights

China Mobile to release 2024 results with potential for significant dividend boost and opportunities for investors with strong directional...

Gaudenz Schneider

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 14th): CIMC, Sinotrans, Joinn Lab, Huahong Semicon, Huaneng Power

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for CIMC, Sinotrans, Joinn Lab, Huahong Semicon, Huaneng Power,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Mobile (941 HK) Poised for Pullback: A Tactical Low-Cost Options Play With High Upside

​China Mobile (941 HK) is overbought and may see a pullback, creating an opportunity to buy cheap options with high payoff potential.

Gaudenz Schneider

China A50 ETFs Rebalance Preview: One Change Highly Likely

Seres could replace China United Network in the ETFs in June. This is the latest index/ETF inclusion for Seres. China United Network was added to...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 21st): 47 Stocks at 52 Week High A-H Premium

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Huadian Power, Livzon Pharma, Joinn Lab, Maanshan...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Mobile (941 HK): Expected Move on Profit Announcement and Option Insights

​China Mobile to release 2024 results with potential for significant dividend boost and opportunities for investors with strong directional...

Gaudenz Schneider

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 14th): CIMC, Sinotrans, Joinn Lab, Huahong Semicon, Huaneng Power

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for CIMC, Sinotrans, Joinn Lab, Huahong Semicon, Huaneng Power,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Mobile (941 HK) is overbought and may see a pullback, creating an opportunity to buy cheap options with high payoff potential.

China Mobile to release 2024 results with potential for significant dividend boost and opportunities for investors with strong directional...