HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

China Resources Beverage / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The whole industry has entered a medium to low-speed growth stage, and the industry's future growth rate will remain single-digit growth. So, CR Beverage's future performance decline is inevitable.</li>
<li>Due to serious homogenization/competition of packaged drinking water market, there’s not much room for innovation/iteration. CR Beverage's sales-driven model is hard to bring “new story” to break through the dilemma. </li>
<li>CR Beverage is clearly inferior to Nongfu Spring. Its valuation should be lower than Nongfu Spring. We think reasonable valuation of CR Beverage is about US$4 billion (or lower).</li>
</ul>


The whole industry has entered a medium to low-speed growth stage, and the industry's future growth rate will remain single-digit growth. So, CR Beverage's future performance decline is inevitable.
Due to serious homogenization/competition of packaged drinking water market, there’s not much room for innovation/iteration. CR Beverage's sales-driven model is hard to bring “new story” to break through the dilemma. 
CR Beverage is clearly inferior to Nongfu Spring. Its valuation should be lower than Nongfu Spring. We think reasonable valuation of CR Beverage is about US$4 billion (or lower).


Pre-IPO China Resources Beverage - Due to the Pain Points, High Valuation Is Not Justified

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the live IPOs front,  the coming week will see a whole lot of listings across the region.</li>
<li>On the placements front, there were mainly deals in Australia this week.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the live IPOs front,  the coming week will see a whole lot of listings across the region.
On the placements front, there were mainly deals in Australia this week.


ECM Weekly (21st Oct 2024) - Tokyo Metro, China Resources, Horizon Robotics, Hyundai India, Waaree

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

China Traditional Chinese Medicine / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rigaku-holdings-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43950:1" rel="noopener">Rigaku Holdings (268A JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics (9660 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage (2460 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-art-retail-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:401:1" rel="noopener">Sun Art Retail (6808 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-soft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17504:1" rel="noopener">Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dyna-mac-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16153:1" rel="noopener">Dyna Mac Holdings (DMHL SP)</a>.
</li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments: Tokyo Metro (9023 JP), Rigaku Holdings (268A JP), Horizon Robotics (9660 HK), China Resources Beverage (2460 HK) and Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments: China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK), Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK), Sun Art Retail (6808 HK), Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP), Dyna Mac Holdings (DMHL SP).



Weekly Deals Digest (20 Oct) - China TCM, GA Pack, Tokyo Metro, Rigaku, CR Beverage, Horizon Robotic

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage (2460 HK)</a>  plans to raise  US$650m at the upper end of the indicative IPO price range at a market capitalisation and EV of HK$34bn and HK$27bn respectively.</li>
<li>Though the company has a strong business model and fundamentals, the packaged drinking water market is intensely competitive creating a price war and dragging down growth rates.</li>
<li>CR Beverage is less diversified and has inferior margins compared to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nongfu-spring-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28955:1" rel="noopener">Nongfu Spring (9633 HK)</a> , hence priced at a deep discount to its peer, making the IPO pricing attractive.</li>
</ul>



China Resources Beverage (2460 HK)  plans to raise  US$650m at the upper end of the indicative IPO price range at a market capitalisation and EV of HK$34bn and HK$27bn respectively.
Though the company has a strong business model and fundamentals, the packaged drinking water market is intensely competitive creating a price war and dragging down growth rates.
CR Beverage is less diversified and has inferior margins compared to Nongfu Spring (9633 HK) , hence priced at a deep discount to its peer, making the IPO pricing attractive.


Horizon Robotics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics</a> is looking to raise up to US$696m in its Hong Kong IPO. </li>
<li>Horizon Robotics (HR) is a provider of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving (AD) solutions for passenger vehicles, empowered by its proprietary software and hardware technologies.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



Horizon Robotics is looking to raise up to US$696m in its Hong Kong IPO. 
Horizon Robotics (HR) is a provider of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving (AD) solutions for passenger vehicles, empowered by its proprietary software and hardware technologies.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.


Horizon Robotics IPO - Peers Are Down a Lot, Its Valuation Isn’t

China

China Resources Beverage (Holdings) Company Limited manufactures and distributes drink products. The Company produces drinking water, lemon tea, chrysanthemum tea, sour plum soups, oolong tea, fruit tea, milk tea, and other products. China Resources Beverage (Holdings) markets its products throughout Hong Kong.

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China Resources Beverage (2460 HK)

Pre-IPO China Resources Beverage - Due to the Pain Points, High Valuation Is Not Justified

CR Beverage's future performance decline is inevitable due to growth stagnation and inability to innovate.The lack of flexibility/risk resistance...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

ECM Weekly (21st Oct 2024) - Tokyo Metro, China Resources, Horizon Robotics, Hyundai India, Waaree

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Weekly Deals Digest (20 Oct) - China TCM, GA Pack, Tokyo Metro, Rigaku, CR Beverage, Horizon Robotic

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Beijing Grand, China TCM, GA Pack, Sun Art Retail, Fuji Soft, Dyna Mac) and ECM (Tokyo...

Arun George

CR Beverage IPO: Forecasts and Valuation

CR Beverage plans to raise around US$650m through its HKEx IPO. Though the company has a strong business model and fundamentals, the packaged...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Horizon Robotics IPO - Peers Are Down a Lot, Its Valuation Isn’t

Horizon Robotics is looking to raise up to US$696m in its Hong Kong IPO. We have looked at the company's past performance in our earlier notes, in...

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

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Pre-IPO China Resources Beverage - Due to the Pain Points, High Valuation Is Not Justified

​CR Beverage's future performance decline is inevitable due to growth stagnation and inability to innovate.The lack of flexibility/risk resistance...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

ECM Weekly (21st Oct 2024) - Tokyo Metro, China Resources, Horizon Robotics, Hyundai India, Waaree

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Weekly Deals Digest (20 Oct) - China TCM, GA Pack, Tokyo Metro, Rigaku, CR Beverage, Horizon Robotic

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Beijing Grand, China TCM, GA Pack, Sun Art Retail, Fuji Soft, Dyna Mac) and ECM (Tokyo...

Arun George

CR Beverage IPO: Forecasts and Valuation

CR Beverage plans to raise around US$650m through its HKEx IPO. Though the company has a strong business model and fundamentals, the packaged...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Horizon Robotics IPO - Peers Are Down a Lot, Its Valuation Isn’t

Horizon Robotics is looking to raise up to US$696m in its Hong Kong IPO. We have looked at the company's past performance in our earlier notes, in...

Sumeet Singh

CR Beverage's future performance decline is inevitable due to growth stagnation and inability to innovate.The lack of flexibility/risk resistance...