External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China listed insurers reported monthly premiums in May, showing resilience of top life peers despite a high base under the pricing interest rate (PIR) cut last year.</li><li>P&amp;C growth marginally improved thanks to a sequential rebound in auto and certain lines’ recovery in non-auto segment.</li><li>Chinese regulator recently guided some insurance companies to lower the upper limit of PIR of increasing sum assured whole life plans (IWLPs) to 2.75% (vs now: 3.0%) with an intention to further reduce the cost of liabilities of the insurance industry. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China listed insurers reported monthly premiums in May, showing resilience of top life peers despite a high base under the pricing interest rate (PIR) cut last year.P&amp;C growth marginally improved thanks to a sequential rebound in auto and certain lines’ recovery in non-auto segment.Chinese regulator recently guided some insurance companies to lower the upper limit of PIR of increasing sum assured whole life plans (IWLPs) to 2.75% (vs now: 3.0%) with an intention to further reduce the cost of liabilities of the insurance industry. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Insurance - 5M24 Monthly: Life Growth Stayed Resilient

<ul><li>Listed insurers reported 4M24 premiums with resilience shown among six life peers, of which the total premiums grew by +0.4% YoY to RMB 854.1bn swinging to a positive reading after three consecutive months in first quarter (Fig.1).</li><li>In Apr, total premiums of six listed life peers rose by +7.9% YoY to RMB 107.2bn (vs +3.0%/+6.6% YoY in Feb/Mar), despite a high base due to the PIR cut in 2Q23.</li><li>For life peers, we see divergence in growth, and regard it as progression in channel and product mix enhancement after the outpaced 1Q24 results. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Listed insurers reported 4M24 premiums with resilience shown among six life peers, of which the total premiums grew by +0.4% YoY to RMB 854.1bn swinging to a positive reading after three consecutive months in first quarter (Fig.1).In Apr, total premiums of six listed life peers rose by +7.9% YoY to RMB 107.2bn (vs +3.0%/+6.6% YoY in Feb/Mar), despite a high base due to the PIR cut in 2Q23.For life peers, we see divergence in growth, and regard it as progression in channel and product mix enhancement after the outpaced 1Q24 results. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Insurance - 4M24 Life Diverged in Face of High Base

<ul><li>Major Chinese insurers disclosed Jan premium figures, falling short of expectations amid the long-debated 2024 jumpstart sales under tightened regulatory scrutiny announced in last Oct.</li><li>Among seven H-share listed insurers, only China Life (2628 HK) and Sunshine Life (6963 HK) reported positive lowsingle digit growth by +2.2%/ +1.5% on a like-for-like basis, whereas the others recorded year-over-year cutbacks.</li><li>Ping An Life (2318 HK) fell by 3.9% YoY, in contrast to double-digit declines of CPIC Life (2601 HK) / New China Life (1336 HK) / PICC Life (1339 HK) at -14.7%/-15.0%/-18.5%, respectively, due to its more-advanced-than-peers agency capability. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Major Chinese insurers disclosed Jan premium figures, falling short of expectations amid the long-debated 2024 jumpstart sales under tightened regulatory scrutiny announced in last Oct.Among seven H-share listed insurers, only China Life (2628 HK) and Sunshine Life (6963 HK) reported positive lowsingle digit growth by +2.2%/ +1.5% on a like-for-like basis, whereas the others recorded year-over-year cutbacks.Ping An Life (2318 HK) fell by 3.9% YoY, in contrast to double-digit declines of CPIC Life (2601 HK) / New China Life (1336 HK) / PICC Life (1339 HK) at -14.7%/-15.0%/-18.5%, respectively, due to its more-advanced-than-peers agency capability. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Insurance – 1M24 life premiums fell short of expectations

