Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

China Merchants Energy A / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 9 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> at the upcoming rebalance that will be implemented at the close of trading on 9 June.</li>
<li>While nearly all the changes are in line with forecasts, there are some stocks that have not been added or deleted as the index committee has used discretion.</li>
<li>The Energy sector is the biggest gainer in terms of index spots, while the Consumer Discretionary and Health Care sectors lose two index spots each.</li>
</ul>


There are 9 changes for the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) at the upcoming rebalance that will be implemented at the close of trading on 9 June.
While nearly all the changes are in line with forecasts, there are some stocks that have not been added or deleted as the index committee has used discretion.
The Energy sector is the biggest gainer in terms of index spots, while the Consumer Discretionary and Health Care sectors lose two index spots each.


CSI300 Index Rebalance: 9 Changes as Discretion Used

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.4% as of May 19th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.0ppt week on week, led by communication services, utilities, financials and offset by health care, information technology, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Zheshang, Shandong Gold, China Longyuan, BYD, Shenhua, China Life, Citic Bank, CEEC, China Telecom.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.4% as of May 19th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.0ppt week on week, led by communication services, utilities, financials and offset by health care, information technology, energy.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Zheshang, Shandong Gold, China Longyuan, BYD, Shenhua, China Life, Citic Bank, CEEC, China Telecom.


A-H Premium Weekly (May 19th): China Zheshang, Shandong Gold, China Longyuan, BYD, Shenhua

Zhejiang Huafeng Spandex A / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With 4 trading days to go the review period, we see 13 potential index changes at the June rebalance that will be implemented at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>We estimate a one-way turnover of 1.94% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 5.05bn.</li>
<li>With the review period nearly complete, the gap between the potential adds and deletes could narrow ahead of the announcement of the changes as pre-positions are built.</li>
</ul>


With 4 trading days to go the review period, we see 13 potential index changes at the June rebalance that will be implemented at the close on 9 June.
We estimate a one-way turnover of 1.94% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 5.05bn.
With the review period nearly complete, the gap between the potential adds and deletes could narrow ahead of the announcement of the changes as pre-positions are built.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes as Review Period Nearly Complete

<ul>
<li>Over 85% of the way through the review period, we see 14 potential index changes at the June rebalance that will be implemented at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>We estimate a one-way turnover of 2.28% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 5.95bn.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> over the last two months but have underperformed the potential deletes. The gap has been narrowing recently.</li>
</ul>


Over 85% of the way through the review period, we see 14 potential index changes at the June rebalance that will be implemented at the close on 9 June.
We estimate a one-way turnover of 2.28% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 5.95bn.
The potential adds have outperformed the CSI 300 Index over the last two months but have underperformed the potential deletes. The gap has been narrowing recently.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Narrowing the Gap

<ul>
<li>There are 15 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> at the upcoming rebalance that will be implemented at the close of trading on 9 December.</li>
<li>While most of the deletions are in line with forecasts, there are a few differences on the inclusions as the index committee has used its discretion to overlook some names.</li>
<li>The Industrials, Materials and Utilities sectors gain index spots at the expense of Health Care, Financials, Consumer Staples and Consumer Discretionary.</li>
</ul>


There are 15 changes for the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) at the upcoming rebalance that will be implemented at the close of trading on 9 December.
While most of the deletions are in line with forecasts, there are a few differences on the inclusions as the index committee has used its discretion to overlook some names.
The Industrials, Materials and Utilities sectors gain index spots at the expense of Health Care, Financials, Consumer Staples and Consumer Discretionary.


CSI300 Index Rebalance: The Surprises Could Outperform

China

China Zheshang Bank Co., Ltd. offers banking services. The Company provides deposits, loans, international settlement, wealth management, and other services. China Zheshang Bank also operates financial services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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China Zheshang Bank (601916 CH)

CSI300 Index Rebalance: 9 Changes as Discretion Used

There are 9 changes for the CSI300 Index in June. Nearly all changes were forecast. Some stocks are conspicuous by their non-addition/deletion. The...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (May 19th): China Zheshang, Shandong Gold, China Longyuan, BYD, Shenhua

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Zheshang, Shandong Gold, China Longyuan, BYD, Shenhua,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes as Review Period Nearly Complete

There could be 13 changes to the CSI300 in June. We estimate a one-way turnover of 1.94% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY...

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Narrowing the Gap

Nearing the end of the review period, we see 14 potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 2.28% leading to a one-way trade of CNY...

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance: The Surprises Could Outperform

There are 15 changes in December. Most of the deletions were forecast but there are surprises among the adds. One-way turnover is 2.4% and the one...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)