IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

HDB Financial Services Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdb-financial-services-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44072:1" rel="noopener">HDB Financial Services Ltd (0117739D IN)</a> is India's seventh-largest non-banking financial company (NBFC). It is seeking to raise Rs125 billion (US$1.4 billion). </li>
<li>The proposed IPO comprises a primary raise of Rs25 billion (US$388 million) and a secondary raise of  Rs100 billion (US$1.2 billion) by the parent. </li>
<li>The fundamentals are average at best, as HDB does not outperform its NBFC peers on key performance indicators. </li>
</ul>



HDB Financial Services Ltd (0117739D IN) is India's seventh-largest non-banking financial company (NBFC). It is seeking to raise Rs125 billion (US$1.4 billion). 
The proposed IPO comprises a primary raise of Rs25 billion (US$388 million) and a secondary raise of  Rs100 billion (US$1.2 billion) by the parent. 
The fundamentals are average at best, as HDB does not outperform its NBFC peers on key performance indicators. 


APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Kaynes Technology India / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kaynes-technology-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36436:1" rel="noopener">Kaynes Technology India (KAYNES IN)</a> is looking to raise around US$185m in its upcoming qualified institutional placement (QIP).</li>
<li>In an announcement released on Jan 22, 2025, Kaynes had mentioned its board’s approval to raise up to INR16bn via a QIP. Since then, the shares have corrected 8.6%.</li>
<li>The deal would not be a large one to digest at 4.3 days of three month ADV. The company’s last fundraise did well.</li>
</ul>



Kaynes Technology India (KAYNES IN) is looking to raise around US$185m in its upcoming qualified institutional placement (QIP).
In an announcement released on Jan 22, 2025, Kaynes had mentioned its board’s approval to raise up to INR16bn via a QIP. Since then, the shares have corrected 8.6%.
The deal would not be a large one to digest at 4.3 days of three month ADV. The company’s last fundraise did well.


Kaynes Technology QIP Early Look - QIP to Fund Global Expansion Plans

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>During rate cut cycle, NBFCs with a higher proportion of floating-rate liabilities &amp; a relatively lower proportion of floating-rate assets are poised to experience an expansion in their profitability.</li>
<li>This insight analyzes the asset-liability profiles of select Vehicle Financiers, Prime HFCs, and Affordable HFCs to identify their sensitivity to interest rate movements</li>
<li>Overall, NBFCs expect the benefit of the rate cut to have a lagged effect from H2FY26, leading  expansion in NIM and overall profitability</li>
</ul>


During rate cut cycle, NBFCs with a higher proportion of floating-rate liabilities &amp; a relatively lower proportion of floating-rate assets are poised to experience an expansion in their profitability.
This insight analyzes the asset-liability profiles of select Vehicle Financiers, Prime HFCs, and Affordable HFCs to identify their sensitivity to interest rate movements
Overall, NBFCs expect the benefit of the rate cut to have a lagged effect from H2FY26, leading  expansion in NIM and overall profitability


Thematic Report : Impact of Rate Cuts on Profitability of NBFCs and HFCs in India

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 20 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn).</li>
<li>Financials are expected to gain 9 index spots and Materials are expected to gain 3 spots. Consumer Discretionary could lose 5 spots and Information Technology could lose 4 spots.</li>
</ul>


There could be 20 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn).
Financials are expected to gain 9 index spots and Materials are expected to gain 3 spots. Consumer Discretionary could lose 5 spots and Information Technology could lose 4 spots.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Banks (incl. SFBs) credit growth was marginally below our estimates, delivering an 11% YoY (vs our expectation of ~12% YoY) growth as banks exit FY25, thereby mirroring systemic growth.</li><li>Slower credit growth (vs expectations) was primarily visible amongst the larger private banks, while most mid-sized banks delivered steady in-line growth.</li><li>The headwinds on credit growth were owing to the continuous and conscious slowdown in the unsecured segments amidst persistent asset quality challenges, particularly microfinance and credit cards and banks’ efforts to align deposit growth with credit growth to maintain balanced LDR.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Banks (incl. SFBs) credit growth was marginally below our estimates, delivering an 11% YoY (vs our expectation of ~12% YoY) growth as banks exit FY25, thereby mirroring systemic growth.Slower credit growth (vs expectations) was primarily visible amongst the larger private banks, while most mid-sized banks delivered steady in-line growth.The headwinds on credit growth were owing to the continuous and conscious slowdown in the unsecured segments amidst persistent asset quality challenges, particularly microfinance and credit cards and banks’ efforts to align deposit growth with credit growth to maintain balanced LDR.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Top Conviction Ideas - “Banks, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)”

India

Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company Limited operates as a financial services provider. The Company offers vehicle finance, home equity loans, investment advisory, stock broking, and other financial services to customers.

Cholamandalam Investment and Finance (CIFC IN)

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Cholamandalam Investment and Finance (CIFC IN)

HDB Financial IPO: The Investment Case

HDB Financial, India's seventh-largest non-banking financial company (NBFC), is seeking to raise Rs125 billion (US$1.4 billion). In this note, we...

Arun George

Kaynes Technology QIP Early Look - QIP to Fund Global Expansion Plans

Kaynes Technology (KAYNES IN) has launched an upto INR16bn (US$185m) QIP of around 2.85m shares in a INR5,344.50–Rs5,612/share range, a 0%–4.8%...

Akshat Shah

Thematic Report : Impact of Rate Cuts on Profitability of NBFCs and HFCs in India

NBFCs with more floating-rate liabilities and less floating-rate assets set to profit from rate cuts, with increased profitability expected in...

Nimish Maheshwari

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

We forecast 20 changes for the index in June. One-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn). The...

Brian Freitas

Top Conviction Ideas - “Banks, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)”

Banks (incl. SFBs) credit growth was marginally below our estimates, delivering an 11% YoY (vs our expectation of ~12% YoY) growth as banks exit...

Axis Direct

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HDB Financial IPO: The Investment Case

HDB Financial, India's seventh-largest non-banking financial company (NBFC), is seeking to raise Rs125 billion (US$1.4 billion). In this note, we...

Arun George

Kaynes Technology QIP Early Look - QIP to Fund Global Expansion Plans

Kaynes Technology (KAYNES IN) has launched an upto INR16bn (US$185m) QIP of around 2.85m shares in a INR5,344.50–Rs5,612/share range, a 0%–4.8%...

Akshat Shah

Thematic Report : Impact of Rate Cuts on Profitability of NBFCs and HFCs in India

​NBFCs with more floating-rate liabilities and less floating-rate assets set to profit from rate cuts, with increased profitability expected in...

Nimish Maheshwari

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

We forecast 20 changes for the index in June. One-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn). The...

Brian Freitas

Top Conviction Ideas - “Banks, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)”

Banks (incl. SFBs) credit growth was marginally below our estimates, delivering an 11% YoY (vs our expectation of ~12% YoY) growth as banks exit...

Axis Direct

NBFCs with more floating-rate liabilities and less floating-rate assets set to profit from rate cuts, with increased profitability expected in...