<ul><li>The NAFR announced Life and P&amp;C premium income of all registered insurers in Sep, showing trends that: 1) the liability side of the sector continued to improve, despite recent regulatory tightening on channels, products and agent behaviour.</li><li>Personal life reversed a negative monthly YoY from -0.2% in 8M23 to +0.9% in 9M23 (Fig 1), and P&amp;C strengthened growth to +5.9% YoY in 9M23 (vs +3.2% YoY in 8M23), driven by an upward auto growth of 6.9% YoY in 9M23; 2) total investment assets expanded to RMB27.2tn in 9M23, up 8.5% from 12M22, with allocation in bonds increased to 44.0% in 9M23 (vs 43.6% in 8M23), and in stocks and equity funds down to 12.8% (-0.1pct from 8M23, Fig 15).</li><li>We believe the upward trend in long-term yields, evidenced by GCNY10 staying above 2.7% since mid Oct (Fig 18), will continue to benefit investment returns and asset performances of the sector, to serve as a shore-up for the sector’s valuation.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The NAFR announced Life and P&amp;C premium income of all registered insurers in Sep, showing trends that: 1) the liability side of the sector continued to improve, despite recent regulatory tightening on channels, products and agent behaviour.Personal life reversed a negative monthly YoY from -0.2% in 8M23 to +0.9% in 9M23 (Fig 1), and P&amp;C strengthened growth to +5.9% YoY in 9M23 (vs +3.2% YoY in 8M23), driven by an upward auto growth of 6.9% YoY in 9M23; 2) total investment assets expanded to RMB27.2tn in 9M23, up 8.5% from 12M22, with allocation in bonds increased to 44.0% in 9M23 (vs 43.6% in 8M23), and in stocks and equity funds down to 12.8% (-0.1pct from 8M23, Fig 15).We believe the upward trend in long-term yields, evidenced by GCNY10 staying above 2.7% since mid Oct (Fig 18), will continue to benefit investment returns and asset performances of the sector, to serve as a shore-up for the sector’s valuation.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Founder of Antler Capital

Stanley Tsai, CFA

<ul>
<li>We welcome the regulators' formalization of financial asset classifications. This will gradually remove regulatory arbitrage and pave the way for further bank reintermediation.</li>
<li>The new rules will likely have limited impacts on bond holdings that have active secondary markets, but illiquid debt investment plans will come under more intense regulatory and auditor scrutiny.</li>
<li>We see an impact of 10-15bp on the listed banks' reported NPL ratios. That said, a handful of banks may be at risk of capital shortages if the environment worsens. </li>
</ul>


We welcome the regulators' formalization of financial asset classifications. This will gradually remove regulatory arbitrage and pave the way for further bank reintermediation.
The new rules will likely have limited impacts on bond holdings that have active secondary markets, but illiquid debt investment plans will come under more intense regulatory and auditor scrutiny.
We see an impact of 10-15bp on the listed banks' reported NPL ratios. That said, a handful of banks may be at risk of capital shortages if the environment worsens. 


Chinese Banks: New Asset Classification Rules | You Can Run but You Can't Hide

China

China Pacific Insurance is a leading integrated insurance group offering a comprehensive suite of products including life, health, property, casualty, and agricultural insurance, alongside pension and asset management services. The company provides risk protection solutions and wealth planning to a broad customer base. It was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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China Pacific Insurance (2601 HK)

China Insurance - 5M24 Monthly: Life Growth Stayed Resilient

China listed insurers reported monthly premiums in May, showing resilience of top life peers despite a high base under the pricing interest rate...

CMB International

China Insurance - 4M24 Life Diverged in Face of High Base

In Apr, total premiums of six listed life peers rose by +7.9% YoY to RMB 107.2bn (vs +3.0%/+6.6% YoY in Feb/Mar), despite a high base due to the...

CMB International

China Insurance – 1M24 life premiums fell short of expectations

Major Chinese insurers disclosed Jan premium figures, falling short of expectations amid the long-debated 2024 jumpstart sales under tightened...

CMB International

China Insurance – 9M23 Monthly

We believe the upward trend in long-term yields, evidenced by GCNY10 staying above 2.7% since mid Oct, will continue to benefit investment returns

CMB International

Chinese Banks: New Asset Classification Rules | You Can Run but You Can't Hide

New asset classification rules have officially been announced. We see this as a long-term positive for the sector as regulators continue to bring...

Stanley Tsai, CFA

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