Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

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<ul><li>China has extended a policy released last year to allow developers to postpone or swap their loans in an effort to shore up the country’s ailing real estate sector.</li><li>The policy was <a href="https://www.caixinglobal.com/2022-11-15/china-regulators-roll-out-property-rescue-for-embattled-developers-101965076.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">first released</a> in November 2022 and includes 16 measures that aim to encourage financial institutions to set “reasonable” down payment ratios and interest rates to support demand for mortgages and allow a postponement of loan repayments to help builders complete construction projects.</li><li>Two of the 16 measures were originally valid for six months and expired in May. Property development loans from banks and trust firms could be extended up to a year if they were due within six months starting from November 11, 2022. </li></ul>

China has extended a policy released last year to allow developers to postpone or swap their loans in an effort to shore up the country’s ailing real estate sector.The policy was first released in November 2022 and includes 16 measures that aim to encourage financial institutions to set “reasonable” down payment ratios and interest rates to support demand for mortgages and allow a postponement of loan repayments to help builders complete construction projects.Two of the 16 measures were originally valid for six months and expired in May. Property development loans from banks and trust firms could be extended up to a year if they were due within six months starting from November 11, 2022. 

China Extends Policy to Take Pressure off Ailing Property Market

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Natural gas /In Depth: China mulls scrapping fixed household gas rates as winter shortages loom</li><li>China-U.S. /: China, U.S. should prioritize setting up guiding principles for peaceful bilateral relationship, former Chinese ambassador says</li><li>Yellen /: Analysis: What does the market expect from Yellen’s China visit?</li></ul>

Natural gas /In Depth: China mulls scrapping fixed household gas rates as winter shortages loomChina-U.S. /: China, U.S. should prioritize setting up guiding principles for peaceful bilateral relationship, former Chinese ambassador saysYellen /: Analysis: What does the market expect from Yellen’s China visit?

CX Daily: China Mulls Scrapping Fixed Household Gas Rates as Winter Shortages Loom

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>NBS 2M23 sales value came flattish YoY, in line with our forecast.</li><li>However, it beat China funds ’ expectation and strongly beat foreign funds’expectation, thus driving today’s sector rally.</li><li>Looking at March, we expect even stronger March data (positive sales YoY) as 1) MTD sales of 30 major cities already recorded 24% growth YoY. 2) Our sales leading indicator GAIN was one of the highest in Feb, indicating very promising March. 3) Recent channel check in major cities suggests sales momentum to continue on stabilized property price and historically low mortgage rate. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NBS 2M23 sales value came flattish YoY, in line with our forecast.However, it beat China funds ’ expectation and strongly beat foreign funds’expectation, thus driving today’s sector rally.Looking at March, we expect even stronger March data (positive sales YoY) as 1) MTD sales of 30 major cities already recorded 24% growth YoY. 2) Our sales leading indicator GAIN was one of the highest in Feb, indicating very promising March. 3) Recent channel check in major cities suggests sales momentum to continue on stabilized property price and historically low mortgage rate. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – NBS 2M23 data: Strong as expected

<ul><li>We saw another week of strong property data where new home/secondary home sales went up 23%/12% WoW.</li><li>This is in line with our sales leading index GAIN and our upgrade report that sales is more sustainable than what market thinks.</li><li>The solid housing recovery has also accelerated housing construction activities that its construction resumption rate recovered to 84.1%, higher than 2022 already, and only slightly lagging behind the infrastructure (87.3%) and government projects (88.2%). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We saw another week of strong property data where new home/secondary home sales went up 23%/12% WoW.This is in line with our sales leading index GAIN and our upgrade report that sales is more sustainable than what market thinks.The solid housing recovery has also accelerated housing construction activities that its construction resumption rate recovered to 84.1%, higher than 2022 already, and only slightly lagging behind the infrastructure (87.3%) and government projects (88.2%). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – Property+ Weekly: Sales momentum accelerated on lower tier cities

<ul><li>Feb sales came out at a strong beat both in terms of strength at 30% YoY (cons -5%), but also the timing of turning positive (cons in April).</li><li>We think the momentum would be more sustainable than market expectation as 1) our leading indicator GAIN jumped to the highest since 2021 indicating ST sales would continue to be strong.</li><li>2) Our channel check suggests home buyers are much more than pent-up demand. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Feb sales came out at a strong beat both in terms of strength at 30% YoY (cons -5%), but also the timing of turning positive (cons in April).We think the momentum would be more sustainable than market expectation as 1) our leading indicator GAIN jumped to the highest since 2021 indicating ST sales would continue to be strong.2) Our channel check suggests home buyers are much more than pent-up demand. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – Feb sales a strong beat; Raise 2023 forecast

China

China Vanke Co., Ltd. is a property development company.  The Company develops residential properties in Shenzhen, Shanghai, Beijing, Tianjin, Shenyang, Nanjing, and other big cities in China.

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China Vanke (H) (2202 HK)

China Extends Policy to Take Pressure off Ailing Property Market

China has extended a policy released last year to allow developers to postpone or swap their loans in an effort to shore up the country’s ailing...

Caixin Global

CX Daily: China Mulls Scrapping Fixed Household Gas Rates as Winter Shortages Loom

Natural gas /In Depth: China mulls scrapping fixed household gas rates as winter shortages loom China-U.S. /: China, U.S. should prioritize...

Caixin Global

China Property Sector – NBS 2M23 data: Strong as expected

NBS 2M23 sales value came flattish YoY, in line with our forecast. However, it beat China funds ’ expectation and strongly beat foreign...

CMB International

China Property Sector – Property+ Weekly: Sales momentum accelerated on lower tier cities

This is in line with our sales leading index GAIN and our upgrade report that sales is more sustainable than what market thinks.

CMB International

China Property Sector – Feb sales a strong beat; Raise 2023 forecast

Feb sales came out at a strong beat both in terms of strength at 30% YoY (cons -5%), but also the timing of turning positive (cons in April).

CMB International

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