Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 6th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, CCB, Sunny Optical, Xpeng, CMB.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 6th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, CCB, Sunny Optical, Xpeng, CMB.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 6th): Alibaba, CCB, Sunny Optical, Xpeng, CMB

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In the September data are clear signs of slowing momentum &amp; price moderation</li>
<li>Seasonality, NAM de-stocking, anniversary of Red Sea re-routes all contributing</li>
<li>Without catalysts, we would AVOID holding shares of global container names</li>
</ul>


In the September data are clear signs of slowing momentum &amp; price moderation
Seasonality, NAM de-stocking, anniversary of Red Sea re-routes all contributing
Without catalysts, we would AVOID holding shares of global container names


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker: As Momentum Wanes, Best to Avoid Carriers' Shares (October 2024)

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-enric-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Enric Holdings (3899 HK)</a> has underperformed benchmark Indices YTD, and its business segments are undervalued based on their earnings performance. </li>
<li>The clean energy segment is only valued at HK$3.4bn, or 24% of the stock's total. However, it is the largest earnings generator in 1H24, contributing 60% of 1H24 profit.</li>
<li>CLPT's earnings contribution is 22% more than CIMC Safeway's, but it is only valued at 27% of the latter, equivalent to an undemanding 9.8x annualised PER.</li>
</ul>



CIMC Enric Holdings (3899 HK) has underperformed benchmark Indices YTD, and its business segments are undervalued based on their earnings performance. 
The clean energy segment is only valued at HK$3.4bn, or 24% of the stock's total. However, it is the largest earnings generator in 1H24, contributing 60% of 1H24 profit.
CLPT's earnings contribution is 22% more than CIMC Safeway's, but it is only valued at 27% of the latter, equivalent to an undemanding 9.8x annualised PER.


CIMC Enric (3899 HK): Mispriced, with Good Upside

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-enric-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Enric Holdings (3899 HK)</a>'s 1H24 result is below expectations, but the growth outlook is promising. Management also guided for a solid recovery in 2H24.</li>
<li>Backlog and new orders rose 42.5% and 29.4%, respectively, with chemical and environmental orders rebounded sharply QoQ. The overall margin will be better in 2H24.</li>
<li>Hydrogen revenue should reach Rmb1bn in FY24 (1H24: Rmb450m). New coke oven gas (COG) to hydrogen projects may generate Rmb10bn revenue by FY27, or 43% of FY23 revenue.</li>
</ul>



CIMC Enric Holdings (3899 HK)'s 1H24 result is below expectations, but the growth outlook is promising. Management also guided for a solid recovery in 2H24.
Backlog and new orders rose 42.5% and 29.4%, respectively, with chemical and environmental orders rebounded sharply QoQ. The overall margin will be better in 2H24.
Hydrogen revenue should reach Rmb1bn in FY24 (1H24: Rmb450m). New coke oven gas (COG) to hydrogen projects may generate Rmb10bn revenue by FY27, or 43% of FY23 revenue.


CIMC Enric (3899 HK): Things Are Getting Better

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfang-electric-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1251:1" rel="noopener">Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)</a> reached another record year with net profit surging 24.2% in FY23. Favourable product mix has benefited gross margin which expanded 0.8pp YoY.</li>
<li>Record new orders of Rmb86.5bn (+31.9% YoY) have been signed and there is a recovery in momentum in 4Q23. Its end-FY23 backlog should be enough to cover 3.1x FY24F revenue.</li>
<li>DEC is well-positioned to capture the demand for hydrogen energy and power storage. With 19.3% 3-year earnings CAGR, its 5.1x PER and 8.2% dividend yield are attractive.</li>
</ul>



Dongfang Electric (1072 HK) reached another record year with net profit surging 24.2% in FY23. Favourable product mix has benefited gross margin which expanded 0.8pp YoY.
Record new orders of Rmb86.5bn (+31.9% YoY) have been signed and there is a recovery in momentum in 4Q23. Its end-FY23 backlog should be enough to cover 3.1x FY24F revenue.
DEC is well-positioned to capture the demand for hydrogen energy and power storage. With 19.3% 3-year earnings CAGR, its 5.1x PER and 8.2% dividend yield are attractive.


Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Good Profit, Record Orders

China

CIMC Enric provides key equipment, engineering services, and system solutions for the transport, storage, and processing of clean energy, chemicals, and liquid food. The company manufactures equipment for natural gas, LPG, and hydrogen, including storage tanks, transportation vehicles, and refueling station systems, alongside stainless steel tanks for liquid food and tank containers for chemicals. Headquartered in Shenzhen, China, the company was founded in 2004.

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CIMC Enric (3899 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 6th): Alibaba, CCB, Sunny Optical, Xpeng, CMB

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, CCB, Sunny Optical, Xpeng, CMB.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker: As Momentum Wanes, Best to Avoid Carriers' Shares (October 2024)

In September's data there are clear signs of sharply slowing momentum in the global container trades. We recommend avoiding shares of the carriers...

Tracking Traffic