Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Fuyao Glass Industry Group / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>HUGE, rampaging, "Beautiful Skew"... unwinds. Big swings in H/A ratios continue, this time on average with 2.3% H underperformance vs As, 4% wider on the highest AH premia.</li>
<li>Last week's long reco on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guangzhou-automobile-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11082:1" rel="noopener">Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK)</a> was up 1 tick on the week in Hs and Hs underperformed the A by 1.5%. </li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there free for SK readers.</li>
</ul>


HUGE, rampaging, "Beautiful Skew"... unwinds. Big swings in H/A ratios continue, this time on average with 2.3% H underperformance vs As, 4% wider on the highest AH premia.
Last week's long reco on Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK) was up 1 tick on the week in Hs and Hs underperformed the A by 1.5%. 
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there free for SK readers.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 22 Aug 2025):  BIG Beautiful Skew Corrects

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>For 1H25, the companies under our coverage will report a 16.8% earnings growth. Breaking down by quarter, 2Q25 growth will accelerate to 30.8%, from 14.1% in 1Q25. </li>
<li>The best growth rates are at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-building-ma-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:184:1" rel="noopener">China National Building Material (3323 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-international-capital-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1071:1" rel="noopener">CICC (3908 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-capital-international-airport-bcia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10626:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Capital Intl Airport (694 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongcheng-travel-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27363:1" rel="noopener">Tongcheng Travel (780 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sitc-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15301:1" rel="noopener">SITC Intl (1308 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>The worst ones are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-travel-international-investment-hong-kong" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3879:1" rel="noopener">China Travel Intl (308 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosco-shipping-energy-tran-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:646:1" rel="noopener">Cosco Shipping Energy Transp (1138 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-southern-airlines-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1078:1" rel="noopener">China Southern Airlines (1055 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36229:1" rel="noopener">CTG Duty Free (1880 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-basin-shipping-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:929:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Basin (2343 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


For 1H25, the companies under our coverage will report a 16.8% earnings growth. Breaking down by quarter, 2Q25 growth will accelerate to 30.8%, from 14.1% in 1Q25. 
The best growth rates are at China National Building Material (3323 HK), CICC (3908 HK), Beijing Capital Intl Airport (694 HK), Tongcheng Travel (780 HK), and SITC Intl (1308 HK). 
The worst ones are China Travel Intl (308 HK), Cosco Shipping Energy Transp (1138 HK), China Southern Airlines (1055 HK), CTG Duty Free (1880 HK), and Pacific Basin (2343 HK). 


China & HK Strategy: 1H25 Preview - Where Are the Upside and Downside Surprises?

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

<ul>
<li>A big structural change to underpin consumer demand goes unnoticed</li>
<li>Efforts to prop up retail sales this year have had the desired effect</li>
<li>We change up the members of the original consumer basket</li>
</ul>


A big structural change to underpin consumer demand goes unnoticed
Efforts to prop up retail sales this year have had the desired effect
We change up the members of the original consumer basket


Low Bar, High Bounce: China’s Consumer Comeback

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>With a spate of A/H listings already done in the first half and a lot more in the pipeline, we look at some of the trends from the recent listings.</li>
<li>In this note, we will also talk about how the A/H premiums have moved since our last note in March 2025.</li>
<li>Overall, recent A/H listings have somewhat reversed the trend of past A/H listings not doing much in the near term, with a few exceptions.</li>
</ul>


With a spate of A/H listings already done in the first half and a lot more in the pipeline, we look at some of the trends from the recent listings.
In this note, we will also talk about how the A/H premiums have moved since our last note in March 2025.
Overall, recent A/H listings have somewhat reversed the trend of past A/H listings not doing much in the near term, with a few exceptions.


A/H Premiums & Recent Listings Performance-Changing Trends but Quality Matters More than the Premium

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lens-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45390:1" rel="noopener">Lens Technology (6613 HK)</a> priced its H Share at HK$18.18 to raise HK$4,768 million (US$607 million) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/lens-technology-h-share-listing-6613-hk-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:191858" rel="noopener">Lens Technology H Share Listing (6613 HK): The Investment Case</a>. </li>
<li>Lens had the fourth-highest international oversubscription rates among recent large AH listings. The AH discount is attractive in part due to the decent price momentum.</li>
</ul>



Lens Technology (6613 HK) priced its H Share at HK$18.18 to raise HK$4,768 million (US$607 million) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.
I discussed the H Share listing in Lens Technology H Share Listing (6613 HK): The Investment Case. 
Lens had the fourth-highest international oversubscription rates among recent large AH listings. The AH discount is attractive in part due to the decent price momentum.


Lens Technology H Share Listing (6613 HK): Trading Debut

China

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited engages in sales of duty free goods and tax goods. The Company sells tobacco, wine and spirits, perfume, cosmetics, fashion and accessories, watches, jewelry, food, luggage products,and other products. China Tourism Group Duty Free also engages in investment and development of tourism destination commercial complexes.

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China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880 HK)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 22 Aug 2025): BIG Beautiful Skew Corrects

BIG BEAUTIFUL SKEW Corrects 2.3%. Feels like more of a correction to come. A shares seeing a real push on the speculative side.

Travis Lundy

China & HK Strategy: 1H25 Preview - Where Are the Upside and Downside Surprises?

The companies under our coverage are expected to report 16.8% earnings growth for 1H25, with 2Q25 accelerating to 30.8%. Top performers include...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Low Bar, High Bounce: China’s Consumer Comeback

One of the members of our consumer basket, China Duty Free $1880, is up 16% today and 28% since we published, highlighting the asymmetric nature of...

Rikki Malik

A/H Premiums & Recent Listings Performance-Changing Trends but Quality Matters More than the Premium

With a spate of A/H listings already done in the first half and a lot more in the pipeline, we look at some of the trends from the recent listings.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 22 Aug 2025): BIG Beautiful Skew Corrects

BIG BEAUTIFUL SKEW Corrects 2.3%. Feels like more of a correction to come. A shares seeing a real push on the speculative side.

Travis Lundy

China & HK Strategy: 1H25 Preview - Where Are the Upside and Downside Surprises?

The companies under our coverage are expected to report 16.8% earnings growth for 1H25, with 2Q25 accelerating to 30.8%. Top performers include...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Low Bar, High Bounce: China’s Consumer Comeback

One of the members of our consumer basket, China Duty Free $1880, is up 16% today and 28% since we published, highlighting the asymmetric nature of...

Rikki Malik

A/H Premiums & Recent Listings Performance-Changing Trends but Quality Matters More than the Premium

With a spate of A/H listings already done in the first half and a lot more in the pipeline, we look at some of the trends from the recent listings.

Sumeet Singh

Lens Technology H Share Listing (6613 HK): Trading Debut

Lens had the fourth-highest international oversubscription rates among recent large AH listings. The AH discount is attractive in part due to the...

Arun George