Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>RHB Bank remains our Malaysian bank top pick, as shown in our scorecard; CIMB shares have de-rated markedly year-to-date and are deep value</li>
<li>Scorecard topping RHB Bank has strong fundamental value credentials and it is narrowing the gap on returns with peers, whilst also improving its delinquency ratio</li>
<li>CIMB ranks third on our scorecard, due to its high NPL ratio but credit quality is improving; we see scope for operating efficiency gains and it has very attractive valuations</li>
</ul>


RHB Bank remains our Malaysian bank top pick, as shown in our scorecard; CIMB shares have de-rated markedly year-to-date and are deep value
Scorecard topping RHB Bank has strong fundamental value credentials and it is narrowing the gap on returns with peers, whilst also improving its delinquency ratio
CIMB ranks third on our scorecard, due to its high NPL ratio but credit quality is improving; we see scope for operating efficiency gains and it has very attractive valuations


Malaysian Banks Screen; Stick with RHB Bank and CIMB

<ul>
<li>RHB Bank is our Malaysian bank top pick, with its real turnaround potential for returns; CIMB remains a buy but is less compelling than RHB given its marked re-rating year-to-date</li>
<li>Our new buy RHB Bank is stand-out value versus its Malaysian peers and it is improving returns from low levels; its main delinquency challenges are concentrated in small overseas portfolios</li>
<li>We reiterate our buy on CIMB; management continues to drive credit quality with cost of risk improvements, and we see potential for operating efficiency gains, combined with its attractive valuations</li>
</ul>


RHB Bank is our Malaysian bank top pick, with its real turnaround potential for returns; CIMB remains a buy but is less compelling than RHB given its marked re-rating year-to-date
Our new buy RHB Bank is stand-out value versus its Malaysian peers and it is improving returns from low levels; its main delinquency challenges are concentrated in small overseas portfolios
We reiterate our buy on CIMB; management continues to drive credit quality with cost of risk improvements, and we see potential for operating efficiency gains, combined with its attractive valuations


Malaysian Banks Screen; RHB Bank Upgraded to a Buy, Alongside Existing Buy on CIMB

<ul>
<li>We reiterate our buy on CIMB; management continues to drive credit quality with cost of risk improvements, and we see potential for operating efficiency gains, combined with its attractive valuations </li>
<li>We downgrade Maybank to a neutral from buy, largely on the back of valuations and its middle-of-the-peer-group pre- and post-provision return trends, with its efficiency ratio requiring attention </li>
<li>We believe that AM Bank is a name to watch for its low valuations as well as its improving cost of risk trends and profitability returns</li>
</ul>


We reiterate our buy on CIMB; management continues to drive credit quality with cost of risk improvements, and we see potential for operating efficiency gains, combined with its attractive valuations 
We downgrade Maybank to a neutral from buy, largely on the back of valuations and its middle-of-the-peer-group pre- and post-provision return trends, with its efficiency ratio requiring attention 
We believe that AM Bank is a name to watch for its low valuations as well as its improving cost of risk trends and profitability returns


Malaysian Banks Screener; CIMB Improves Credit Quality Driving Post Provision Returns

<ul>
<li>Among bigger cap GEM banks, we pick five longs and two shorts as our conviction calls; we add country-based equity risk premia to our screening process</li>
<li>Our core buys are Bank Mandiri from Indonesia, Hana Financial from South Korea, CIMB Group from Malaysia, Bradesco from Brazil and CCB from China; four of these are value picks</li>
<li>Our sells are Kotak Mahindra Bank and ICICI Bank from India, both richly valued larger cap banks that have benefited from past economic and political tailwinds with headwinds now emerging</li>
</ul>


Among bigger cap GEM banks, we pick five longs and two shorts as our conviction calls; we add country-based equity risk premia to our screening process
Our core buys are Bank Mandiri from Indonesia, Hana Financial from South Korea, CIMB Group from Malaysia, Bradesco from Brazil and CCB from China; four of these are value picks
Our sells are Kotak Mahindra Bank and ICICI Bank from India, both richly valued larger cap banks that have benefited from past economic and political tailwinds with headwinds now emerging


