Equity Analyst, Event-driven, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Equity Analyst, Event-driven

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>I currently see 5 ADDs and 5 DELs but there are several names close to the border and expectations could change before the base date as prices move around.</li>
<li>The estimate for one-way flow in June 2024 is US$1.22bn.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the June 2024 index rebal event.
I currently see 5 ADDs and 5 DELs but there are several names close to the border and expectations could change before the base date as prices move around.
The estimate for one-way flow in June 2024 is US$1.22bn.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 24: 5 Changes; US$1.2bn One-Way

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Since my last insight, my index change expectations and flow expectations have changed significantly.</li>
<li>My latest estimate for one-way flow in June 2024 is US$1.06bn (down from US$1.22bn a month ago).</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the June 2024 index rebal event.
Since my last insight, my index change expectations and flow expectations have changed significantly.
My latest estimate for one-way flow in June 2024 is US$1.06bn (down from US$1.22bn a month ago).


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 24: LONGs up 6% Vs SHORTs in a Month; Time to Update

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 Indices for the December 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>While I do not expect to see any changes to the T50 index, I expect four index changes for the T100 index.</li>
<li>Some of the names involved in the T100 index changes could have significant influence on our TDIV index flow expectations for December 2023.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 Indices for the December 2023 Rebalance.
While I do not expect to see any changes to the T50 index, I expect four index changes for the T100 index.
Some of the names involved in the T100 index changes could have significant influence on our TDIV index flow expectations for December 2023.


Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Dec 23: Multiple Moves Could Affect TDIV Flows

U Ming Marine Transport Corp / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 Indices for the December 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>While there are no changes expected for the T50 index there could be one change for the T100 index.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/u-ming-marine-transport-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3524:1" rel="noopener">U Ming Marine Transport Corp (2606 TT)</a> has moved closer to a potential T100 deletion which could also result in a TDIV deletion which has very significant flow implications.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 Indices for the December 2023 Rebalance.
While there are no changes expected for the T50 index there could be one change for the T100 index.

U Ming Marine Transport Corp (2606 TT) has moved closer to a potential T100 deletion which could also result in a TDIV deletion which has very significant flow implications.


Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Dec 23: U-Ming Potential TDIV Deletion Is the Main Talking Point

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

We highlight several positive developments that have occurred since last week’s Int’l Compass report, all of which continue to support our overall constructive outlook. Last week we noted Europe’s STOXX 500 was on the cusp of a breakout above 4040; we got the breakout. WTI and Brent crude oil also broke above key multi-year resistance at $67 and $70, respectively. The MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, and EAFE indexes each hit new all-time highs and remain in uptrends. The MSCI Emerging Markets index (EEM-US) bullishly inflected above short-term resistance at $55.35 and RS is reversing the downtrend. These are all bullish signals for global equities, and our constructive outlook remains appropriate.

We highlight several positive developments that have occurred since last week’s Int’l Compass report, all of which continue to support our overall constructive outlook. Last week we noted Europe’s STOXX 500 was on the cusp of a breakout above 4040; we got the breakout. WTI and Brent crude oil also broke above key multi-year resistance at $67 and $70, respectively. The MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, and EAFE indexes each hit new all-time highs and remain in uptrends. The MSCI Emerging Markets index (EEM-US) bullishly inflected above short-term resistance at $55.35 and RS is reversing the downtrend. These are all bullish signals for global equities, and our constructive outlook remains appropriate.

Major Breakouts For WTI and Brent Crude Oil. Actionable Themes: Energy, Manufacturing, Autos/Parts

Taiwan

China Motor Corporation manufactures and markets trucks, vans, cars, and related parts and accessories.  The Company also has joint venture operations with Mitsubishi.

China Motor (2204 TT)

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 24: 5 Changes; US$1.2bn One-Way

The Top 5 Expected Inflow names could outperform the Top 5 Expected outflow names over the next few weeks. The final index changes will be based on...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 24: LONGs up 6% Vs SHORTs in a Month; Time to Update

I expect the Top 5 inflow names to outperform the Top 5 outflow names over the next few weeks. The base date for the June 2024 review is 27th May...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Dec 23: Multiple Moves Could Affect TDIV Flows

I expect the index changes to be confirmed after the close on 1st December 2023 and the Inclusion/Exclusion events to take place at the close on...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Dec 23: U-Ming Potential TDIV Deletion Is the Main Talking Point

Among the Top 15 T100 potential DELs, six names are also TDIV members. If any of them get deleted from T100, they will also be deleted from TDIV...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Major Breakouts For WTI and Brent Crude Oil. Actionable Themes: Energy, Manufacturing, Autos/Parts

Today we highlight several positive developments that have occurred since last week’s Int’l Compass report, all of which continue to support our...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 24: 5 Changes; US$1.2bn One-Way

The Top 5 Expected Inflow names could outperform the Top 5 Expected outflow names over the next few weeks. The final index changes will be based on...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 24: LONGs up 6% Vs SHORTs in a Month; Time to Update

I expect the Top 5 inflow names to outperform the Top 5 outflow names over the next few weeks. The base date for the June 2024 review is 27th May...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Dec 23: Multiple Moves Could Affect TDIV Flows

I expect the index changes to be confirmed after the close on 1st December 2023 and the Inclusion/Exclusion events to take place at the close on...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Dec 23: U-Ming Potential TDIV Deletion Is the Main Talking Point

Among the Top 15 T100 potential DELs, six names are also TDIV members. If any of them get deleted from T100, they will also be deleted from TDIV...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Major Breakouts For WTI and Brent Crude Oil. Actionable Themes: Energy, Manufacturing, Autos/Parts

Today we highlight several positive developments that have occurred since last week’s Int’l Compass report, all of which continue to support our...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Dec 23: Multiple Moves Could Affect TDIV Flows

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Dec 23: U-Ming Potential TDIV Deletion Is the Main Talking Point