HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Shenyang Xingqi Pharmaceutical / Equity Bottom-Up

Shenyang Xingqi Pharmaceutical (300573 CH)

<ul>
<li>A document titled "<em>Soliciting Opinions on the Implementation Plan for Supporting the Development of Innovative Drugs throughout the Whole Chain</em>" would completely change the outlook/investment logic of China's innovative drugs.</li>
<li>We predict that due to the early opening of TCM formula granules VBP in some provinces and intensifying competition, the market pattern of TCM formula granules would face reshaping.</li>
<li>After the atropine eye drops is approved by the NMPA, Xingqi’s performance growth will accelerate. Supported by favorable policies, its market value is expected to reach above RMB30 billion.</li>
</ul>


A document titled "Soliciting Opinions on the Implementation Plan for Supporting the Development of Innovative Drugs throughout the Whole Chain" would completely change the outlook/investment logic of China's innovative drugs.
We predict that due to the early opening of TCM formula granules VBP in some provinces and intensifying competition, the market pattern of TCM formula granules would face reshaping.
After the atropine eye drops is approved by the NMPA, Xingqi’s performance growth will accelerate. Supported by favorable policies, its market value is expected to reach above RMB30 billion.


China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.15)- New Policy of Innovative Drug, TCM Formula Granules, Xingqi Pharma

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing / Index Rebalance

Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK)

<ul>
<li>The FRTIB benchmark switch from the EAFE Index to the ACWI IMI ex-USA ex-China ex-Hong Kong Index will result in a round trip trade of around US$56bn.</li>
<li>The changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50</a> and a bunch of other mainland China indices will be announced after market close on Friday.</li>
<li>Relatively quiet week for ETF flows with no major creations or redemptions during the week.</li>
</ul>


The FRTIB benchmark switch from the EAFE Index to the ACWI IMI ex-USA ex-China ex-Hong Kong Index will result in a round trip trade of around US$56bn.
The changes for the CSI 300, CSI 500, STAR50, SSE50 and a bunch of other mainland China indices will be announced after market close on Friday.
Relatively quiet week for ETF flows with no major creations or redemptions during the week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: FRTIB, Japan, CSI300, CSI500, STAR50, WuXi XDC, Asahi

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Daiichi Sankyo announced positive topline result from the phase 3 trial of Enhertu in gastric cancer. Kyorin Pharmaceutical outlicensed KRP-M223, a preclinical mast-cell-targeting candidate for chronic spontaneous urticaria, to Novartis.</li>
<li>Celltrion received FDA approval for Stoboclo and Osenvelt, biosimilars referencing Prolia and Xgeva, respectively. Zydus Lifesciences expects to start the development of world’s first combination vaccine against shigellosis and typhoid.</li>
<li>Biocon received FDA approval for lenalidomide capsules, indicated for types of multiple myeloma, and some other hematologic indications and dasatinib tablets for the treatment of chronic myeloid leukemia.</li>
</ul>


Daiichi Sankyo announced positive topline result from the phase 3 trial of Enhertu in gastric cancer. Kyorin Pharmaceutical outlicensed KRP-M223, a preclinical mast-cell-targeting candidate for chronic spontaneous urticaria, to Novartis.
Celltrion received FDA approval for Stoboclo and Osenvelt, biosimilars referencing Prolia and Xgeva, respectively. Zydus Lifesciences expects to start the development of world’s first combination vaccine against shigellosis and typhoid.
Biocon received FDA approval for lenalidomide capsules, indicated for types of multiple myeloma, and some other hematologic indications and dasatinib tablets for the treatment of chronic myeloid leukemia.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Mar 9)- Daiichi Sankyo, Kyorin Pharma, Celltrion, Zydus Lifesciences, Biocon

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

<ul>
<li>We highlight 10 stocks in China that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Three stocks remain, seven new join the fray</li>
<li>Since inception, it has gained 172% versus the CSI 300 Index’s return of 62%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 10 stocks in China that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Three stocks remain, seven new join the fray
Since inception, it has gained 172% versus the CSI 300 Index’s return of 62%


<ul>
<li>By comparing medical insurance expenditure and income, as well as the pharmaceutical manufacturing revenues and profits for the same period, we find something interesting. </li>
<li>Due to COVID-19, the sales of TCM in 22Q4 and 23Q1 surged. But in 23Q2-Q4, people's demand could change. Therefore, the performance of related TCM company would also switch. </li>
<li>New generation weight loss drugs represented by Semaglutide would change the logic and supply-demand relationship of the entire market. This is a situation that investors need to be aware of.</li>
</ul>


By comparing medical insurance expenditure and income, as well as the pharmaceutical manufacturing revenues and profits for the same period, we find something interesting. 
Due to COVID-19, the sales of TCM in 22Q4 and 23Q1 surged. But in 23Q2-Q4, people's demand could change. Therefore, the performance of related TCM company would also switch. 
New generation weight loss drugs represented by Semaglutide would change the logic and supply-demand relationship of the entire market. This is a situation that investors need to be aware of.


China Healthcare Weekly (Jul.14)-TCM Demand Switch, 8% Benchmark Growth Rate, GLP-1 Change Game Rule

China

China Resources Sanjiu Medical & Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets medicines, healthcare products, and medical instruments.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also operates in pharmaceutical trading, printing, food manufacturing, real estate development, and provides medical services.

China Resources Sanjiu Medical & Pharma (000999 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Resources Sanjiu Medical & Pharma (000999 CH)

China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.15)- New Policy of Innovative Drug, TCM Formula Granules, Xingqi Pharma

New policy of innovative drug is a big deal. We've reasons to start being optimistic.The market pattern of TCM formula granules will face...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: FRTIB, Japan, CSI300, CSI500, STAR50, WuXi XDC, Asahi

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Mar 9)- Daiichi Sankyo, Kyorin Pharma, Celltrion, Zydus Lifesciences, Biocon

APAC healthcare companies continued to get approvals for new products and initiates clinical trials. The companies continued with acquisitions and...

Tina Banerjee

The Stocks to Own in China – Vol. 34

We highlight 10 China A stocks that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Three stocks remain, seven new join...

A. Stotz Investment Research

China Healthcare Weekly (Jul.14)-TCM Demand Switch, 8% Benchmark Growth Rate, GLP-1 Change Game Rule

8% could be a benchmark growth rate for future healthcare industry. People's TCM demand switch will lead to changes in TCM company's performance....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)