HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

China Resources Sanjiu Medical & Pharma / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In our view, China's biotech companies have sold their core pipelines/products too early, resulting in the loss of opportunities to gain much greater benefits in the future.</li>
<li>We summarized the impact of tariff policy implemented by the US on China's healthcare industry. Short-term headwinds are inevitable, but in long term, it helps force the industry to upgrade.</li>
<li>After Spring Festival, the acquisition progress of Tasly by CR Sanjiu has significantly accelerated – SASAC/SAMR approvals have been received. It’s possible for the deal to be completed in 25Q1.</li>
</ul>


In our view, China's biotech companies have sold their core pipelines/products too early, resulting in the loss of opportunities to gain much greater benefits in the future.
We summarized the impact of tariff policy implemented by the US on China's healthcare industry. Short-term headwinds are inevitable, but in long term, it helps force the industry to upgrade.
After Spring Festival, the acquisition progress of Tasly by CR Sanjiu has significantly accelerated – SASAC/SAMR approvals have been received. It’s possible for the deal to be completed in 25Q1.


China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.16)-Update on CR Sanjiu's Acquisition of Tasly, the Impact of US Tariff

<ul>
<li>If product sales cannot continue to climb rapidly and dilute the costs, the final profit will gradually fade away. Therefore, Chinese biotech companies need new blockbuster products to drive growth.</li>
<li>The decline in the number of biotech companies in the future is actually “a supply side reform” that fundamentally reduces market competition, which obviously benefit those first-tier companies.</li>
<li>The acquisition of Tasly by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-sanju-mdcl-phrm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6218:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Sanjiu Medical &amp; Pharma </a>is still in progress. The deal may not be completed until 25H1 if the approval time is not enough.</li>
</ul>


If product sales cannot continue to climb rapidly and dilute the costs, the final profit will gradually fade away. Therefore, Chinese biotech companies need new blockbuster products to drive growth.
The decline in the number of biotech companies in the future is actually “a supply side reform” that fundamentally reduces market competition, which obviously benefit those first-tier companies.
The acquisition of Tasly by China Resources Sanjiu Medical &amp; Pharma is still in progress. The deal may not be completed until 25H1 if the approval time is not enough.


China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.2)- Update on CR Sanjiu's Acquisition of Tasly, China Biotech's Outlook

Event-Driven

China Resources Sanjiu Medical & Pharma / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>China Resources Sanjiu plans to acquire 28% stake in Tasly for RMB6.21 billion at RMB14.85/share. The acquisition of Tasly is in line with the strategic direction of 14th Five-Year Plan.</li>
<li>China Resources is positioned as a leading enterprise in modern industrial chain of TCM by the SASAC.Due to policy support, TCM assets are more likely to be favored by SOEs.</li>
<li>The deal is positive for Tasly, whose valuation has room to rise further, but the market seems "skeptical" about China Resources Sanjiu's decision, leading to a lackluster share price reaction. </li>
</ul>


China Resources Sanjiu plans to acquire 28% stake in Tasly for RMB6.21 billion at RMB14.85/share. The acquisition of Tasly is in line with the strategic direction of 14th Five-Year Plan.
China Resources is positioned as a leading enterprise in modern industrial chain of TCM by the SASAC.Due to policy support, TCM assets are more likely to be favored by SOEs.
The deal is positive for Tasly, whose valuation has room to rise further, but the market seems "skeptical" about China Resources Sanjiu's decision, leading to a lackluster share price reaction. 


CR Sanjiu (000999.CH) To Acquire Tasly Pharma (600535.CH) - SOEs Have High Enthusiasm for TCM Assets

Shenyang Xingqi Pharmaceutical / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>A document titled "<em>Soliciting Opinions on the Implementation Plan for Supporting the Development of Innovative Drugs throughout the Whole Chain</em>" would completely change the outlook/investment logic of China's innovative drugs.</li>
<li>We predict that due to the early opening of TCM formula granules VBP in some provinces and intensifying competition, the market pattern of TCM formula granules would face reshaping.</li>
<li>After the atropine eye drops is approved by the NMPA, Xingqi’s performance growth will accelerate. Supported by favorable policies, its market value is expected to reach above RMB30 billion.</li>
</ul>


A document titled "Soliciting Opinions on the Implementation Plan for Supporting the Development of Innovative Drugs throughout the Whole Chain" would completely change the outlook/investment logic of China's innovative drugs.
We predict that due to the early opening of TCM formula granules VBP in some provinces and intensifying competition, the market pattern of TCM formula granules would face reshaping.
After the atropine eye drops is approved by the NMPA, Xingqi’s performance growth will accelerate. Supported by favorable policies, its market value is expected to reach above RMB30 billion.


