Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This past week saw SOUTHBOUND Connect clear HK$800bn of gross value traded, and net value was near recent highs at +HK$51bn. Consumer and finance names continue to be the rage.</li>
<li>Notable is the HUGE back-and-forth. If HK$800bn traded and SOUTHBOUND only bought HK$51bn, HK$375bn was round-tripped for short-term purposes.</li>
<li>That is twice the "excess" traded seen for the past year. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> saw US$14bn traded but net buying was US$121mm. </li>
</ul>


This past week saw SOUTHBOUND Connect clear HK$800bn of gross value traded, and net value was near recent highs at +HK$51bn. Consumer and finance names continue to be the rage.
Notable is the HUGE back-and-forth. If HK$800bn traded and SOUTHBOUND only bought HK$51bn, HK$375bn was round-tripped for short-term purposes.
That is twice the "excess" traded seen for the past year. Tencent (700 HK) saw US$14bn traded but net buying was US$121mm. 


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 21 Feb 2025); Another HUGE Jump in Value Traded, Consumer Still Bid

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We continue to be led down the garden path - no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> in March means we remain at 83 members.</li>
<li>Despite having an opportunity to add stocks to the index without increasing turnover, the index committee have done nothing. Which begs the question - what exactly are they waiting for?</li>
<li>Float and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 3.8% and the resulting round-trip trade is HK$16.7bn (US$2.15bn).</li>
</ul>


We continue to be led down the garden path - no constituent changes for the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) in March means we remain at 83 members.
Despite having an opportunity to add stocks to the index without increasing turnover, the index committee have done nothing. Which begs the question - what exactly are they waiting for?
Float and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 3.8% and the resulting round-trip trade is HK$16.7bn (US$2.15bn).


Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: Does Anyone Know What the Index Committee Is Thinking?

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kaonavi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29703:1" rel="noopener">Kaonavi Inc (4435 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smart-share-global-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32217:1" rel="noopener">Smart Share Global (EM US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR Group (1821 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/makino-milling-machine-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5200:1" rel="noopener">Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shibaura-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12704:1" rel="noopener">Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/millennium-copthorne-hotels-nz-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5040:1" rel="noopener">Millennium &amp; Copthorne Hotels Nz (MCK NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avjennings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12578:1" rel="noopener">Avjennings Ltd (AVJ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insignia-financial-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12349:1" rel="noopener">Insignia Financial (IFL AU)</a>. 
</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads: Kaonavi Inc (4435 JP), Lifestyle China (2136 HK), Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP), Smart Share Global (EM US), ESR Group (1821 HK), Vesync (2148 HK). 
Lowest spreads: Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP), Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP), Millennium &amp; Copthorne Hotels Nz (MCK NZ), Avjennings Ltd (AVJ AU), Insignia Financial (IFL AU). 



Merger Arb Mondays (17 Feb) - HKBN, Fosun Tourism, Get Nice, 7&I, Shibaura, Kaonavi, Paragon

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> experienced a 6.8% increase over five consecutive positive weeks. This Insight builds on the work of quantitative analysis identifying resistance and support levels.</li>
<li>This Insight presents four different options strategies to combine quantitative insights with volatility and option analysis. </li>
<li>Option strategies cater for both bullish, bearish, or neutral views, and can be tailored to fit a given risk budget.</li>
</ul>



China Mobile (941 HK) experienced a 6.8% increase over five consecutive positive weeks. This Insight builds on the work of quantitative analysis identifying resistance and support levels.
This Insight presents four different options strategies to combine quantitative insights with volatility and option analysis. 
Option strategies cater for both bullish, bearish, or neutral views, and can be tailored to fit a given risk budget.


EQD | China Mobile (941 HK) - Four Option Strategies for the Extended Bull Run.

