HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China Yangtze Power Co, Ltd. / Equity Bottom-Up

Despite outperformance against the Shanghai Composite Index, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-yangtze-power-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3210:1" rel="noopener">China Yangtze Power Co, Ltd. (600900 CH)</a> will continue to see positive factors driving its outlook and supporting its valuations. These factors include its excellent position to capture China's clean energy initiative, improvement in profitability, likely asset injections in the future and good overseas track record that underpins geographical expansion.The stock is currently trading on 19.5x PER and 3x P/B for FY20F; and these are premium valuations compared with its peers. However, its growth potential from asset injection, immense size (market cap of Rmb467bn) and GDR listing are edges that make it stands out against A-share peers like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huaneng-lancang-river-hydr-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26585:1" rel="noopener">Huaneng Lancang River Hydr-A (600025 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-chuantou-energy-stock-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2557:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Chuantou Energy Stock (600674 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guangxi-guiguan-electric-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20919:1" rel="noopener">Guangxi Guiguan Electric A (600236 CH)</a>.

Despite outperformance against the Shanghai Composite Index, China Yangtze Power Co, Ltd. (600900 CH) will continue to see positive factors driving its outlook and supporting its valuations. These factors include its excellent position to capture China's clean energy initiative, improvement in profitability, likely asset injections in the future and good overseas track record that underpins geographical expansion.The stock is currently trading on 19.5x PER and 3x P/B for FY20F; and these are premium valuations compared with its peers. However, its growth potential from asset injection, immense size (market cap of Rmb467bn) and GDR listing are edges that make it stands out against A-share peers like Huaneng Lancang River Hydr-A (600025 CH), Sichuan Chuantou Energy Stock (600674 CH) and Guangxi Guiguan Electric A (600236 CH). 

China Yangtze Power (600900 CH): Well Positioned to Capture China's Clean Energy Initiative

Equity Capital Markets

China Yangtze Power Co, Ltd. / Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-yangtze-power-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3210:1" rel="noopener">China Yangtze Power Co, Ltd. (600900 CH)</a> (CYPC), the world's largest hydropower company, will put forward its GDR issuance proposal for shareholder voting in an EGM on 30 Jun. We take a look on this proposal which may raise up to ~US$3.3bn based on the current share price. We believe the key merits for CYPC are: 1.) largest hydropower company globally with protected franchise; 2.) benefit from government's clean energy initiatives; 3.) track record of stable earnings; and 4.) solid support from parent company.Key risks, however, are: 1.) CYPC relies on one single type of generation mode; 2.) capex on acquisitions may further elevate gearing; 3.) slowdown in power demand; and 4.) overseas investment risks. The stock now trades on 17.9x FY20F PER, not excessive relative to the 5-year range of 13-27x, and upside will come from further asset injections from parent China Three Gorges Corporation (CTG).

China Yangtze Power Co, Ltd. (600900 CH) (CYPC), the world's largest hydropower company, will put forward its GDR issuance proposal for shareholder voting in an EGM on 30 Jun. We take a look on this proposal which may raise up to ~US$3.3bn based on the current share price. We believe the key merits for CYPC are: 1.) largest hydropower company globally with protected franchise; 2.) benefit from government's clean energy initiatives; 3.) track record of stable earnings; and 4.) solid support from parent company.Key risks, however, are: 1.) CYPC relies on one single type of generation mode; 2.) capex on acquisitions may further elevate gearing; 3.) slowdown in power demand; and 4.) overseas investment risks. The stock now trades on 17.9x FY20F PER, not excessive relative to the 5-year range of 13-27x, and upside will come from further asset injections from parent China Three Gorges Corporation (CTG).

China Yangtze Power (600900 CH): Pre-GDR Initial Thoughts

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Deterioration for ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM, continued bearish-leaning indicators, and the downward trajectory of bond yields leads us to remain cautious and concerned that global equities remain vulnerable and could be poised for additional weakness moving forward. Major indexes around the world continue to do next to nothing, making Sector, Group, and stock selection all the more important. We prefer to use a barbell strategy of growth and safety. Attractive and actionable themes highlighted in today’s report include IT Services/Tech Software, Communications, Precious Metals, and Utilities.

Deterioration for ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM, continued bearish-leaning indicators, and the downward trajectory of bond yields leads us to remain cautious and concerned that global equities remain vulnerable and could be poised for additional weakness moving forward. Major indexes around the world continue to do next to nothing, making Sector, Group, and stock selection all the more important. We prefer to use a barbell strategy of growth and safety. Attractive and actionable themes highlighted in today’s report include IT Services/Tech Software, Communications, Precious Metals, and Utilities.

