Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Bank (11 HK)</a> has announced an Offer from controlling parent (63.3551%), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hsbc-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:516:1" rel="noopener">HSBC Holdings (5 HK)</a>, by way of a Scheme, in a HK$106bn (US$13.6bn) deal. </li>
<li>The Scheme Consideration is HK$155/share, a 30.3% premium to last close. The price is final. A "third interim dividend" will be added. Optically, the price is bang on.</li>
<li>The long stop for conditions is the 30th September 2026. I think this transaction can be wrapped up in around five months. </li>
</ul>



Hang Seng Bank (11 HK) has announced an Offer from controlling parent (63.3551%), HSBC Holdings (5 HK), by way of a Scheme, in a HK$106bn (US$13.6bn) deal. 
The Scheme Consideration is HK$155/share, a 30.3% premium to last close. The price is final. A "third interim dividend" will be added. Optically, the price is bang on.
The long stop for conditions is the 30th September 2026. I think this transaction can be wrapped up in around five months. 


HSBC (5 HK)'s Clean Offer for Hang Seng (11 HK)'s Minorities

<ul>
<li>Back on the 5 January, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-abu-dhabi-bank-pjsc-630e9462-f2e9-436d-8e18-d66080630fa0" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28946:1" rel="noopener">First Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB DH)</a> said it had considered a bid for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/standard-chartered-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:193:1" rel="noopener">Standard Chartered (STAN LN/2888 HK)</a>,  but was no longer evaluating an Offer.</li>
<li>Such a statement kickstarts a six-month cooling-off period whereby FAB is restricted from reloading. This means all deal work must cease.  Unless another bidder emerges or STAN's board approves. </li>
<li>In a curious development, STAN's shares popped ~11% yesterday, on no apparent news.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 5 January, First Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB DH) said it had considered a bid for Standard Chartered (STAN LN/2888 HK),  but was no longer evaluating an Offer.
Such a statement kickstarts a six-month cooling-off period whereby FAB is restricted from reloading. This means all deal work must cease.  Unless another bidder emerges or STAN's board approves. 
In a curious development, STAN's shares popped ~11% yesterday, on no apparent news.


Standard Chartered: Has FAB Gone Cold Or Just Cooling Off?

Independent Research, Turtles all the way down

Turtles all the way down

Independent Research

Writing short articles about mis-priced boring stocks around the world.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In this post I tracked my performance on stock mentioned in my blog, and I would like to officially close some ideas here.</li><li>I will start doing that from now on. Something I did privately but not on the blog publicly.</li><li>Either because they have worked out and upside is no more attractive, or because the facts have changed.</li></ul>

In this post I tracked my performance on stock mentioned in my blog, and I would like to officially close some ideas here.I will start doing that from now on. Something I did privately but not on the blog publicly.Either because they have worked out and upside is no more attractive, or because the facts have changed.

<ul>
<li>Flexible printed board player <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akm-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7206:1" rel="noopener">AKM Industrial (1639 HK)</a> has announced the pre-conditions attached to the Scheme have now been fulfilled.</li>
<li>The despatch of the Scheme Document has been delayed until the 10 June. </li>
<li>Trading at a gross/annualised spread of 2.5/9.6%, including the FY21 final dividend, and payment in early August.</li>
</ul>


Flexible printed board player AKM Industrial (1639 HK) has announced the pre-conditions attached to the Scheme have now been fulfilled.
The despatch of the Scheme Document has been delayed until the 10 June. 
Trading at a gross/annualised spread of 2.5/9.6%, including the FY21 final dividend, and payment in early August.


AKM (1639 HK): Pre-Cons Fulfilled; Possible Early August Payment

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba (6502 JP)</a>'s activists are stuck. So are management. 3+ years since the last big buyback, 3 new CEOs and we are back to the drawing board for both management/activists. </li>
<li>Quarz and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a> holders "win" to get a Cash-Only Consideration bump to 1.0x Price/Sep2021 NAV at S$1.1949/unit. This gets them out at NAV.</li>
<li>Regulatory overhang sees <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU)</a>'s spread to terms trading wide. </li>
</ul>



Toshiba (6502 JP)'s activists are stuck. So are management. 3+ years since the last big buyback, 3 new CEOs and we are back to the drawing board for both management/activists. 
Quarz and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP) holders "win" to get a Cash-Only Consideration bump to 1.0x Price/Sep2021 NAV at S$1.1949/unit. This gets them out at NAV.
Regulatory overhang sees Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU)'s spread to terms trading wide. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Mapletree, Link Admin, Cayman's Headcount, Razer, Crown Resorts

Hong Kong

Chong Hing Bank Limited, founded in Hong Kong in 1948, provides comprehensive commercial banking and financial services to individual and corporate customers. Its offerings include HKD and foreign currency deposits, credit, foreign exchange, wealth management, investment, securities, insurance, and mandatory provident fund services. The bank is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.

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Chong Hing Bank (CGHBF US)

HSBC (5 HK)'s Clean Offer for Hang Seng (11 HK)'s Minorities

Assuming five months to wrap this, pay up to HK$148/share for a 15% annualised return. Including the third interim dividend of HK$1.20/share.

David Blennerhassett

Standard Chartered: Has FAB Gone Cold Or Just Cooling Off?

STAN remains cheap after its recent price run-up. Any change of control development is five months away. If at all. I'd still look to get involved...

David Blennerhassett

Closing Some Idea's

In this post I tracked my performance on stock mentioned in my blog, and I would like to officially close some ideas here. I will start doing that...

Turtles all the way down

AKM (1639 HK): Pre-Cons Fulfilled; Possible Early August Payment

This transaction is all stitched up. Play the spread here. At HK$1.79/share as I type, AKM is currently trading at a gross/annualised spread of...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Mapletree, Link Admin, Cayman's Headcount, Razer, Crown Resorts

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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