Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) / Index Rebalance

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC)

<ul>
<li>There are 5 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50 Index (SSE50 INDEX)</a> that will be implemented at the close on 8 December. There is over 1x ADV to trade on some stocks.</li>
<li>We estimate a one-way turnover of 5.4% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 4.85bn. Index arb activity could add to the impact on the stocks.</li>
<li>The adds, deletes and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50 Index (SSE50 INDEX)</a> have moved nearly in lockstep since May and the passive flows could move things around a bit.</li>
</ul>


There are 5 changes for the SSE50 Index (SSE50 INDEX) that will be implemented at the close on 8 December. There is over 1x ADV to trade on some stocks.
We estimate a one-way turnover of 5.4% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 4.85bn. Index arb activity could add to the impact on the stocks.
The adds, deletes and SSE50 Index (SSE50 INDEX) have moved nearly in lockstep since May and the passive flows could move things around a bit.


SSE50 Index Rebalance: Five Changes; Adds & Deletes Moving in Lockstep

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This is the somewhat-brand-spanking-new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.</li>
<li>The same five names continue at the top of the gross flows list - Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex, Zhongji Innolight, Foxconn, and this week Longi Green Energy. Nets are smaller.</li>
<li>Last week, NORTHBOUND was again net sellers, showing three weeks ago (the only weekly net buy in months) may have been a fluke.</li>
</ul>


This is the somewhat-brand-spanking-new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.
The same five names continue at the top of the gross flows list - Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex, Zhongji Innolight, Foxconn, and this week Longi Green Energy. Nets are smaller.
Last week, NORTHBOUND was again net sellers, showing three weeks ago (the only weekly net buy in months) may have been a fluke.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 17 Nov 23): Net Sales Again, Dominated by Financials

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 17th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$652.6 million, led by financials, industrials, and offset by information technology, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Luxshare Precision, Mindray, Ping An Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 17th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$652.6 million, led by financials, industrials, and offset by information technology, utilities.
We highlight flows for Luxshare Precision, Mindray, Ping An Insurance.


Northbound Flows (Nov 17th): Luxshare Precision, Mindray, Ping An Insurance

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 17th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight Hongkong connect flows for Meituan, Tencent and Xiaomi.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 17th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight Hongkong connect flows for Meituan, Tencent and Xiaomi.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 17th): Meituan, Tencent, Xiaomi

<ul>
<li>Wednesday will be a busy day as positions are put on and unwound following announcement of the changes to the MSC indices.</li>
<li>Friday will end the review cutoff for the ASX indices and Hang Seng Indexes will announce the December changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> and HSCI post market close.</li>
<li>Another week of large outflows for China focused ETFs with redemptions across all the major indices.</li>
</ul>


Wednesday will be a busy day as positions are put on and unwound following announcement of the changes to the MSC indices.
Friday will end the review cutoff for the ASX indices and Hang Seng Indexes will announce the December changes for the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH and HSCI post market close.
Another week of large outflows for China focused ETFs with redemptions across all the major indices.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: SSE50, Chinext/50, Renesas, Tencent, Amman Mineral

China

China Pacific Insurance (Group) Company, Ltd. is an integrated insurance services provider. The Company offers life and property insurance products through its subsidiaries.

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China Pacific Insurance (2601 HK)

SSE50 Index Rebalance: Five Changes; Adds & Deletes Moving in Lockstep

There are 5 changes in Dec resulting in 1-way turnover of 5.4% and 1-way trade of CNY 4.85bn. The adds and deletes have moved in lockstep over the...

Brian Freitas

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 17 Nov 23): Net Sales Again, Dominated by Financials

Mainland Connect (NORTHBOUND) flows were negative again. Nearly RMB 5bn and net sells across both exchanges four days out of five. Financials were...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Nov 17th): Luxshare Precision, Mindray, Ping An Insurance

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Luxshare Precision, Mindray, Ping An Insurance.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 17th): Meituan, Tencent, Xiaomi

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight Hongkong connect flows for Meituan, Tencent and Xiaomi.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: SSE50, Chinext/50, Renesas, Tencent, Amman Mineral

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

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