Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for the month ended Jul 31st.</li>
<li>We estimate that the net southbound flows in July were $8.1bn Inflows.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, stake changes, and holdings, and highlight flows for Knowledge Atlas, Ntes, Kingboard Laminates, Xiaomi, Alibaba.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for the month ended Jul 31st.
We estimate that the net southbound flows in July were $8.1bn Inflows.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, stake changes, and holdings, and highlight flows for Knowledge Atlas, Ntes, Kingboard Laminates, Xiaomi, Alibaba.


HK Connect Monthly (July): $8.1bn Inflows

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 100 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, EOPTOLINK TECHNOLOGY, TONGWEI, Longi Green, SERES, ZIJIN MINING, PING AN INSURANCE, GIGADEVICE SEMICONDUCTOR.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 100 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, EOPTOLINK TECHNOLOGY, TONGWEI, Longi Green, SERES, ZIJIN MINING, PING AN INSURANCE, GIGADEVICE SEMICONDUCTOR.


CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Jul): ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, EOPTOLINK TECHNOLOGY, TONGWEI, Longi Green

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 31st.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Smic, Xiaomi, Knowledge Atlas, Yofc, Kingboard Hldg, CCB, J&amp;T Express, China Hongqiao, China Mobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 31st.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Smic, Xiaomi, Knowledge Atlas, Yofc, Kingboard Hldg, CCB, J&amp;T Express, China Hongqiao, China Mobile.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jul 31st): Alibaba, Smic, Xiaomi, Knowledge Atlas, Yofc, Kingboard Hldg

Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Technical Analysis

<ul><li>The main drivers for Hong Kong stock rallies are short covering, buybacks, and China government real estate support measures announcements.</li><li>Hang Seng Index and most of its constituents continue to read like bear porn. Without a meaningful reversal/impulse rally, it is hard to call for a reversal.</li><li>I hear and agree the case is so bad that it must be a buy signal. The sentiment is precious, BUT it needs a price action supporting the exhaustion thesis.</li></ul>

The main drivers for Hong Kong stock rallies are short covering, buybacks, and China government real estate support measures announcements.Hang Seng Index and most of its constituents continue to read like bear porn. Without a meaningful reversal/impulse rally, it is hard to call for a reversal.I hear and agree the case is so bad that it must be a buy signal. The sentiment is precious, BUT it needs a price action supporting the exhaustion thesis.

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +32.6%y/y for 2Q22, an acceleration from what was reported for 1Q22.</li>
<li>61% of companies delivered positive sales surprise, up from 58% in 1Q22, whilst 56% delivered positive EPS surprise, down from 64% in 1Q22.</li>
<li>Historically, there has been a massive difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.</li>
</ul>


The 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +32.6%y/y for 2Q22, an acceleration from what was reported for 1Q22.
61% of companies delivered positive sales surprise, up from 58% in 1Q22, whilst 56% delivered positive EPS surprise, down from 64% in 1Q22.
Historically, there has been a massive difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.


Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 2Q2022

China

China Shenhua Energy Company Limited is an integrated coal-based energy company focusing on the coal and power businesses in China. The Company also owns and operates an integrated coal transportation network consisting of dedicated rail lines and port facilities.

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China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd (601088 CH)

HK Connect Monthly (July): $8.1bn Inflows

We estimate inflows to be $8.1bn from mainland investors to HK stocks in July. We highlight flows for Knowledge Atlas, Ntes, Kingboard Laminates,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Jul): ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, EOPTOLINK TECHNOLOGY, TONGWEI, Longi Green

We analyzed CSI 100's consensus for Jul 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT (300308 CH), EOPTOLINK TECHNOLOGY (300502 CH),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jul 31st): Alibaba, Smic, Xiaomi, Knowledge Atlas, Yofc, Kingboard Hldg

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Smic, Xiaomi, Knowledge Atlas, Yofc, Kingboard...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Xinyi Solar, BYD, and Bank of China

The main drivers for Hong Kong stock rallies are short covering, buybacks, and China government real estate support measures announcements.

Untying The Gordian Knot

Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 2Q2022

In this quarterly insight, we analyse recent GEM reporting trends with reference to Sales- and EPS growth, size and percentage of positive...

Wium Malan, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)