Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-meidong-auto-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10795:1" rel="noopener">China Meidong Auto (1268 HK)</a> trades at a 12x/9x PE FY22/23E with a 6.5% dividend yield at a 20 HKD/share price (assuming an 80% payout ratio).</li>
<li>In buying <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-meidong-auto-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10795:1" rel="noopener">China Meidong Auto (1268 HK)</a>, you get an industry leader in the dealership space with supreme execution (35% ROE/47% CAGR profit growth/best capital allocator).</li>
<li>The integration of the Starchase Porsche Dealerships provides an upside potential, as the management, with their superior track record, can significantly improve the target's operations.</li>
</ul>



China Meidong Auto (1268 HK) trades at a 12x/9x PE FY22/23E with a 6.5% dividend yield at a 20 HKD/share price (assuming an 80% payout ratio).
In buying China Meidong Auto (1268 HK), you get an industry leader in the dealership space with supreme execution (35% ROE/47% CAGR profit growth/best capital allocator).
The integration of the Starchase Porsche Dealerships provides an upside potential, as the management, with their superior track record, can significantly improve the target's operations.


China Meidong: Back the Porsche at 20 HKD

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Shanghai Dongzheng Automotive Finance / Event-Driven

Shanghai Dongzheng Automotive Finance (DAF HK)

<ul>
<li>After both stocks were suspended on the 19 April, the forced liquidation of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-zhengtong-auto-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17001:1" rel="noopener">China Zhengtong (1728 HK)</a>'s stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-dongzheng-automotive-finance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27984:1" rel="noopener">Dongzheng (2718 HK)</a> will occur, via auction, on the 18 May. </li>
<li>That minimum bid price is HK$1.294/share, or a 112% premium to last close.</li>
<li>ZhengTong's stake is 71.04% of shares out. A mandatory general offer - conditional or unconditional - may materialise from the auction process. </li>
</ul>


After both stocks were suspended on the 19 April, the forced liquidation of China Zhengtong (1728 HK)'s stake in Dongzheng (2718 HK) will occur, via auction, on the 18 May. 
That minimum bid price is HK$1.294/share, or a 112% premium to last close.
ZhengTong's stake is 71.04% of shares out. A mandatory general offer - conditional or unconditional - may materialise from the auction process. 


Dongzheng (2718 HK): 18th May Liquidation Of ZhengTong’s Stake

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>On 16 April, the Shanghai Financial Court <a href="https://paimai.jd.com/287421325" target="_blank" rel="noopener">published</a> the details for the auction of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-zhengtong-auto-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17001:1" rel="noopener">China Zhengtong Auto Services Hldg (1728 HK)</a>’s 71.04% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-dongzheng-automotive-finance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27984:1" rel="noopener">Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>If the auction is successful and results in any person and a group of persons acting in concert holding 30%+ of the voting rights, it will result in an MGO.</li>
<li>The base bid implies an MGO price of HK$1.294 per H Share, a 112.1% premium to the last close. The auction will be held from 18 May to 19 May.</li>
</ul>


On 16 April, the Shanghai Financial Court published the details for the auction of China Zhengtong Auto Services Hldg (1728 HK)’s 71.04% stake in Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK). 
If the auction is successful and results in any person and a group of persons acting in concert holding 30%+ of the voting rights, it will result in an MGO.
The base bid implies an MGO price of HK$1.294 per H Share, a 112.1% premium to the last close. The auction will be held from 18 May to 19 May.


Auction of China ZhengTong’s Dongzheng Stake Set for 18 May; Potential MGO

<ul>
<li>Both <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-dongzheng-automotive-finance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27984:1" rel="noopener">Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-zhengtong-auto-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17001:1" rel="noopener">China Zhengtong Auto Services Hldg (1728 HK)</a> issued HKEx suspension notices at the same time yesterday morning.</li>
<li>In no uncertain terms, the Shanghai office of the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission has forced the liquidation of ZhengTong's 71.04% stake in Dongzheng.</li>
<li>That stake "sale" may trigger an Offer for Dongzheng. Dongzheng's <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2022/0419/2022041900225.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">suspension</a> is "pursuant to the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers".</li>
</ul>


Both Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK) and China Zhengtong Auto Services Hldg (1728 HK) issued HKEx suspension notices at the same time yesterday morning.
In no uncertain terms, the Shanghai office of the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission has forced the liquidation of ZhengTong's 71.04% stake in Dongzheng.
That stake "sale" may trigger an Offer for Dongzheng. Dongzheng's suspension is "pursuant to the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers".


