Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35371:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (600941 CH)</a> listed on 5 January after raising CNY 56bn in its A-share IPO. The stock could get Fast Entry to the CSI300, SSE50 and SSE180 indices.</li>
<li>Stocks will be deleted from these indices to maintain the number of index constituents. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jonjee-high-tech-industrial-and-commercial-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14622:1" rel="noopener">Jonjee High-Tech</a> could be deleted from the CSI300 and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-gold-mining-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12908:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Gold Mining</a> from the SSE50.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35371:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (600941 CH)</a> trades at a 41.7% premium to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a>, substantially lower than the 89% premium for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-telecom-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34045:1" rel="noopener">China Telecom (601728 CH)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-telecom-corp-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1015:1" rel="noopener">China Telecom (H) (728 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>



China Mobile (600941 CH) listed on 5 January after raising CNY 56bn in its A-share IPO. The stock could get Fast Entry to the CSI300, SSE50 and SSE180 indices.
Stocks will be deleted from these indices to maintain the number of index constituents. Jonjee High-Tech could be deleted from the CSI300 and Shandong Gold Mining from the SSE50.

China Mobile (600941 CH) trades at a 41.7% premium to China Mobile (941 HK), substantially lower than the 89% premium for China Telecom (601728 CH)/China Telecom (H) (728 HK). 


China Mobile (600941 CH): Potential Index Fast Entry

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With the 2021 futures expiring in 2 weeks, the focus now shifts to the HSCEI dividend futures expiring in 2022 where we see a fair value of 240.76 DIPS.</li>
<li>The current market is trading very close to our fair value for 2022 but there are a lot of potential catalysts that could result in a big move lower.</li>
<li>There are fewer catalysts for the 2022 futures to move higher. The regulatory changes in China plus the HFCAA could lead to the 2023 futures trading cheaper to 2022.</li>
</ul>


With the 2021 futures expiring in 2 weeks, the focus now shifts to the HSCEI dividend futures expiring in 2022 where we see a fair value of 240.76 DIPS.
The current market is trading very close to our fair value for 2022 but there are a lot of potential catalysts that could result in a big move lower.
There are fewer catalysts for the 2022 futures to move higher. The regulatory changes in China plus the HFCAA could lead to the 2023 futures trading cheaper to 2022.


HSCEI Dividend Futures: 2022 Close to Fair; Sell 22/23 Steepener

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnooc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:175:1" rel="noopener">CNOOC Ltd (883 HK)</a>'s A-share listing progresses in response to an intention from US regulators to delist its ADSs. </li>
<li>Shareholders have approved the listing and the prospectus has been accepted by the CSRC. </li>
<li>Cashed-Up CNOOC is trading cheap to domestic and international peers, together with a 7% yield, one that may increase significantly with a higher payout ratio. </li>
</ul>



CNOOC Ltd (883 HK)'s A-share listing progresses in response to an intention from US regulators to delist its ADSs. 
Shareholders have approved the listing and the prospectus has been accepted by the CSRC. 
Cashed-Up CNOOC is trading cheap to domestic and international peers, together with a 7% yield, one that may increase significantly with a higher payout ratio. 


Sinopec Engineering Group H / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinopec-engineering-group-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18372:1" rel="noopener">Sinopec Engineering Group H (2386 HK)</a> ("SEG") is currently trading 11% below its net cash position.</li>
<li>Net income has steadily increased over the past four years. 1H21 profit increased 6.8% compared to the corresponding period.</li>
<li>The payout ratio has averaged ~60% in the past five years. The current yield is 10%. </li>
</ul>



Sinopec Engineering Group H (2386 HK) ("SEG") is currently trading 11% below its net cash position.
Net income has steadily increased over the past four years. 1H21 profit increased 6.8% compared to the corresponding period.
The payout ratio has averaged ~60% in the past five years. The current yield is 10%. 


Sinopec Engineering (2386 HK): Priced For Liquidation. Again

Chief Economist

Diana Choyleva

Enodo Economics

Enodo Economics is an independent macroeconomic forecasting company that untangles complexity, challenges the consensus, and makes sense of the future. Our focus is on China – one of the most misunderstood economies in the world, but one of the most important to figure out.  Enodo’s chief economist, Diana Choyleva, has been analysing China for almost 20 years, while Enodo’s team boasts a combined 140 years’ experience covering China’s economy, politics and markets. 

Macroeconomics

<h2>China News That Matters</h2><ul>
<li>Beijing steps up tech crackdown</li>
<li>Top planner recovers climate portfolio</li>
<li>Grabbing top spot. Or not</li>
<li>The challenge of US-China relations</li>
<li>Tech giants tout AI-enhanced products</li>
</ul><ul style="list-style-type: none;"><li><div class="content-remarks">In my weekly digest China News That Matters, I will give you selected summaries, sourced from a variety of local Chinese-language and international news outlets, and highlight why I think the news is significant. These posts are meant to neither be bullish nor bearish, but help you separate the signal from the noise.</div></li></ul>

China News That Matters
Beijing steps up tech crackdown
Top planner recovers climate portfolio
Grabbing top spot. Or not
The challenge of US-China relations
Tech giants tout AI-enhanced products
In my weekly digest China News That Matters, I will give you selected summaries, sourced from a variety of local Chinese-language and international news outlets, and highlight why I think the news is significant. These posts are meant to neither be bullish nor bearish, but help you separate the signal from the noise.

China

China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation produces and trades petroleum and petrochemical products. The Company offers gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, kerosene, ethylene, synthetic fibers, synthetic rubber, synthetic resins, and chemical fertilizers. China Petroleum & Chemical markets its products throughout China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Petroleum & Chemical (386 HK)

China Mobile (600941 CH): Potential Index Fast Entry

China Mobile listed on the SSE on 5 Jan after raising CNY 56bn. Based on the index methodology, the stock should get Fast Entry to the CSI300,...

Brian Freitas

HSCEI Dividend Futures: 2022 Close to Fair; Sell 22/23 Steepener

The HSCEI 2022 dividend futures are trading close to fair but there are a lot more negative catalysts that will have a bigger impact than positive...

Brian Freitas

CNOOC (883 HK): This Is An Outright Buy

CNOOC is inexpensive versus its two domestic peers, its international peers, and to historical levels. I would expect the imminent A-share listing...

David Blennerhassett

Sinopec Engineering (2386 HK): Priced For Liquidation. Again

SEG is cheap, currently trading below net cash. With a median trailing P/E and P/B pre-Covid of 7.9x and 1.1x, I see at least 40% upside from here.

David Blennerhassett

Didi/ Carbon/ Economy/ US-China/ Tech

In my weekly digest, I will give you selected summaries, sourced from a variety of local Chinese-language and international news outlets, and...

Diana Choyleva

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)