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technolog" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)</a> filed for an H Share listing to raise US$5 billion, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hexaware-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7882:1" rel="noopener">Hexaware Technologies (HEXW IN)</a> seeks to raise US$1 billion.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trend-micro-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13172:1" rel="noopener">Trend Micro Inc (4704 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kaonavi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29703:1" rel="noopener">Kaonavi Inc (4435 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zenhoren-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40227:1" rel="noopener">Zenhoren (5845 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fosun-tourism-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27439:1" rel="noopener">Fosun Tourism (1992 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paragon-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994:1" rel="noopener">Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP)</a>. 
</li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments: Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH) filed for an H Share listing to raise US$5 billion, and Hexaware Technologies (HEXW IN) seeks to raise US$1 billion.
Event-Driven developments: Trend Micro Inc (4704 JP), Kaonavi Inc (4435 JP), Zenhoren (5845 JP), HKBN Ltd (1310 HK), Fosun Tourism (1992 HK), Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP). 



Weekly Deals Digest (16 Feb) - Trend Micro, Zenhoren, HKBN, Fosun Tourism, Paragon REIT, CATL

Hong Kong

China Mobile Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides cellular telecommunications and related services in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong SAR.

Price Gauge
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China Mobile Ltd Spon Adr (CHL US)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 21 Feb 2025); Another HUGE Jump in Value Traded, Consumer Still Bid

SOUTHBOUND volumes have popped significantly. Lots of day-trading. Still-strong net buying. Tech/Consumer and Finance are still the big net buys.

Travis Lundy

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: Does Anyone Know What the Index Committee Is Thinking?

Another opportunity missed to increase the number of index constituents and decrease the Healthcare underweight with minimal change to index...

Brian Freitas

Merger Arb Mondays (17 Feb) - HKBN, Fosun Tourism, Get Nice, 7&I, Shibaura, Kaonavi, Paragon

This week, the highest gross spreads are Kaonavi (84.0%), Lifestyle China (18.1%), Seven & I (14.7%), Smart Share (8.7%), ESR (6.9%), Vesync...

Arun George

EQD | China Mobile (941 HK) - Four Option Strategies for the Extended Bull Run.

China Mobile (941 HK) saw a 6.8% rise in five weeks. This insights details four options strategies based on resistance/support levels.

Gaudenz Schneider

Weekly Deals Digest (16 Feb) - Trend Micro, Zenhoren, HKBN, Fosun Tourism, Paragon REIT, CATL

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Trend Micro, Kaonavi, Zenhoren, Get Nice Fin, HKBN, Fosun Tourism, Paragon REIT) and ECM...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 21 Feb 2025); Another HUGE Jump in Value Traded, Consumer Still Bid

SOUTHBOUND volumes have popped significantly. Lots of day-trading. Still-strong net buying. Tech/Consumer and Finance are still the big net buys.

Travis Lundy

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: Does Anyone Know What the Index Committee Is Thinking?

Another opportunity missed to increase the number of index constituents and decrease the Healthcare underweight with minimal change to index...

Brian Freitas

Merger Arb Mondays (17 Feb) - HKBN, Fosun Tourism, Get Nice, 7&I, Shibaura, Kaonavi, Paragon

This week, the highest gross spreads are Kaonavi (84.0%), Lifestyle China (18.1%), Seven & I (14.7%), Smart Share (8.7%), ESR (6.9%), Vesync...

Arun George

EQD | China Mobile (941 HK) - Four Option Strategies for the Extended Bull Run.

​China Mobile (941 HK) saw a 6.8% rise in five weeks. This insights details four options strategies based on resistance/support levels.

Gaudenz Schneider

Weekly Deals Digest (16 Feb) - Trend Micro, Zenhoren, HKBN, Fosun Tourism, Paragon REIT, CATL

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Trend Micro, Kaonavi, Zenhoren, Get Nice Fin, HKBN, Fosun Tourism, Paragon REIT) and ECM...

Arun George

China Mobile (941 HK) saw a 6.8% rise in five weeks. This insights details four options strategies based on resistance/support levels.