Dongzheng (2718 HK): Potential Offer As ZhengTong's Stake Gets Liquidated

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

The Hang Seng Indexes Company Limited (HSIL) announced the results of its review of the Hang Seng Family of Indexes post market close on 26 February. The constituent changes will be effective after the close of trading on 12 March.For the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) there are 36 inclusions and 29 deletions, taking the number of index constituents up to 500.Although there are almost no assets indexed to the HSCI, the index forms the basis of stocks that are eligible for Southbound Stock Connect. Stocks that are included in the HSCI and subsequently included in the Stock Connect program get inflows from mainland investors. Secondary Listings are not eligible for inclusion in the Stock Connect program.Of the 36 inclusions, 4 are already a part of Stock Connect by virtue of having listed A-shares, 2 are Secondary listings and will not be included in Stock Connect, 9 will be added to Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Connect, while 21 stocks will only be added to Shenzhen Stock Connect.Of the 29 index deletions, 13 are not a part of Stock Connect, 7 will continue to remain a part of Stock Connect by virtue of having listed A-shares, while 9 will be deleted from the Stock Connect program.We identify 4 stocks that could sell off ahead of their removal from the Stock Connect Buy list, while Biotech stocks could be in focus ahead of their inclusion in the Stock Connect Buy and Sell list.

The Hang Seng Indexes Company Limited (HSIL) announced the results of its review of the Hang Seng Family of Indexes post market close on 26 February. The constituent changes will be effective after the close of trading on 12 March.For the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) there are 36 inclusions and 29 deletions, taking the number of index constituents up to 500.Although there are almost no assets indexed to the HSCI, the index forms the basis of stocks that are eligible for Southbound Stock Connect. Stocks that are included in the HSCI and subsequently included in the Stock Connect program get inflows from mainland investors. Secondary Listings are not eligible for inclusion in the Stock Connect program.Of the 36 inclusions, 4 are already a part of Stock Connect by virtue of having listed A-shares, 2 are Secondary listings and will not be included in Stock Connect, 9 will be added to Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Connect, while 21 stocks will only be added to Shenzhen Stock Connect.Of the 29 index deletions, 13 are not a part of Stock Connect, 7 will continue to remain a part of Stock Connect by virtue of having listed A-shares, while 9 will be deleted from the Stock Connect program.We identify 4 stocks that could sell off ahead of their removal from the Stock Connect Buy list, while Biotech stocks could be in focus ahead of their inclusion in the Stock Connect Buy and Sell list.

HSCI Index Rebalance & Stock Connect: Inclusions & Exclusions

China

China ZhengTong Auto Services engages in 4S dealership, supply chain, and comprehensive properties businesses. The company sells passenger motor vehicles, including brands like Porsche, Mercedes-Benz, BMW, and Audi, and provides after-sales services, motor-related logistics, lubricant oil trading, and property development and sales. It is headquartered in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China, and was founded in 1999.

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China ZhengTong Auto Services (1728 HK)

China Meidong: Back the Porsche at 20 HKD

China Meidong Auto (1268 HK) trades at a 12x/9x FY22/23E with a 6.5% dividend yield at a 20 HKD/share price ( assuming an 80% payout ratio ). We...

Sameer Taneja

Dongzheng (2718 HK): 18th May Liquidation Of ZhengTong’s Stake

Buy Dongzherng at the minimum bid price. Then buy some more. Avoid ZhengTong. The company is toxic from a regulator's point of view.

David Blennerhassett

Auction of China ZhengTong’s Dongzheng Stake Set for 18 May; Potential MGO

The auction of China Zhengtong’s 71.04% stake in Dongzheng will be held from 18 to 19 May. A successful auction will imply an MGO price (at the...

Arun George

Dongzheng (2718 HK): Potential Offer As ZhengTong's Stake Gets Liquidated

Assuming the auction has taken place, I'd expect Dongzheng to pop (even if a low-ball Offer), as the overhang will be removed, likely with the...

David Blennerhassett

HSCI Index Rebalance & Stock Connect: Inclusions & Exclusions

There are 36 inclusions/ 29 exclusions for the Hang Seng Composite Index. 9 stocks will be deleted from the Stock Connect Buy list & there are a...

Brian Freitas

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