Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 83.5% as of Mar 14th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.9ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, consumer staples, energy and offset by information technology, real estate, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CIMC, Sinotrans, Joinn Lab, Huahong Semicon, Huaneng Power, Tigermed, Asymchem Lab.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 83.5% as of Mar 14th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.9ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, consumer staples, energy and offset by information technology, real estate, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CIMC, Sinotrans, Joinn Lab, Huahong Semicon, Huaneng Power, Tigermed, Asymchem Lab.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 14th): CIMC, Sinotrans, Joinn Lab, Huahong Semicon, Huaneng Power

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Kuang-Chi Technologies   / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 7 changes at the June rebalance with the Information Technology sector gaining 3 index spots and the Materials sector losing 3 spots.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way turnover of 1.45% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 28.1bn (US$3.9bn). There are 6 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>There have been redemptions in mainland China ETFs over the last couple of months and that leads to a lower impact on the stocks compared to the last rebalance.</li>
</ul>


There could be 7 changes at the June rebalance with the Information Technology sector gaining 3 index spots and the Materials sector losing 3 spots.
We estimate one-way turnover of 1.45% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 28.1bn (US$3.9bn). There are 6 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.
There have been redemptions in mainland China ETFs over the last couple of months and that leads to a lower impact on the stocks compared to the last rebalance.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes a Side as Market Trades in a Range

Sieyuan Electric Co Ltd A / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 16 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a>, 50 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index</a> and 100 changes for the CSI1000 Index that will be implemented on 13 December.</li>
<li>There are 257 unique names that are adds or deletes and the round-trip trade across all 3 indices is close to US$9bn.</li>
<li>Stocks with the largest inflows and impact have outperformed stocks with the largest outflows and impact over the last few weeks. That could continue for the next couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


There are 16 changes for the CSI 300 Index, 50 changes for the CSI 500 Index and 100 changes for the CSI1000 Index that will be implemented on 13 December.
There are 257 unique names that are adds or deletes and the round-trip trade across all 3 indices is close to US$9bn.
Stocks with the largest inflows and impact have outperformed stocks with the largest outflows and impact over the last few weeks. That could continue for the next couple of weeks.


CSI300/CSI500/CSI1000 Index Rebalance: US$9bn Round-Trip Trade

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500.</li>
<li>The reference period for December 2024 index rebal event ended on 31st October 2024.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final list of expected ADDs and DELs.</li>
</ul>


CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500.
The reference period for December 2024 index rebal event ended on 31st October 2024.
In this insight, we take a look at our final list of expected ADDs and DELs.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec 24: Final-Minute Changes to Expectations; Time for a Trade

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

Haitong Securities Co Ltd (A) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>With the potential corporate action (see additional reading below) there is more interest in Haitong Securities but operationally it does not appear positive, for many reasons</li>
<li>The company is seeing worse revenue growth in asset management, brokerage and investment banking, while its Haitong Bank can see far higher credit costs</li>
<li>Total operating costs are now 63% of revenue, tax rate is a lot higher, litigation risks seem to be oversized, with potential impact to costs</li>
</ul>


With the potential corporate action (see additional reading below) there is more interest in Haitong Securities but operationally it does not appear positive, for many reasons
The company is seeing worse revenue growth in asset management, brokerage and investment banking, while its Haitong Bank can see far higher credit costs
Total operating costs are now 63% of revenue, tax rate is a lot higher, litigation risks seem to be oversized, with potential impact to costs


Haitong Securities - Portugal Bank Goodwill Impairment Surge | Overall: High Costs, Poor Revenue

China

Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. operates as a commercial bank. The Company offers  deposits, loans, international settlement, trade financing, bank card issuing, electronic banking,  investment, and other banking services. Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank provides services for enterprises and individuals.

Chongqing Rural Commercial Ban (601077 CH)

Price Gauge
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Chongqing Rural Commercial Ban (601077 CH)

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 14th): CIMC, Sinotrans, Joinn Lab, Huahong Semicon, Huaneng Power

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for CIMC, Sinotrans, Joinn Lab, Huahong Semicon, Huaneng Power,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes a Side as Market Trades in a Range

There could be 7 changes for the CSI300 in June with a one-way turnover of 1.45% and a round-trip trade of US$3.9bn. The adds and deletes have...

Brian Freitas

CSI300/CSI500/CSI1000 Index Rebalance: US$9bn Round-Trip Trade

The CSI indices (and a bunch of others) rebalance at the close today - it's going to be a big volume day in China. The CSI300 adds have...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Dec 24: Final-Minute Changes to Expectations; Time for a Trade

We expect the CSI, SSE, and STAR index family ADDs/DELs for December 2024 to be confirmed after market close today. It is a good time to revisit...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Haitong Securities - Portugal Bank Goodwill Impairment Surge | Overall: High Costs, Poor Revenue

Profit down 75% YoY and revenue down 32% YoY in latest results just out for 1H24. Risks still remain for this company, and potentially worsening...

Daniel Tabbush

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 14th): CIMC, Sinotrans, Joinn Lab, Huahong Semicon, Huaneng Power

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for CIMC, Sinotrans, Joinn Lab, Huahong Semicon, Huaneng Power,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 7 Changes a Side as Market Trades in a Range

There could be 7 changes for the CSI300 in June with a one-way turnover of 1.45% and a round-trip trade of US$3.9bn. The adds and deletes have...

Brian Freitas

CSI300/CSI500/CSI1000 Index Rebalance: US$9bn Round-Trip Trade

The CSI indices (and a bunch of others) rebalance at the close today - it's going to be a big volume day in China. The CSI300 adds have...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec 24: Final-Minute Changes to Expectations; Time for a Trade

We expect the CSI, SSE, and STAR index family ADDs/DELs for December 2024 to be confirmed after market close today. It is a good time to revisit...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Haitong Securities - Portugal Bank Goodwill Impairment Surge | Overall: High Costs, Poor Revenue

Profit down 75% YoY and revenue down 32% YoY in latest results just out for 1H24. Risks still remain for this company, and potentially worsening...

Daniel Tabbush

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Dec 24: Final-Minute Changes to Expectations; Time for a Trade