Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 125.5% as of Sep 30th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 6.5ppt weeok on week, led by consumer staples, industrials, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Ping An, Bankcomm, Angang Steel, Remegen, Qingdao Port, China Tourism, Asymchem Lab, Flat Glass.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 125.5% as of Sep 30th.
The average A-H premium changed by 6.5ppt weeok on week, led by consumer staples, industrials, communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Ping An, Bankcomm, Angang Steel, Remegen, Qingdao Port, China Tourism, Asymchem Lab, Flat Glass.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 30th): China Tourism at New Low Since Listing

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Over 80% of the way through the review period for the December rebalance, we see 7 stocks in inclusion/exclusion zone. However, there can be a maximum of 5 changes.</li>
<li>We estimate a one-way turnover of 3.9% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 2.85bn.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50 Index (SSE50 INDEX)</a> by a wide margin over the last few months.</li>
</ul>


Over 80% of the way through the review period for the December rebalance, we see 7 stocks in inclusion/exclusion zone. However, there can be a maximum of 5 changes.
We estimate a one-way turnover of 3.9% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 2.85bn.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the SSE50 Index (SSE50 INDEX) by a wide margin over the last few months.


SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Sector Rotation To Continue

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China has long been known to undertake ambitious projects that seek to move resources right across the country to develop areas critical to the economy. </li><li>Looking to replicate its early successes, Beijing has initiated a similar national resource channeling project. This time around, it is targeting data centers, which are seen by Beijing as critical infrastructure for today’s increasingly digitalized economy.</li><li>The main idea of the plan is to boost data centers in the country’s economically poorer but energy-rich western regions, taking part of the data processing workload currently handled predominantly in eastern facilities, where energy is more expensive.</li></ul>

China has long been known to undertake ambitious projects that seek to move resources right across the country to develop areas critical to the economy. Looking to replicate its early successes, Beijing has initiated a similar national resource channeling project. This time around, it is targeting data centers, which are seen by Beijing as critical infrastructure for today’s increasingly digitalized economy.The main idea of the plan is to boost data centers in the country’s economically poorer but energy-rich western regions, taking part of the data processing workload currently handled predominantly in eastern facilities, where energy is more expensive.

Five Things to Know About China’s Mega East-West Data Center Plan

Event-Driven

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Most companies have announced their final dividends for 2021 and most of those have announced ex-dates. Banks and oil companies have announced higher dividends than last year.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnooc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:175:1" rel="noopener">CNOOC Ltd (883 HK)</a> has not declared a dividend yet due to its IPO, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunac-china-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:240:1" rel="noopener">Sunac China Holdings (1918 HK)</a>'s suspension could lead to index deletion in June or July. </li>
<li>Using current/proforma index compositions and conservative estimates for interim dividends, we estimate fair value at 240.73 DIPS for 2022. This is a sell at the last close or higher.</li>
</ul>


Most companies have announced their final dividends for 2021 and most of those have announced ex-dates. Banks and oil companies have announced higher dividends than last year.

CNOOC Ltd (883 HK) has not declared a dividend yet due to its IPO, while Sunac China Holdings (1918 HK)'s suspension could lead to index deletion in June or July. 
Using current/proforma index compositions and conservative estimates for interim dividends, we estimate fair value at 240.73 DIPS for 2022. This is a sell at the last close or higher.


HSCEI Dividend Futures: 2022 Fair Value Update & CNOOC/Sunac/JD.com Adjustments

<ul>
<li>Chinese technology, media and telecommunications companies increasingly turned to raising capital on domestic stock markets in the second half of 2021 amid headwinds on selling shares abroad</li>
<li>Initial public offerings (IPOs) in Hong Kong and overseas by the sector, known as TMT companies, declined to 25% of total financing in the second half from 82% in the first</li>
<li>
<p>Meanwhile, 89% of the 74 second-half share flotations by mainland TMT companies took place on China’s markets</p>
<p></p>
</li>
</ul>


Chinese technology, media and telecommunications companies increasingly turned to raising capital on domestic stock markets in the second half of 2021 amid headwinds on selling shares abroad
Initial public offerings (IPOs) in Hong Kong and overseas by the sector, known as TMT companies, declined to 25% of total financing in the second half from 82% in the first

Meanwhile, 89% of the 74 second-half share flotations by mainland TMT companies took place on China’s markets




China’s Tech, Media and Telecom Companies Flock to Domestic Markets

China

China Telecom Corporation Limited offers wireline telecom services. The Company provides internet access, mobile communications connecting, and other services. China Telecom also offers information consulting services.

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China Telecom (601728 CH)

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 30th): China Tourism at New Low Since Listing

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Ping An, Bankcomm, Angang Steel, Remegen, Qingdao Port,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Sector Rotation To Continue

We forecast 5 changes for the SSE50 Index in December. There are a few names that are close to add/delete zone and price/volume changes can lead to...

Brian Freitas

Five Things to Know About China’s Mega East-West Data Center Plan

China has long been known to undertake ambitious projects that seek to move resources right across the country to develop areas critical to the...

Caixin Global

HSCEI Dividend Futures: 2022 Fair Value Update & CNOOC/Sunac/JD.com Adjustments

We estimate a fair value of 240.73 DIPS for the HSCEI 2022 dividend futures after adjusting for CNOOC/Sunac/JD.com. We would be sellers of the...

Brian Freitas

China’s Tech, Media and Telecom Companies Flock to Domestic Markets

Chinese technology, media and telecommunications companies increasingly turned to raising capital on domestic stock markets in the second half of...

Caixin Global

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Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)