HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China Travel International Investment Hong Kong / Equity Bottom-Up

China Travel International Investment Hong Kong

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-travel-international-investment-hong-kong" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3879:1" rel="noopener">China Travel International Investment Hong Kong (308 HK)</a>'s 1-week share price rally was driven by restructuring speculations. Yet, underlying operations have improved in 2H24.  </li>
<li>Tourist attractions and hotel operations will stay decent in FY25, and more projects will come on stream to fuel profitability.</li>
<li>Asset-Based valuation should be the focus, and its 0.49x P/B is inexpensive. Net cash now equals 8.2% of the share price. </li>
</ul>



China Travel International Investment Hong Kong (308 HK)'s 1-week share price rally was driven by restructuring speculations. Yet, underlying operations have improved in 2H24.  
Tourist attractions and hotel operations will stay decent in FY25, and more projects will come on stream to fuel profitability.
Asset-Based valuation should be the focus, and its 0.49x P/B is inexpensive. Net cash now equals 8.2% of the share price. 


China Travel Intl Inv (308 HK): What's UP?

<ul>
<li>It is difficult for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fosun-tourism-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27439:1" rel="noopener">Fosun Tourism (1992 HK)</a> to return to its peak and IPO share prices over the next two years. The buyback proposal represents a good exit opportunity.</li>
<li>Net profit is unlikely to go back to FY19 level even in FY26F. The derating of the Chinese equities and Fosun Group, as well as its high gearing, are barriers.</li>
<li>Its PER multiples have already aligned back to the sector average from the extremely depressed level previously. Relative to global names, it is now only at slight discounts.</li>
</ul>


It is difficult for Fosun Tourism (1992 HK) to return to its peak and IPO share prices over the next two years. The buyback proposal represents a good exit opportunity.
Net profit is unlikely to go back to FY19 level even in FY26F. The derating of the Chinese equities and Fosun Group, as well as its high gearing, are barriers.
Its PER multiples have already aligned back to the sector average from the extremely depressed level previously. Relative to global names, it is now only at slight discounts.


Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Various statistics suggested that China's tourism and hospitality industry has staged a significant recovery during the 2024 CNY holidays, with traffic surging high double-digit.</li>
<li>While consumers are more cautious about retail product spending, they are willing to spend more on traveling. Such a trend will continue to bode well for the sector.</li>
<li>We like OTAs including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongcheng-travel-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27363:1" rel="noopener">Tongcheng Travel (780 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd-23a341d0-4f63-4175-a8c5-ee990906cacd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36424:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com (9961 HK)</a> despite their YTD surge in share prices. Meanwhile, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/air-china-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8239:1" rel="noopener">Air China Ltd (H) (753 HK)</a> stays as the top pick.</li>
</ul>


Various statistics suggested that China's tourism and hospitality industry has staged a significant recovery during the 2024 CNY holidays, with traffic surging high double-digit.
While consumers are more cautious about retail product spending, they are willing to spend more on traveling. Such a trend will continue to bode well for the sector.
We like OTAs including Tongcheng Travel (780 HK) and Trip.com (9961 HK) despite their YTD surge in share prices. Meanwhile, Air China Ltd (H) (753 HK) stays as the top pick.


China Tourism and Hospitality Industry: Roundup of a Solid CNY

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 7th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Xiaomi, CNOOC, SMIC, Meituan, ICBC, China Mobile, Tencent, Hua Hong Semiconductor.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 7th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Xiaomi, CNOOC, SMIC, Meituan, ICBC, China Mobile, Tencent, Hua Hong Semiconductor.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Nov 7th): Xiaomi, CNOOC, SMIC, Meituan, ICBC, China Mobile, Tencent

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 24th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, CNOOC, Pop Mart Intl, Duality Biotherapeutics, China Mobile, Meituan, SMIC, Laopu Gold.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 24th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, CNOOC, Pop Mart Intl, Duality Biotherapeutics, China Mobile, Meituan, SMIC, Laopu Gold.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 24th): Alibaba, CNOOC, Pop Mart Intl, Duality Biotherapeutics

Hong Kong

China Travel International Investment Hong Kong Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates tourist attractions, golf clubs, hotels, and other travel related activities.  The Company also provides passenger transportation as well as freight forwarding and cargo services.

China Travel International Investment Hong Kong (308 HK)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Travel International Investment Hong Kong (308 HK)

China Travel Intl Inv (308 HK): What's UP?

The share price of CTII has surged over 35% since we wrote this Insight 5 days ago, and as of now, it has risen by 17%. Besides the restructuring...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Fosun Tourism (1992 HK): Giving In

Fosun Tourism faces challenges in returning to peak and IPO share prices, making the buyback proposal a good exit opportunity due to barriers like...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Tourism and Hospitality Industry: Roundup of a Solid CNY

China's tourism industry sees a strong recovery during the 2024 CNY holidays, with a high double-digit traffic surge. OTAs like Tongcheng and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Nov 7th): Xiaomi, CNOOC, SMIC, Meituan, ICBC, China Mobile, Tencent

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Xiaomi, CNOOC, SMIC, Meituan, ICBC, China Mobile,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 24th): Alibaba, CNOOC, Pop Mart Intl, Duality Biotherapeutics

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, CNOOC, Pop Mart Intl, Duality Biotherapeutics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Travel Intl Inv (308 HK): What's UP?

The share price of CTII has surged over 35% since we wrote this Insight 5 days ago, and as of now, it has risen by 17%. Besides the restructuring...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Fosun Tourism (1992 HK): Giving In

​Fosun Tourism faces challenges in returning to peak and IPO share prices, making the buyback proposal a good exit opportunity due to barriers like...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Tourism and Hospitality Industry: Roundup of a Solid CNY

​China's tourism industry sees a strong recovery during the 2024 CNY holidays, with a high double-digit traffic surge. OTAs like Tongcheng and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Nov 7th): Xiaomi, CNOOC, SMIC, Meituan, ICBC, China Mobile, Tencent

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Xiaomi, CNOOC, SMIC, Meituan, ICBC, China Mobile,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 24th): Alibaba, CNOOC, Pop Mart Intl, Duality Biotherapeutics

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, CNOOC, Pop Mart Intl, Duality Biotherapeutics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Fosun Tourism faces challenges in returning to peak and IPO share prices, making the buyback proposal a good exit opportunity due to barriers like...

China's tourism industry sees a strong recovery during the 2024 CNY holidays, with a high double-digit traffic surge. OTAs like Tongcheng and...