IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aag-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:501:1" rel="noopener">Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK)</a> scheme document is out with the court meeting scheduled for 27 April. The IFA considers the HK$1.85 offer to be fair and reasonable.</li>
<li>The IFA’s conclusion is dubious as the contents of the report could easily have come to the opposite conclusion. The quick despatch of the scheme document is worrying. </li>
<li>The weak IFA report will further annoy minorities and push more towards the NO camp. The vote is on a knife edge which is reflected in the current 13.5% spread. </li>
</ul>



Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK) scheme document is out with the court meeting scheduled for 27 April. The IFA considers the HK$1.85 offer to be fair and reasonable.
The IFA’s conclusion is dubious as the contents of the report could easily have come to the opposite conclusion. The quick despatch of the scheme document is worrying. 
The weak IFA report will further annoy minorities and push more towards the NO camp. The vote is on a knife edge which is reflected in the current 13.5% spread. 


AAG Energy (2686 HK): Rushed Scheme Document Points to a Vote on a Knife Edge

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 17th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, China Mobile, ICBC, Bilibili, Meituan, Xiaomi.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 17th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, China Mobile, ICBC, Bilibili, Meituan, Xiaomi.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar 17th): Tencent, China Mobile, ICBC, Bilibili, Meituan, Xiaomi

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 10th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Xpeng, Byd Company, Icbc, Sinopec, Meituan, Tencent, Bidu, Baba, Hsbc.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 10th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Xpeng, Byd Company, Icbc, Sinopec, Meituan, Tencent, Bidu, Baba, Hsbc.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Xpeng, Byd Company, Icbc, Sinopec, Meituan, Tencent, Bidu, Baba, Hsbc

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The oil majors - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnooc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:175:1" rel="noopener">CNOOC Ltd (883 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-petroleum-chemical-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:369:1" rel="noopener">China Petroleum &amp; Chemical (386 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/petrochina-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:262:1" rel="noopener">PetroChina (857 HK)</a> - are interesting plays on government's plan to boost capital market valuations.</li>
<li>Higher dividend payout, privatisation of undervalued subsidiaries, return to A-shares, share buyback and upping stake by major shareholders are just some example of supporting tactics.</li>
<li>The government may possibly mobilise more offshore funds of SOEs to add stakes. We think ROE expansion and capital market valuations to gain importance in senior management KPIs.</li>
</ul>


The oil majors - CNOOC Ltd (883 HK), China Petroleum &amp; Chemical (386 HK) and PetroChina (857 HK) - are interesting plays on government's plan to boost capital market valuations.
Higher dividend payout, privatisation of undervalued subsidiaries, return to A-shares, share buyback and upping stake by major shareholders are just some example of supporting tactics.
The government may possibly mobilise more offshore funds of SOEs to add stakes. We think ROE expansion and capital market valuations to gain importance in senior management KPIs.


China Oil Sector: A Look from SOE Valuation Enhancement Angle

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Mar 3rd based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were GWM (2333 HK), Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK), Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were GWM (2333 HK), Aia (1299 HK), China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Mar 3rd based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were GWM (2333 HK), Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK), Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were GWM (2333 HK), Aia (1299 HK), China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Mar 3rd): Great Wall Motor, China Mengniu Dairy, Sino Biopharmaceutical

China

China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation produces and trades petroleum and petrochemical products. The Company offers gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, kerosene, ethylene, synthetic fibers, synthetic rubber, synthetic resins, and chemical fertilizers. China Petroleum & Chemical markets its products throughout China.

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China Petroleum & Chemical (386 HK)

AAG Energy (2686 HK): Rushed Scheme Document Points to a Vote on a Knife Edge

The quick despatch of the scheme document suggests that the offeror is worried. The vote is on a knife edge. While the deal-break downside is...

Arun George

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar 17th): Tencent, China Mobile, ICBC, Bilibili, Meituan, Xiaomi

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Tencent, China Mobile, ICBC, Bilibili, Meituan, Xiaomi.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Xpeng, Byd Company, Icbc, Sinopec, Meituan, Tencent, Bidu, Baba, Hsbc

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 10th and highlight short interest changes in Xpeng, Byd Company, Icbc,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Oil Sector: A Look from SOE Valuation Enhancement Angle

Higher dividend payout, privatisation of undervalued subsidiaries, return to A-shares, share buyback and upping stake by major shareholders can...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Mar 3rd): Great Wall Motor, China Mengniu Dairy, Sino Biopharmaceutical

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were GWM (2333 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)