Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND a net buyer <em>every day</em> since the end of Chinese New Year. NORTHBOUND a huge net buyer this week, now net buyers in size (RMB +93bn) over 7 weeks.</li>
<li>For the first time in a while, AH premia among liquid stocks fell convincingly. Narrow AH premia pairs saw Hs outperform more than wide AH premia Hs (vs As).</li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
SOUTHBOUND a net buyer every day since the end of Chinese New Year. NORTHBOUND a huge net buyer this week, now net buyers in size (RMB +93bn) over 7 weeks.
For the first time in a while, AH premia among liquid stocks fell convincingly. Narrow AH premia pairs saw Hs outperform more than wide AH premia Hs (vs As).


A/H Premium Tracker (To 15 Mar 2024):  Liquid AH Premia Starting to Narrow

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 123.2% as of Mar 8th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.4ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, industrials, financials and offset by information technology, consumer discretionary, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CNOOC, Air China, China Southern Air, Guangzhou Auto.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 123.2% as of Mar 8th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.4ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, industrials, financials and offset by information technology, consumer discretionary, energy.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CNOOC, Air China, China Southern Air, Guangzhou Auto.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 8th): CNOOC, Air China, China Southern Air, Guangzhou Auto

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into CNOOC, China Telecom, China Mobile, Li Auto, Meituan. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into CNOOC, China Telecom, China Mobile, Li Auto, Meituan. 


Hong Kong Connect Flows (February): CNOOC, China Telecom, China Mobile, Li Auto, Meituan

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>A wave of mergers and acquisitions in the oil and gas sector has offered opportunities for Chinese companies to optimize their overseas assets, but uncertainty in the offshore investment environment is also rising, a report by a think tank part of state-owned oil giant China National Petroleum Corp. (CNPC) found.</li><li>The total value of global oil and gas mergers and acquisitions skyrocketed to more than $250 billion last year, including mega deals involving ExxonMobil and Chevron, making 2023 the largest upstream annual spend in more than a decade.</li><li>“The competitive landscape is reshaping, and the era of mega mergers in the industry has arrived,” Wu Moyuan, vice president of CNPC Economic and Technological Research Institute, said Wednesday at the release of the report.</li></ul>

A wave of mergers and acquisitions in the oil and gas sector has offered opportunities for Chinese companies to optimize their overseas assets, but uncertainty in the offshore investment environment is also rising, a report by a think tank part of state-owned oil giant China National Petroleum Corp. (CNPC) found.The total value of global oil and gas mergers and acquisitions skyrocketed to more than $250 billion last year, including mega deals involving ExxonMobil and Chevron, making 2023 the largest upstream annual spend in more than a decade.“The competitive landscape is reshaping, and the era of mega mergers in the industry has arrived,” Wu Moyuan, vice president of CNPC Economic and Technological Research Institute, said Wednesday at the release of the report.

Global Oil and Gas Consolidation Offers Chinese Firms Opportunities for Deals, Report Says 

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The open interest of the HSCEI 2024 dividend futures is less than half that of the HSCEI 2023 and HSCEI 2022 open interest at the same time of the year.</li>
<li>Market volatility and the fallout of the losses faced by Korean investors (and the scrutiny of Korean ELS-issuing banks) are among the primary reasons for the low open interest.</li>
<li>Our fair value for the HSCEI 2024 dividend futures is higher than the current market but there is a lot of sensitivity to bank dividends and special dividends.</li>
</ul>


The open interest of the HSCEI 2024 dividend futures is less than half that of the HSCEI 2023 and HSCEI 2022 open interest at the same time of the year.
Market volatility and the fallout of the losses faced by Korean investors (and the scrutiny of Korean ELS-issuing banks) are among the primary reasons for the low open interest.
Our fair value for the HSCEI 2024 dividend futures is higher than the current market but there is a lot of sensitivity to bank dividends and special dividends.


HSCEI Dividend Futures: Shrinking OI; Fair Value Estimates Show Upside

China

China Petroleum and Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) refines, produces and trades petroleum and petrochemical products such as gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, kerosene, ethylene, synthetic fibers, synthetic rubber, synthetic resins, and chemical fertilizers. Also, The company explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas in China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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China Petroleum & Chem Adr (SNP US)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 15 Mar 2024): Liquid AH Premia Starting to Narrow

AH Premia narrowed more on liquid narrow premia than on less liquid and wide premia. This is a new development. Energy and Utilities saw Hs rebound...

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 8th): CNOOC, Air China, China Southern Air, Guangzhou Auto

Analysis of A-H premium changes on 146 stocks shows average premium of 123.2% on Mar 8th, with a -1.4ppt. We highlight changes for for CNOOC, Air...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (February): CNOOC, China Telecom, China Mobile, Li Auto, Meituan

Analysis of monthly Hong Kong Connect flows reveals top stocks attracting mainland investors, including CNOOC, China Telecom, China Mobile, Li...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Global Oil and Gas Consolidation Offers Chinese Firms Opportunities for Deals, Report Says

A wave of mergers and acquisitions in the oil and gas sector has offered opportunities for Chinese companies to optimize their overseas assets,...

Caixin Global

HSCEI Dividend Futures: Shrinking OI; Fair Value Estimates Show Upside

We see the HSCEI 2024 div futures slightly underpriced with the potential for more upside. There are risks to the trade, mainly from the banks and...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 15 Mar 2024): Liquid AH Premia Starting to Narrow

AH Premia narrowed more on liquid narrow premia than on less liquid and wide premia. This is a new development. Energy and Utilities saw Hs rebound...

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 8th): CNOOC, Air China, China Southern Air, Guangzhou Auto

​Analysis of A-H premium changes on 146 stocks shows average premium of 123.2% on Mar 8th, with a -1.4ppt. We highlight changes for for CNOOC, Air...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (February): CNOOC, China Telecom, China Mobile, Li Auto, Meituan

​Analysis of monthly Hong Kong Connect flows reveals top stocks attracting mainland investors, including CNOOC, China Telecom, China Mobile, Li...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Global Oil and Gas Consolidation Offers Chinese Firms Opportunities for Deals, Report Says

A wave of mergers and acquisitions in the oil and gas sector has offered opportunities for Chinese companies to optimize their overseas assets,...

Caixin Global

HSCEI Dividend Futures: Shrinking OI; Fair Value Estimates Show Upside

We see the HSCEI 2024 div futures slightly underpriced with the potential for more upside. There are risks to the trade, mainly from the banks and...

Brian Freitas

Analysis of A-H premium changes on 146 stocks shows average premium of 123.2% on Mar 8th, with a -1.4ppt. We highlight changes for for CNOOC, Air...

Analysis of monthly Hong Kong Connect flows reveals top stocks attracting mainland investors, including CNOOC, China Telecom, China Mobile, Li...