HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China's 0.4% GDP growth for 2Q22 is disappointing and worse than market expectation. To revive the economic outlook in 2H22, more policy measures are expected to be put in place. </li>
<li>Over the last two weeks, policies on expansion of highway network, increase in urbanisation level, support on auto consumption and promotion of sports activities have already been announced.</li>
<li>We identify <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-communications-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:265:1" rel="noopener">China Communications Construction (1800 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-east-education-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27843:1" rel="noopener">China East Education (667 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng Group (881 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)</a> as beneficiaries.</li>
</ul>


China's 0.4% GDP growth for 2Q22 is disappointing and worse than market expectation. To revive the economic outlook in 2H22, more policy measures are expected to be put in place. 
Over the last two weeks, policies on expansion of highway network, increase in urbanisation level, support on auto consumption and promotion of sports activities have already been announced.
We identify China Communications Construction (1800 HK), Haier Smart Home (6690 HK), China East Education (667 HK), Zhongsheng Group (881 HK) and Anta Sports Products (2020 HK) as beneficiaries.


China Stimulus: Beneficiaries from a Policy Perspective

Equity Bottom-Up

China Communications Construction / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-communications-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:265:1" rel="noopener">China Communications Construction (1800 HK)</a> has bucked the trend of weaker earnings growth in the last two quarters by posting a healthy 17.7% YoY net profit growth for 1Q22.</li>
<li>While gross margin contracted slightly, the good control on selling and administrative expenses have partly absorbed margin contraction. Its new contract value for 1Q22 has also reached record high.</li>
<li>With government's aggressive special purpose bond issue and infrastructure investment, we expect new contract momentum to pick up. Trading at 3.2x PER and 0.22x P/B, CCCC is massively undervalued.</li>
</ul>



China Communications Construction (1800 HK) has bucked the trend of weaker earnings growth in the last two quarters by posting a healthy 17.7% YoY net profit growth for 1Q22.
While gross margin contracted slightly, the good control on selling and administrative expenses have partly absorbed margin contraction. Its new contract value for 1Q22 has also reached record high.
With government's aggressive special purpose bond issue and infrastructure investment, we expect new contract momentum to pick up. Trading at 3.2x PER and 0.22x P/B, CCCC is massively undervalued.


China Comm Const (1800 HK): Grossly Undervalued by the Market

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-communications-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:265:1" rel="noopener">China Communications Construction (1800 HK)</a> targets for at least 6% growth in revenue with slight operating margin expansion for FY22; and these should sustain its stable growth trend. </li>
<li>It will increase focus on "big city" projects where there are more opportunities. We think its target of at least 11.8% new contract value growth in FY22 is conservative.</li>
<li>Reduction in losses at concessionary projects, improvement in operating cash flow and lowering of gearing levels all indicate that CCCC is moving in the right direction.</li>
</ul>



China Communications Construction (1800 HK) targets for at least 6% growth in revenue with slight operating margin expansion for FY22; and these should sustain its stable growth trend. 
It will increase focus on "big city" projects where there are more opportunities. We think its target of at least 11.8% new contract value growth in FY22 is conservative.
Reduction in losses at concessionary projects, improvement in operating cash flow and lowering of gearing levels all indicate that CCCC is moving in the right direction.


China Comm Const (1800 HK): Takeaways from Post-FY21 Result Call

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 136 stocks over the last week.</li>
<li>Average A/H premium was 4.7ppt lower last week, led by consumer discretionary, material and healthcare. </li>
<li>37 stocks reached 52 week high last week but most have retreated since, representing arb opportunities in volatile market. </li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 136 stocks over the last week.
Average A/H premium was 4.7ppt lower last week, led by consumer discretionary, material and healthcare. 
37 stocks reached 52 week high last week but most have retreated since, representing arb opportunities in volatile market. 


A/H Premium Weekly: Arb Opportunities Last Week

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 136 stocks over the last week.</li>
<li>A/H premium increase was led by consumer Staples and consumer discretionary and industrials sectors.</li>
<li>We highlight A/H premium at 52 week peak: BYD, Xinjiang Gold Wind, Ganfeng Lithium. </li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 136 stocks over the last week.
A/H premium increase was led by consumer Staples and consumer discretionary and industrials sectors.
We highlight A/H premium at 52 week peak: BYD, Xinjiang Gold Wind, Ganfeng Lithium. 


A/H Premium Weekly: BYD, Xinjiang Gold Wind, Ganfeng Lithium

China

China Railway Construction Corporation Limited provides transportation infrastructure construction services. The Company constructs railway, highway, urban track, and other infrastructure. China Railway Construction also provides real estate development and materials trading services.

China Railway Construction Cor (601186 CH)

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China Railway Construction Cor (601186 CH)

China Stimulus: Beneficiaries from a Policy Perspective

Added to the beneficiaries from special purpose bonds issue, we identify more beneficiaries based on the latest government policies for stimulating...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Comm Const (1800 HK): Grossly Undervalued by the Market

CCCC's 1Q22 result reversed the trend of declining earnings momentum in 2H21, thanks to revenue recovery and improved cost dynamics. We take this...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Comm Const (1800 HK): Takeaways from Post-FY21 Result Call

We expect CCCC to maintain a stable earnings trend in FY22. Reduction in losses at concessionary projects, better operating cash flow and lower...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A/H Premium Weekly: Arb Opportunities Last Week

We highlight average A/H premium was 4.7ppt lower last week, led by consumer discretionary, material and healthcare. 37 stocks reached 52w high...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A/H Premium Weekly: BYD, Xinjiang Gold Wind, Ganfeng Lithium

We highlight A/H premium increase led by consumer Staples and consumer discretionary and industrials sectors, and stocks at 52 week high: BYD,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)