Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Agricultural Bank Of China / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$9.3bn this week, on smallish two-way volumes. Banks were a big buy.</li>
<li>It is not clear how much of this is H/A discounts, expected dividend tax removal, shareholder return KPIs for SOE CEOs, upcoming Third Plenum policy, or national team buying...</li>
<li>But valuations are acceptable. Flows are good. Policy changes are afoot. SOUTHBOUND may continue to see inflows - national team and otherwise.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$9.3bn this week, on smallish two-way volumes. Banks were a big buy.
It is not clear how much of this is H/A discounts, expected dividend tax removal, shareholder return KPIs for SOE CEOs, upcoming Third Plenum policy, or national team buying...
But valuations are acceptable. Flows are good. Policy changes are afoot. SOUTHBOUND may continue to see inflows - national team and otherwise.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 28 June 2024); Still a Net Buy, but Less Strong. Financials Dominate

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 21st.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Zijin Mining, Lenovo, HSBC, Kuaishou, CK Asset, Yankuang Energy, China Longyuan.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 21st.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Zijin Mining, Lenovo, HSBC, Kuaishou, CK Asset, Yankuang Energy, China Longyuan.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Zijin Mining, Lenovo, HSBC, Kuaishou, CK Asset, Yankuang Energy

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 103.3% as of Jun 21st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.5ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, communication services, consumer staples and offset by utilities, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC, Huadian.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 103.3% as of Jun 21st.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.5ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, communication services, consumer staples and offset by utilities, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC, Huadian.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 21st): China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 14th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Baba, Kuaishou, Lenovo, CCB, Yankuang Energy, AIA.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 14th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Baba, Kuaishou, Lenovo, CCB, Yankuang Energy, AIA.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Baba, Kuaishou, Lenovo, CCB, Yankuang Energy, AIA

<ul>
<li>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND's buy streak continues unabated. NORTHBOUND was heavy to sell. Only Tech bought. Consumer sold heavily.</li>
<li>AH Premia lowish in 52-week range, but still high for many pairs. I continue to expect further "convergence" among spreads.</li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
SOUTHBOUND's buy streak continues unabated. NORTHBOUND was heavy to sell. Only Tech bought. Consumer sold heavily.
AH Premia lowish in 52-week range, but still high for many pairs. I continue to expect further "convergence" among spreads.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 14 Jun 2024):  H Underperform A; the More Liquid, the Worse the Performance.

China

China Shenhua Energy Company Limited is an integrated coal-based energy company focusing on the coal and power businesses in China.  The Company also owns and operates an integrated coal transportation network consisting of dedicated rail lines and port facilities.

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China Shenhua Energy Co H (1088 HK)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 28 June 2024); Still a Net Buy, but Less Strong. Financials Dominate

SOUTHBOUND saw its 4th net sell day since Chinese New Year last week. But the week ended up again. That is ~20 weeks in a row. But SOUTHBOUND...

Travis Lundy

HK Short Interest Weekly: Zijin Mining, Lenovo, HSBC, Kuaishou, CK Asset, Yankuang Energy

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 21st and highlight short interest changes in Zijin Mining, Lenovo,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 21st): China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Baba, Kuaishou, Lenovo, CCB, Yankuang Energy, AIA

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jun 14th and highlight short interest changes in Baba, Kuaishou, Lenovo,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A/H Premium Tracker (To 14 Jun 2024): H Underperform A; the More Liquid, the Worse the Performance.

AH Premia up on the week, with Hs underperforming their As by 0.7% on average, 1.2% on liquid pairs. Securities Selection Alpha +0.45% on the week...

Travis Lundy

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