Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 9.7% in May, outperforming its benchmark by 10.57%.  The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by 57% to 75% since its inception in 10/2024.</li>
<li>The portfolio has a Sharpe ratio of 1.37 since its inception, with a mean excess annualized return of 21% and a beta of 1.2.  </li>
<li>At the end of May, we sold our remaining positions in the mining and materials sectors and added positions in the power, consumer and property sectors.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 9.7% in May, outperforming its benchmark by 10.57%.  The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by 57% to 75% since its inception in 10/2024.
The portfolio has a Sharpe ratio of 1.37 since its inception, with a mean excess annualized return of 21% and a beta of 1.2.  
At the end of May, we sold our remaining positions in the mining and materials sectors and added positions in the power, consumer and property sectors.


<ul>
<li>Hong Kong market continues to languish, trading flat for the year.  The telecom sector has shown some strength following the rollout of new token packages in May.</li>
<li>Materials and energy sectors have gone from top performers to lagging sectors since the ceasefire was announced in early April.  </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pony-ai-inc-class-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46237:1" rel="noopener">Pony.ai (2026 HK)</a> shares jumped after the company announced it's increasing its robotaxi fleet target for this year, following stronger-than-expected 1Q26 revenue driven by growth in robotaxi and intelligent solutions.
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong market continues to languish, trading flat for the year.  The telecom sector has shown some strength following the rollout of new token packages in May.
Materials and energy sectors have gone from top performers to lagging sectors since the ceasefire was announced in early April.  

Pony.ai (2026 HK) shares jumped after the company announced it's increasing its robotaxi fleet target for this year, following stronger-than-expected 1Q26 revenue driven by growth in robotaxi and intelligent solutions.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (May 2026)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China's telecom sector is capitalizing on its position as an AI infrastructure play, launching AI Token packages this month to serve its business and retail customers.</li>
<li>China Telecom has rolled out nationwide packages starting at RMB 9.9/month.  China Mobile provides access to Qwen 3.6 Lite for up to 18k prompts for RMB 40/month.</li>
<li>Valuations in China's telecom sector remain attractive, with low-single-digit cash flow multiples and dividend yields of 6%.</li>
</ul>


China's telecom sector is capitalizing on its position as an AI infrastructure play, launching AI Token packages this month to serve its business and retail customers.
China Telecom has rolled out nationwide packages starting at RMB 9.9/month.  China Mobile provides access to Qwen 3.6 Lite for up to 18k prompts for RMB 40/month.
Valuations in China's telecom sector remain attractive, with low-single-digit cash flow multiples and dividend yields of 6%.


CHINA TELECOM SECTOR: AI Exposure With A Dividend!!

<ul>
<li>China's cloud companies like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingsoft-cloud-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36647:1" rel="noopener">Kingsoft Cloud Holdings (3896 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ming-yuan-cloud-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29268:1" rel="noopener">Ming Yuan Cloud Group (909 HK)</a> benefit from the democratization of AI its concurrent increased data needs.</li>
<li>China's telecom companies like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-unicom-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1016:1" rel="noopener">China Unicom Hong Kong (762 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-telecom-corp-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1015:1" rel="noopener">China Telecom (H) (728 HK)</a> are now major players in the country's AI ecosystem.</li>
<li>China's data center companies like GDS Holdings (9698 HK) , 21Vianet Group (VNET US) , and SUNeVision Holdings (1686 HK) are benefiting from the increased data needs of AI industry.</li>
</ul>


China's cloud companies like Kingsoft Cloud Holdings (3896 HK) and Ming Yuan Cloud Group (909 HK) benefit from the democratization of AI its concurrent increased data needs.
China's telecom companies like China Mobile (941 HK) , China Unicom Hong Kong (762 HK) and China Telecom (H) (728 HK) are now major players in the country's AI ecosystem.
China's data center companies like GDS Holdings (9698 HK) , 21Vianet Group (VNET US) , and SUNeVision Holdings (1686 HK) are benefiting from the increased data needs of AI industry.


Deepseek Rally Creates Winners in CLOUD, TELECOM and DATA CENTERS

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 281 Chinese companies listed on U.S Stock Exchanges with a total market cap of US$869bn. 32 of these companies are listed on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>If the rumours of Chinese stocks being delisted from U.S. Exchanges gathers steam, we could see a wave of secondary listings in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pdd-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27250:1" rel="noopener">PDD Holdings</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/full-truck-alliance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33429:1" rel="noopener">Full Truck Alliance</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vipshop-holdings-ltd-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1088:1" rel="noopener">Vipshop Holdings</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tal-education-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1124:1" rel="noopener">TAL Education</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zeekr-intelligent-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36785:1" rel="noopener">ZEEKR</a> are the largest China ADRs with no HK listing and could come under pressure.</li>
</ul>


We see 281 Chinese companies listed on U.S Stock Exchanges with a total market cap of US$869bn. 32 of these companies are listed on the HKEX (388 HK). 
If the rumours of Chinese stocks being delisted from U.S. Exchanges gathers steam, we could see a wave of secondary listings in Hong Kong.

PDD Holdings, Full Truck Alliance, Vipshop Holdings, TAL Education and ZEEKR are the largest China ADRs with no HK listing and could come under pressure.


What if China ADRs Are Delisted from US Exchanges?

Hong Kong

China Unicom (Hong Kong) Limited is an investment holding company that provides comprehensive telecommunications services in China. Its core businesses include mobile services such as voice, roaming, mobile broadband, and value-added services, as well as fixed-line services like broadband access and internet networks. The company also offers ICT, IoT, software development, big data, and cloud computing services. It was incorporated in Hong Kong in February 2000 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.

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China Unicom (762 HK)

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (May 2026)

The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 9.7% in May, outperforming its benchmark by 10.57%. The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by 57%...

David Mudd

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (May 2026)

Pony.ai shares jumped after the company announced it's increasing its robotaxi fleet target for 2026, after stronger-than-expected 1Q26 revenue...

David Mudd

CHINA TELECOM SECTOR: AI Exposure With A Dividend!!

China's telecom sector is capitalizing on its position as an AI infrastructure play, launching AI Token packages this month to serve its business...

David Mudd

Deepseek Rally Creates Winners in CLOUD, TELECOM and DATA CENTERS

Cloud, Telecom and Data Center companies are winners from the DeepSeek sparked AI revolution. Increased data storage, processing and distribution...

David Mudd

What if China ADRs Are Delisted from US Exchanges?

The escalating tariff wars have increased calls in the U.S for Chinese companies to be delisted. While there have been few mentions of an...

Brian Freitas

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