IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

China Shengmu Organic Milk / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 30 October, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-modern-dairy-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6785:1" rel="noopener">China Modern Dairy (1117 HK)</a> announced a conditional share purchase agreement to acquire 1.28% of outstanding <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-shengmu-organic-milk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12714:1" rel="noopener">China Shengmu Organic Milk (1432 HK)</a> shares at HK$0.35 per share. </li>
<li>The SPA is conditional on SAMR and independent CMD shareholder approval. SPA completion will trigger a mandatory conditional cash offer at HK$0.35 per share.</li>
<li>Post-Completion, CMD and concert parties will hold a 31.26% stake. The offer is conditional on a 50% minimum acceptance condition, which is problematic as the offer is not particularly attractive.  </li>
</ul>


On 30 October, China Modern Dairy (1117 HK) announced a conditional share purchase agreement to acquire 1.28% of outstanding China Shengmu Organic Milk (1432 HK) shares at HK$0.35 per share. 
The SPA is conditional on SAMR and independent CMD shareholder approval. SPA completion will trigger a mandatory conditional cash offer at HK$0.35 per share.
Post-Completion, CMD and concert parties will hold a 31.26% stake. The offer is conditional on a 50% minimum acceptance condition, which is problematic as the offer is not particularly attractive.  


China Shengmu (1432 HK): Possible Offer, Potentially Problematic 50% Min Acceptance Condition

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 15th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Xiaomi, Kuaishou, Wuxi Biologics, Alibaba, BYD Electronic, Anta, China Mobile, China Life, Zai Lab.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 15th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Xiaomi, Kuaishou, Wuxi Biologics, Alibaba, BYD Electronic, Anta, China Mobile, China Life, Zai Lab.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 15th): Xiaomi, Kuaishou, Wuxi Biologics, Alibaba, BYD Electronic, Anta

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

China Longyuan Power Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The H share market continues to be the top performing market in Asia in 2024.  The HSCEI has outperformed all Asian markets on a USD basis.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-longyuan-power-group-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14215:1" rel="noopener">China Longyuan Power (916 HK)</a> was rated a BUY at JP Morgan with the company hosting a roadshow to discuss its future growth strategy. 
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage (2460 HK)</a> was initiated as a BUY at CMB International as the company rapidly expands into the ready-to-drink category with teas and sports drinks.
</li>
</ul>


The H share market continues to be the top performing market in Asia in 2024.  The HSCEI has outperformed all Asian markets on a USD basis.


China Longyuan Power (916 HK) was rated a BUY at JP Morgan with the company hosting a roadshow to discuss its future growth strategy. 


China Resources Beverage (2460 HK) was initiated as a BUY at CMB International as the company rapidly expands into the ready-to-drink category with teas and sports drinks.



BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (December 13)

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong market breadth stays strong despite market pullback in November.  Mainland investors continue to increase exposure to HK market through Southbound Connect platform.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:179:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (BIDU US)</a> , the global leader in Robotaxis, was granted a license to start operating its autonomous cars in Hong Kong.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vitasoy-intl-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2807:1" rel="noopener">Vitasoy Intl Holdings (345 HK)</a> shares surged on takeover rumours after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yeo-hiap-seng-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9051:1" rel="noopener">Yeo Hiap Seng (YHS SP)</a> increased its stake to more than 12% allowing them to call a Board meeting.
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong market breadth stays strong despite market pullback in November.  Mainland investors continue to increase exposure to HK market through Southbound Connect platform.

Baidu (9888 HK) , Baidu (BIDU US) , the global leader in Robotaxis, was granted a license to start operating its autonomous cars in Hong Kong.


Vitasoy Intl Holdings (345 HK) shares surged on takeover rumours after Yeo Hiap Seng (YHS SP) increased its stake to more than 12% allowing them to call a Board meeting.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (December 2)

<ul>
<li>ETF flows showed subdued activity during the week although the Southbound Connect platform had a minor outflow.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-wall-motor-co-ltd-cb302af9-398c-4d2d-ba39-023e43287eef" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:128:1" rel="noopener">Great Wall Motor (2333 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-feihe-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24413:1" rel="noopener">China Feihe (6186 HK)</a> both had positive news sentiment helping their share prices rally on better earnings announcements.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-world-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7037:1" rel="noopener">New World Development (17 HK)</a> announced a major asset impairment write-down sending its stock to historic lows.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36229:1" rel="noopener">China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880 HK)</a> disappointed on 2Q24 sales and profits.
</li>
</ul>


ETF flows showed subdued activity during the week although the Southbound Connect platform had a minor outflow.

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) and China Feihe (6186 HK) both had positive news sentiment helping their share prices rally on better earnings announcements.


New World Development (17 HK) announced a major asset impairment write-down sending its stock to historic lows.  China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880 HK) disappointed on 2Q24 sales and profits.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (September 7)

China

China Modern Dairy is a leading dairy farming operator and raw milk producer in China. The company also engages in the production and sale of animal feed, forage cultivation, dairy cow breeding, and provides digital intelligence platform services. It was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Ma'anshan City, Anhui Province, China.

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China Modern Dairy (1117 HK)

China Shengmu (1432 HK): Possible Offer, Potentially Problematic 50% Min Acceptance Condition

Post-Completion, CMD and concert parties will hold a 31.26% stake. The offer is conditional on a 50% minimum acceptance condition, which is...

Arun George

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 15th): Xiaomi, Kuaishou, Wuxi Biologics, Alibaba, BYD Electronic, Anta

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Xiaomi, Kuaishou, Wuxi Biologics, Alibaba, BYD...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (December 13)

H shares have outperformed all Asian markets this year on a USD basis. Longyuan Power continues to expand its offshore capacity & overseas...

David Mudd

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (December 2)

Hong Kong market breadth is high as mainland investors continue buy HK shares. Baidu, the largest Robotaxi operator was granted license to operate...

David Mudd

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (September 7)

China Feihe beat estmates for 2Q with higher profits and GW Motor substantially increased international sales of EV's. NWD will take a large asset...

David Mudd

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