Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Chiyoda’s 3Q numbers weren’t especially surprising nor impactful as the company continues its recovery. </li>
<li>We have been detailing for some time how current valuations look depressed and upside risk was present from the capital structure. </li>
<li>Now we believe that revenue trends are improving to the extent that they may put a floor under the stock.</li>
</ul>


Chiyoda’s 3Q numbers weren’t especially surprising nor impactful as the company continues its recovery. 
We have been detailing for some time how current valuations look depressed and upside risk was present from the capital structure. 
Now we believe that revenue trends are improving to the extent that they may put a floor under the stock.


Chiyoda – Momentum Turn Could Be Around the Corner

Event-Driven

<p>Chiyoda 2Q results confirmed an improving gross margin trend and continued cost control at the SG&amp;A level. With gas and copper prices at high levels the order environment should remain extremely strong and strong operating performance could open up Chiyoda’s options to reduce the dilution potential of its preferred shares.</p>

Chiyoda 2Q results confirmed an improving gross margin trend and continued cost control at the SG&amp;A level. With gas and copper prices at high levels the order environment should remain extremely strong and strong operating performance could open up Chiyoda’s options to reduce the dilution potential of its preferred shares.

Chiyoda – LNG Prices, Preferred Shares, Put Options, Call Options and Reflexivity

<p>We have covered Chiyoda’s SPERA hydrogen technology since 2017 and have been fascinated by the technology’s potential to make existing oil and gas infrastructure usable in a hydrogen transition. Now in partnership with ENEOS and the Queensland University of Technology, Chiyoda appears to have made significant further strides in reducing costs and investment burdens in the hydrogen supply chain.</p>

We have covered Chiyoda’s SPERA hydrogen technology since 2017 and have been fascinated by the technology’s potential to make existing oil and gas infrastructure usable in a hydrogen transition. Now in partnership with ENEOS and the Queensland University of Technology, Chiyoda appears to have made significant further strides in reducing costs and investment burdens in the hydrogen supply chain.

Chiyoda – This Just Removed a Big Hydrogen Bottleneck

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<div><p>JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks whose main market is the TSE1, TSE2, JASDAQ, and Mothers sections (which will become the Prime Market, Standard Market, or Growth Market next April) of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. This is a free-float-adjusted market-value-weighted (capped) index composed of 400 constituents selected based on several factors including market capitalization, trading value, operating profits, and ROE.</p></div><div><p>A periodic review is conducted by the Index providers, the JPX Group and Nikkei Inc, in August every year. This review is conducted using the final business day of June as the base date. </p></div><div><p>Quiddity provides quantitative research on pre-event basket strategies surrounding this Index Rebalance event and others. Below is a look at potential Inclusions and Removals for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to come in August 2022 based on trading data as of end-October 2021.</p></div>

JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks whose main market is the TSE1, TSE2, JASDAQ, and Mothers sections (which will become the Prime Market, Standard Market, or Growth Market next April) of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. This is a free-float-adjusted market-value-weighted (capped) index composed of 400 constituents selected based on several factors including market capitalization, trading value, operating profits, and ROE.A periodic review is conducted by the Index providers, the JPX Group and Nikkei Inc, in August every year. This review is conducted using the final business day of June as the base date. Quiddity provides quantitative research on pre-event basket strategies surrounding this Index Rebalance event and others. Below is a look at potential Inclusions and Removals for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to come in August 2022 based on trading data as of end-October 2021.

JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance 2022: Leader Board End-Oct 2021

<div><p>JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks whose main market is the TSE1, TSE2, JASDAQ, and Mothers sections (which will become the Prime Market, Standard Market, or Growth Market next April) of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. This is a free-float-adjusted market-value-weighted (capped) index composed of 400 constituents selected based on several factors including market capitalization, trading value, operating profits, and ROE.</p></div><p>A periodic review is conducted by the Index providers, the JPX Group and Nikkei Inc, in August every year. This review is conducted using the final business day of June as the base date. </p><div><p>Quiddity provides quantitative research on pre-event basket strategies surrounding this Index Rebalance event and others. Below is a look at potential Inclusions and Removals for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to come in August 2022. </p></div>

JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks whose main market is the TSE1, TSE2, JASDAQ, and Mothers sections (which will become the Prime Market, Standard Market, or Growth Market next April) of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. This is a free-float-adjusted market-value-weighted (capped) index composed of 400 constituents selected based on several factors including market capitalization, trading value, operating profits, and ROE.A periodic review is conducted by the Index providers, the JPX Group and Nikkei Inc, in August every year. This review is conducted using the final business day of June as the base date. Quiddity provides quantitative research on pre-event basket strategies surrounding this Index Rebalance event and others. Below is a look at potential Inclusions and Removals for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to come in August 2022. 

JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance 2022: Leader Board End-Sep 2021

Japan

CHIYODA CORPORATION constructs, inspects, and maintains industrial plants around the world.  Those plants include oil refinery, petrochemical, food, and pharmaceutical plants.  The Company also provides comprehensive engineering services for such as energy saving, factory automation (FA), and environmental preservation for water treatment and soil purification.

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Chiyoda Corp (6366 JP)

Chiyoda – Momentum Turn Could Be Around the Corner

Chiyoda's current valuations look depressed and upside risk is present from the capital structure. Now revenue trends are improving to the extent...

Mio Kato

Chiyoda – LNG Prices, Preferred Shares, Put Options, Call Options and Reflexivity

With a strong order environment and strong operating performance a rising share price could open up Chiyoda’s options to reduce the dilution...

Mio Kato

Chiyoda – This Just Removed a Big Hydrogen Bottleneck

In partnership with ENEOS and the Queensland University of Technology, Chiyoda appears to have made significant further strides in reducing costs...

Mio Kato

JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance 2022: Leader Board End-Oct 2021

In this insight, we take a look at the potential Inclusions and Removals for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to come in August 2022 based on trading...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance 2022: Leader Board End-Sep 2021

A look at the evolution potential Inclusions and Removals for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to come in August 2022 based on end-September 2021 data.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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