China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.15)- New Policy of Innovative Drug, TCM Formula Granules, Xingqi Pharma

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The FRTIB benchmark switch from the EAFE Index to the ACWI IMI ex-USA ex-China ex-Hong Kong Index will result in a round trip trade of around US$56bn.</li>
<li>The changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50</a> and a bunch of other mainland China indices will be announced after market close on Friday.</li>
<li>Relatively quiet week for ETF flows with no major creations or redemptions during the week.</li>
</ul>


The FRTIB benchmark switch from the EAFE Index to the ACWI IMI ex-USA ex-China ex-Hong Kong Index will result in a round trip trade of around US$56bn.
The changes for the CSI 300, CSI 500, STAR50, SSE50 and a bunch of other mainland China indices will be announced after market close on Friday.
Relatively quiet week for ETF flows with no major creations or redemptions during the week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: FRTIB, Japan, CSI300, CSI500, STAR50, WuXi XDC, Asahi

China

China Resources Sanjiu Medical & Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets medicines, healthcare products, and medical instruments.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also operates in pharmaceutical trading, printing, food manufacturing, real estate development, and provides medical services.

China Resources Sanjiu Medical & Pharma (000999 CH)

Price Gauge
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China Resources Sanjiu Medical & Pharma (000999 CH)

China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.16)-Update on CR Sanjiu's Acquisition of Tasly, the Impact of US Tariff

China's biotech sells core assets too early, missing out on future benefits. US tariff impacts short-term, but will lead to industry upgrade. The...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.2)- Update on CR Sanjiu's Acquisition of Tasly, China Biotech's Outlook

Chinese biotech companies need to develop new blockbuster products to sustain growth. A "supply side reform” benefits first-tier Biotech. The...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

CR Sanjiu (000999.CH) To Acquire Tasly Pharma (600535.CH) - SOEs Have High Enthusiasm for TCM Assets

China Resources Sanjiu to acquire 28% stake in Tasly for RMB6.21 billion, aligning with strategic goals of 14th Five-Year Plan. Market is...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.15)- New Policy of Innovative Drug, TCM Formula Granules, Xingqi Pharma

New policy of innovative drug is a big deal. We've reasons to start being optimistic.The market pattern of TCM formula granules will face...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: FRTIB, Japan, CSI300, CSI500, STAR50, WuXi XDC, Asahi

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.16)-Update on CR Sanjiu's Acquisition of Tasly, the Impact of US Tariff

​China's biotech sells core assets too early, missing out on future benefits. US tariff impacts short-term, but will lead to industry upgrade. The...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.2)- Update on CR Sanjiu's Acquisition of Tasly, China Biotech's Outlook

​Chinese biotech companies need to develop new blockbuster products to sustain growth. A "supply side reform” benefits first-tier Biotech. The...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

CR Sanjiu (000999.CH) To Acquire Tasly Pharma (600535.CH) - SOEs Have High Enthusiasm for TCM Assets

​China Resources Sanjiu to acquire 28% stake in Tasly for RMB6.21 billion, aligning with strategic goals of 14th Five-Year Plan. Market is...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.15)- New Policy of Innovative Drug, TCM Formula Granules, Xingqi Pharma

New policy of innovative drug is a big deal. We've reasons to start being optimistic.The market pattern of TCM formula granules will face...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: FRTIB, Japan, CSI300, CSI500, STAR50, WuXi XDC, Asahi

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

China's biotech sells core assets too early, missing out on future benefits. US tariff impacts short-term, but will lead to industry upgrade. The...

Chinese biotech companies need to develop new blockbuster products to sustain growth. A "supply side reform” benefits first-tier Biotech. The...

China Resources Sanjiu to acquire 28% stake in Tasly for RMB6.21 billion, aligning with strategic goals of 14th Five-Year Plan. Market is...