HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Policies will determine the development direction of the industry, which would then determine the profit model of companies. Companies that align with policy direction would outperform in the coming cycle.</li>
<li>The prosperity of the industry would determine the development trend of companies. For China healthcare, without a significant policy shift, it would be difficult for industry beta to emerge.</li>
<li>Domestic companies cannot achieve successful commercialization/internationalization mainly because they don’t have excellent enough products. It must be innovation that keeps companies alive and then thrive, rather than relying on policy changes.</li>
</ul>


Policies will determine the development direction of the industry, which would then determine the profit model of companies. Companies that align with policy direction would outperform in the coming cycle.
The prosperity of the industry would determine the development trend of companies. For China healthcare, without a significant policy shift, it would be difficult for industry beta to emerge.
Domestic companies cannot achieve successful commercialization/internationalization mainly because they don’t have excellent enough products. It must be innovation that keeps companies alive and then thrive, rather than relying on policy changes.


The Cyclicality of China Healthcare - Policy Environment, the Industry, and Investment Opportunities

<ul>
<li>The current policy environment determines that TCM is the core asset of pharmaceuticals, not innovative drugs. We think it is necessary to take a fresh look at TCM industry.</li>
<li>TCM formula granules have more opportunities. Exclusive variety of branded OTC TCM has better outlook. TCM medical services also deserve investors’ attention, because hospitals are the main channels for TCM. </li>
<li>China's pharmaceutical industry has its unique features. We recommend investors to leave a place in the portfolio to invest in TCM companies, which could outperform in the current pharmaceutical environment.</li>
</ul>


The current policy environment determines that TCM is the core asset of pharmaceuticals, not innovative drugs. We think it is necessary to take a fresh look at TCM industry.
TCM formula granules have more opportunities. Exclusive variety of branded OTC TCM has better outlook. TCM medical services also deserve investors’ attention, because hospitals are the main channels for TCM. 
China's pharmaceutical industry has its unique features. We recommend investors to leave a place in the portfolio to invest in TCM companies, which could outperform in the current pharmaceutical environment.


China Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) Industry - TCM Is Becoming Indispensable in the Portfolio

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>More than a year in, the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-natural-gas-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16456:1" rel="noopener">ENN Natural Gas (600803 CH)</a> offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy (2688 HK)</a> lapses as the long stop date (12 June) was not extended.</li>
<li>The offer was effectively blocked, not by an explicit CSRC rejection with stated reasons, but by the approval process failing to conclude within a viable timeframe.</li>
<li>The CSRC's non-approval is unprecedented, as the transaction has received NDRC, MoC, and SAFE approvals. My estimated deal-break price is HK$49.00 (broadly in line with the last close).</li>
</ul>


More than a year in, the ENN Natural Gas (600803 CH) offer for ENN Energy (2688 HK) lapses as the long stop date (12 June) was not extended.
The offer was effectively blocked, not by an explicit CSRC rejection with stated reasons, but by the approval process failing to conclude within a viable timeframe.
The CSRC's non-approval is unprecedented, as the transaction has received NDRC, MoC, and SAFE approvals. My estimated deal-break price is HK$49.00 (broadly in line with the last close).


ENN Energy (2688 HK): Precedent Set as the Offer Is Effectively Blocked by Regulators

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

This is an invest-able idea at the private level  with long term benefits. Both for the body, and for other ideas as well.Ever since I turned over a new leaf vis a vis health five plus years ago, I have explored active alternative health solutions. I have a long list of things I have solved and people I have seen gain real improvements from alternative treatments.  I have seen real growth in options to treatment of severe conditions.Most interesting perhaps has been learning about the benefits…

This is an invest-able idea at the private level  with long term benefits. Both for the body, and for other ideas as well.Ever since I turned over a new leaf vis a vis health five plus years ago, I have explored active alternative health solutions. I have a long list of things I have solved and people I have seen gain real improvements from alternative treatments.  I have seen real growth in options to treatment of severe conditions.Most interesting perhaps has been learning about the benefits…

Energy Medicine. Personal Experience. Impact. Growth in Asia. Ideas

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

<ul><li>From a demand perspective, Asia’s population is growing as is longevity. On the supply side, Asia’s number of doctors, nurses, hospitals and medical equipment diverge across the region, and still trail the per capita averages of the 34 OECD member countries. </li><li>For a shorter-term perspective, over the past five weeks, four Healthcare stocks (Cordlife Group, iX Biopharma, UG Healthcare Corporation &amp; Health Management International) have released Annual Reports whilst a secondary listing (Techcomp Holdings) has released an Interim Report.</li><li>Within these reports, there are examples of how the Healthcare Sector is adapting to Asia Pacific demographics, maintaining an ongoing focus on Research &amp; Development, monitoring pharmaceutical &amp; food regulation trends, collaborating with communities to build business channels, expansion of production lines and pursuing value chain management in manufacturing and distribution. </li></ul>

From a demand perspective, Asia’s population is growing as is longevity. On the supply side, Asia’s number of doctors, nurses, hospitals and medical equipment diverge across the region, and still trail the per capita averages of the 34 OECD member countries. For a shorter-term perspective, over the past five weeks, four Healthcare stocks (Cordlife Group, iX Biopharma, UG Healthcare Corporation &amp; Health Management International) have released Annual Reports whilst a secondary listing (Techcomp Holdings) has released an Interim Report.Within these reports, there are examples of how the Healthcare Sector is adapting to Asia Pacific demographics, maintaining an ongoing focus on Research &amp; Development, monitoring pharmaceutical &amp; food regulation trends, collaborating with communities to build business channels, expansion of production lines and pursuing value chain management in manufacturing and distribution. 

Hong Kong

China Traditional Chinese Medicine Holdings Co. Ltd. is an investment holding company engaged in the research, development, production, and sale of traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) and pharmaceutical products. It offers concentrated TCM granules, healthcare products, decoction pieces, and finished drugs, as well as Chinese medical healthcare solutions. The company was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Hong Kong.

China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)

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China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)

The Cyclicality of China Healthcare - Policy Environment, the Industry, and Investment Opportunities

Without industry beta, China healthcare companies still have opportunity to achieve countercyclical breakthrough.Investors need to be in line with...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) Industry - TCM Is Becoming Indispensable in the Portfolio

The current policy environment in China indicates that TCM is core asset of pharmaceuticals, not innovative drug R&D. It''s time to take TCM...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

ENN Energy (2688 HK): Precedent Set as the Offer Is Effectively Blocked by Regulators

The CSRC's non-approval is unprecedented, as the offer has already received approvals from the NDRC, MoC, and SAFE. My estimated deal-break price...

Arun George

Energy Medicine. Personal Experience. Impact. Growth in Asia. Ideas

This is an invest-able idea at the private level with long term benefits. Both for the body, and for other ideas as well.Ever since I turned over...

Charles De Trenck

Key Drivers of Asia's Healthcare Sector

From a demand perspective, Asia’s population is growing as is longevity. On the supply side, Asia’s number of doctors, nurses, hospitals and...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

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52-week Range

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