Global Equity Strategy: Stay on the Defensive

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

In our weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Snippet series, we aim to help our investors understand the flow of northbound trades via the Shanghai and Shenzhen Connect, as analyzed by our proprietary data engine and highlight interesting trade ideas. We split the stocks eligible for the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect trade into two groups: stocks with a market capitalization above USD 5 billion, as well as between USD 1 billion and USD 5 billion. In this insight, we will highlight the consecutive three weeks of net outflow from the A-share market. We will also briefly discuss the outflows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/1553" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1553:1">Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd A (600519 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/7152" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7152:1">Hangzhou Hikvision (002415 CH)</a>.

In our weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Snippet series, we aim to help our investors understand the flow of northbound trades via the Shanghai and Shenzhen Connect, as analyzed by our proprietary data engine and highlight interesting trade ideas. We split the stocks eligible for the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect trade into two groups: stocks with a market capitalization above USD 5 billion, as well as between USD 1 billion and USD 5 billion. In this insight, we will highlight the consecutive three weeks of net outflow from the A-share market. We will also briefly discuss the outflows from Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd A (600519 CH) and Hangzhou Hikvision (002415 CH).

Shanghai/​Shenzhen Connect Snippet: 3 Weeks of Outflows, Moutai, Hikvision (2019-05-24)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

For those with the time and inclination, I have provided links to the Work Report (given by the Premier), the NDRC Draft Plan for National Economic and Social Development, and the Ministry of Finance Budget Report (previous year and plan for current year)  provided for Deputies to vote upon at the "Two Sessions" meetings of the National People's Congress (since 2000).Often, reading these reports is a somniferous affair. But they can hint at slight changes in priorities.I expect we will see much…

For those with the time and inclination, I have provided links to the Work Report (given by the Premier), the NDRC Draft Plan for National Economic and Social Development, and the Ministry of Finance Budget Report (previous year and plan for current year)  provided for Deputies to vote upon at the "Two Sessions" meetings of the National People's Congress (since 2000).Often, reading these reports is a somniferous affair. But they can hint at slight changes in priorities.I expect we will see much…

NPC17: National People's Congress Reports

China

China Yangtze Power Company Ltd. owns the Gezhouba Power Station and the Three Gorges Power Station. The Company generates hydroelectric power, which is supplied to central China, east China, Guangdong province, Chongqing city, and other areas.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Yangtze Power Co, Ltd. (600900 CH)

China Yangtze Power (600900 CH): Well Positioned to Capture China's Clean Energy Initiative

China Yangtze Power's outlook will be driven by China's clean energy initiative, profitability improvement, asset injections and overseas...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Yangtze Power (600900 CH): Pre-GDR Initial Thoughts

China Yangtze Power Co, Ltd. (600900 CH) (CYPC), the world's largest hydropower company, will put forward its GDR issuance proposal for shareholder...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Global Equity Strategy: Stay on the Defensive

Deterioration for ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM, continued bearish-leaning indicators, and the downward trajectory of bond yields leads us to remain...

Vermilion Research

Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Snippet: 3 Weeks of Outflows, Moutai, Hikvision (2019-05-24)

In our weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Snippet series, we aim to help our investors understand the flow of northbound trades via the Shanghai and...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

NPC17: National People's Congress Reports

For those with the time and inclination, I have provided links to the Work Report (given by the Premier), the NDRC Draft Plan for National Economic...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Yangtze Power (600900 CH): Well Positioned to Capture China's Clean Energy Initiative

China Yangtze Power's outlook will be driven by China's clean energy initiative, profitability improvement, asset injections and overseas...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Yangtze Power (600900 CH): Pre-GDR Initial Thoughts

China Yangtze Power Co, Ltd. (600900 CH) (CYPC), the world's largest hydropower company, will put forward its GDR issuance proposal for shareholder...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Global Equity Strategy: Stay on the Defensive

Deterioration for ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM, continued bearish-leaning indicators, and the downward trajectory of bond yields leads us to remain...

Vermilion Research

Shanghai/​Shenzhen Connect Snippet: 3 Weeks of Outflows, Moutai, Hikvision (2019-05-24)

In our weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Snippet series, we aim to help our investors understand the flow of northbound trades via the Shanghai and...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

NPC17: National People's Congress Reports

For those with the time and inclination, I have provided links to the Work Report (given by the Premier), the NDRC Draft Plan for National Economic...

Travis Lundy

Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Snippet: 3 Weeks of Outflows, Moutai, Hikvision (2019-05-24)