HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-longyuan-power-group-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14215:1" rel="noopener">China Longyuan Power (916 HK)</a> should see a mean reversion of its valuations. It has rebounded 36% from the the 2024 trough, but has only gone up 0.3% YTD.</li>
<li>There are three catalysts in place to drive the move: acceleration in power generation, cash flow improvement, and recovery in the wind power market.</li>
<li>Its P/B is at a 40% discount to average, and a return to such level will generate a 60% upside. Even after reversion, its PER of 7.8x is not stretched.</li>
</ul>



China Longyuan Power (916 HK) should see a mean reversion of its valuations. It has rebounded 36% from the the 2024 trough, but has only gone up 0.3% YTD.
There are three catalysts in place to drive the move: acceleration in power generation, cash flow improvement, and recovery in the wind power market.
Its P/B is at a 40% discount to average, and a return to such level will generate a 60% upside. Even after reversion, its PER of 7.8x is not stretched.


China Power International / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-power-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15548:1" rel="noopener">China Power International (2380 HK)</a>'s Jan power sales showed a sharp 41.2% YoY growth. More importantly, this marks sustaining a solid MoM trend in the last few months. </li>
<li>Recovery of the hydropower generation is encouraging as this was a drag last year. Meanwhile, higher coal-fired generation will capture the better profitability of this segment.</li>
<li>CPI's strongest earnings CAGR in the sector has made its earnings multiples increasingly cheap over the next two years. After +15.7% YTD in its share price, there is further upside.</li>
</ul>



China Power International (2380 HK)'s Jan power sales showed a sharp 41.2% YoY growth. More importantly, this marks sustaining a solid MoM trend in the last few months. 
Recovery of the hydropower generation is encouraging as this was a drag last year. Meanwhile, higher coal-fired generation will capture the better profitability of this segment.
CPI's strongest earnings CAGR in the sector has made its earnings multiples increasingly cheap over the next two years. After +15.7% YTD in its share price, there is further upside.


China Power International (2380 HK): We See More Upside

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 122.6% as of Feb 23rd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.1ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, materials, health care and offset by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for SMIC, Flat Glass Group, GWM, China Longyuan, Wuxi Apptec, Shandong Gold.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 122.6% as of Feb 23rd.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.1ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, materials, health care and offset by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for SMIC, Flat Glass Group, GWM, China Longyuan, Wuxi Apptec, Shandong Gold.


A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 23rd): SMIC, Flat Glass Group, GWM, China Longyuan, Wuxi Apptec

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 129.8% as of Feb 9th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 6.2ppt week-on-week, led by health care, materials, real estate and offset by consumer discretionary, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Zijin Mining, Conch Cement, China Vanke, Air China, Shandong Gold, RemeGen, CICC, Shanghai Junshi.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 129.8% as of Feb 9th.
The average A-H premium changed by 6.2ppt week-on-week, led by health care, materials, real estate and offset by consumer discretionary, communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Zijin Mining, Conch Cement, China Vanke, Air China, Shandong Gold, RemeGen, CICC, Shanghai Junshi.


A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 9th): Zijin Mining, Conch Cement, China Vanke, Air China, Shandong Gold

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 128.5% as of Jan 26th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.6ppt week-on-week, led by energy, industrials, health care and offset by real estate, communication services, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Haier Smart Home, China Tourism, Conch Cement, Tsingtao Brew, Gwmotor, China Energy Engineering, Tianqi Lithium Corporation.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 128.5% as of Jan 26th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.6ppt week-on-week, led by energy, industrials, health care and offset by real estate, communication services, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Haier Smart Home, China Tourism, Conch Cement, Tsingtao Brew, Gwmotor, China Energy Engineering, Tianqi Lithium Corporation.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 26th): Haier Smart, China Tourism, Conch Cement, Tsingtao Brew, GWM

China

China Suntien Green Energy Corp Ltd operates a wind farm and a natural gas business. The Company intends to build wind power projects and develop natural gas projects throughout China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Suntien Green Energy (956 HK)

China Longyuan (916 HK): Mean Reversion

China Longyuan is poised for a valuation mean reversion with three catalysts: power generation acceleration, cash flow improvement, and wind power...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Power International (2380 HK): We See More Upside

CPI saw a strong 41.2% growth in Jan power sales, sustaining a solid MoM trend. Recovery in hydropower and higher coal-fired generation will boost...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 23rd): SMIC, Flat Glass Group, GWM, China Longyuan, Wuxi Apptec

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for SMIC, Flat Glass Group, GWM, China Longyuan, Wuxi Apptec,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 9th): Zijin Mining, Conch Cement, China Vanke, Air China, Shandong Gold

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Zijin Mining, Conch Cement, China Vanke, Air China, Shandong...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 26th): Haier Smart, China Tourism, Conch Cement, Tsingtao Brew, GWM

We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Haier Smart Home, China Tourism, Conch Cement, Tsingtao Brew, Gwmotor, China Energy Engineering,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Longyuan (916 HK): Mean Reversion

​China Longyuan is poised for a valuation mean reversion with three catalysts: power generation acceleration, cash flow improvement, and wind power...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Power International (2380 HK): We See More Upside

CPI saw a strong 41.2% growth in Jan power sales, sustaining a solid MoM trend. Recovery in hydropower and higher coal-fired generation will boost...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 23rd): SMIC, Flat Glass Group, GWM, China Longyuan, Wuxi Apptec

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for SMIC, Flat Glass Group, GWM, China Longyuan, Wuxi Apptec,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 9th): Zijin Mining, Conch Cement, China Vanke, Air China, Shandong Gold

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Zijin Mining, Conch Cement, China Vanke, Air China, Shandong...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 26th): Haier Smart, China Tourism, Conch Cement, Tsingtao Brew, GWM

We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Haier Smart Home, China Tourism, Conch Cement, Tsingtao Brew, Gwmotor, China Energy Engineering,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Longyuan is poised for a valuation mean reversion with three catalysts: power generation acceleration, cash flow improvement, and wind power...