GEM Banks; Focus on Value Attributes and Returns Recovery Potential

<ul>
<li>Of the six Malaysian banks screened, we keep value play CIMB, whose share price has positive momentum, and quality play Maybank on the buy list</li>
<li>Value pick CIMB has undemanding valuations whilst second from top in post-provision profitability; it has strong capital adequacy and its cost of risk is now more in line with peers</li>
<li>Quality pick Maybank also has relatively undemanding PE multiples and PBV ratio, as well as strong balance sheet credentials and improving returns</li>
</ul>


Of the six Malaysian banks screened, we keep value play CIMB, whose share price has positive momentum, and quality play Maybank on the buy list
Value pick CIMB has undemanding valuations whilst second from top in post-provision profitability; it has strong capital adequacy and its cost of risk is now more in line with peers
Quality pick Maybank also has relatively undemanding PE multiples and PBV ratio, as well as strong balance sheet credentials and improving returns


Malaysian Banks Screener; Stick with Value Pick CIMB and Maybank as the Quality Pick

Malaysia

CIMB Group Holdings Berhad provides commercial banking and related financial services. The Company and its subsidiaries, operate as a regional universal bank offering a full range of financial products and services, covering corporate and investment banking, consumer banking, treasury, insurance and asset management.

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CIMB Group Holdings (CIMB MK)

Malaysian Banks Screen; Stick with RHB Bank and CIMB

Scorecard topping RHB Bank is the key pick with attractive valuations, improving returns; CIMB offers deep value with improving credit quality,...

Victor Galliano

Malaysian Banks Screen; RHB Bank Upgraded to a Buy, Alongside Existing Buy on CIMB

RHB Bank is our top pick in Malaysian banks for its value attributes with strong turnaround potential, while CIMB remains the quality buy even...

Victor Galliano

Malaysian Banks Screener; CIMB Improves Credit Quality Driving Post Provision Returns

CIMB remains a buy for credit quality and potential efficiency gains, we downgrade Maybank to neutral on valuations and efficiency concerns; AM...

Victor Galliano

GEM Banks; Focus on Value Attributes and Returns Recovery Potential

Top picks for bigger cap GEM banks include Bank Mandiri, Hana Financial, CIMB Group, Bradesco, and CCB, while Kotak Mahindra Bank and ICICI Bank...

Victor Galliano

Malaysian Banks Screener; Stick with Value Pick CIMB and Maybank as the Quality Pick

Value play CIMB and quality play Maybank are top picks among Malaysian banks, both with strong financials and positive momentum in share price....

Victor Galliano

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Malaysian Banks Screen; Stick with RHB Bank and CIMB

Scorecard topping ​RHB Bank is the key pick with attractive valuations, improving returns; CIMB offers deep value with improving credit quality,...

Victor Galliano

Malaysian Banks Screen; RHB Bank Upgraded to a Buy, Alongside Existing Buy on CIMB

​RHB Bank is our top pick in Malaysian banks for its value attributes with strong turnaround potential, while CIMB remains the quality buy even...

Victor Galliano

Malaysian Banks Screener; CIMB Improves Credit Quality Driving Post Provision Returns

CIMB remains a buy for credit quality and potential efficiency gains, we downgrade Maybank to neutral on valuations and efficiency concerns; AM...

Victor Galliano

GEM Banks; Focus on Value Attributes and Returns Recovery Potential

​Top picks for bigger cap GEM banks include Bank Mandiri, Hana Financial, CIMB Group, Bradesco, and CCB, while Kotak Mahindra Bank and ICICI Bank...

Victor Galliano

Malaysian Banks Screener; Stick with Value Pick CIMB and Maybank as the Quality Pick

​Value play CIMB and quality play Maybank are top picks among Malaysian banks, both with strong financials and positive momentum in share price....

Victor Galliano

Scorecard topping RHB Bank is the key pick with attractive valuations, improving returns; CIMB offers deep value with improving credit quality,...

RHB Bank is our top pick in Malaysian banks for its value attributes with strong turnaround potential, while CIMB remains the quality buy even...

Top picks for bigger cap GEM banks include Bank Mandiri, Hana Financial, CIMB Group, Bradesco, and CCB, while Kotak Mahindra Bank and ICICI Bank...

Value play CIMB and quality play Maybank are top picks among Malaysian banks, both with strong financials and positive momentum in share price....