HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-enric-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Enric Holdings (3899 HK)</a> has applied for its liquid food segment, under CLTP, to be quoted on the NEEQ. Subsequently, it plans to be listed on the BSE.</li>
<li>The move will not only provide an additional funding channel for this business but also enhance the valuations of CIMC Enric. BSE's IPOs have historically performed very well.</li>
<li>Upon successful listing, the attributable market cap of its two listed subsidiaries will be greater than its current market cap. This means its clean energy business is free.</li>
</ul>



CIMC Enric Holdings (3899 HK) has applied for its liquid food segment, under CLTP, to be quoted on the NEEQ. Subsequently, it plans to be listed on the BSE.
The move will not only provide an additional funding channel for this business but also enhance the valuations of CIMC Enric. BSE's IPOs have historically performed very well.
Upon successful listing, the attributable market cap of its two listed subsidiaries will be greater than its current market cap. This means its clean energy business is free.


CIMC Enric (3899 HK): One More Spin-Off Progressing

<ul>
<li>We like the 17.7% core earnings growth for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-enric-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Enric Holdings (3899 HK)</a> as this has demonstrated its operating strengths under a challenging environment in 1H23. </li>
<li>With orders on hand of Rmb20.6bn (+18.8% YoY), we see forward earnings well-covered. Also, management has turned even more positive on earnings and margin outlook in 2H23. </li>
<li>The hydrogen energy business maintains solid momentum with order backlog surging 116.9%. The spin-off of CIMC Safeway Technologies on the ChiNext Board is a near-term catalyst.</li>
</ul>


We like the 17.7% core earnings growth for CIMC Enric Holdings (3899 HK) as this has demonstrated its operating strengths under a challenging environment in 1H23. 
With orders on hand of Rmb20.6bn (+18.8% YoY), we see forward earnings well-covered. Also, management has turned even more positive on earnings and margin outlook in 2H23. 
The hydrogen energy business maintains solid momentum with order backlog surging 116.9%. The spin-off of CIMC Safeway Technologies on the ChiNext Board is a near-term catalyst.


CIMC Enric (3899 HK): Demonstrating Sustained Resilience

<ul>
<li>We see the recent sell-down of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-enric-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Enric Holdings (3899 HK)</a> unjustified. 1Q23 revenue grew a healthy 19.6%, and management indicated excellent margin expansion as well. </li>
<li>New orders signed accelerated in Mar to 21.6%, from just 10.7% in Jan-Feb. Its order backlog reached Rmb18.9bn (+22.3%). For hydrogen business, new orders even grew 61%. </li>
<li>Guidances are for double-digit revenue growth in FY23, and besides better gross margin, lower tax rates have benefited net margin. We estimate 1Q23 profit may have increased ~50%.</li>
</ul>


We see the recent sell-down of CIMC Enric Holdings (3899 HK) unjustified. 1Q23 revenue grew a healthy 19.6%, and management indicated excellent margin expansion as well. 
New orders signed accelerated in Mar to 21.6%, from just 10.7% in Jan-Feb. Its order backlog reached Rmb18.9bn (+22.3%). For hydrogen business, new orders even grew 61%. 
Guidances are for double-digit revenue growth in FY23, and besides better gross margin, lower tax rates have benefited net margin. We estimate 1Q23 profit may have increased ~50%.


CIMC Enric (3899 HK): It's Not My Fault, I'm Resilient

<ul>
<li>After posting a decent FY22 result, earnings momentum for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-enric-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Enric Holdings (3899 HK)</a> should sustain, underpinned by clean energy recovery and chemical and environmental equipment demand.  </li>
<li>2M23 new orders growth stayed healthy at 10.7%, evidencing positive demand outlook. Hydrogen Energy is a growing driver as revenue will reach Rmb700m in FY23 and Rmb3bn in FY25.</li>
<li>The stock's PERs of 11.7x and 9.5x for FY23 and FY24, respectively, appear inexpensive in view of 19% earnings CAGR. Net cash position also adds an appeal to us.</li>
</ul>


After posting a decent FY22 result, earnings momentum for CIMC Enric Holdings (3899 HK) should sustain, underpinned by clean energy recovery and chemical and environmental equipment demand.  
2M23 new orders growth stayed healthy at 10.7%, evidencing positive demand outlook. Hydrogen Energy is a growing driver as revenue will reach Rmb700m in FY23 and Rmb3bn in FY25.
The stock's PERs of 11.7x and 9.5x for FY23 and FY24, respectively, appear inexpensive in view of 19% earnings CAGR. Net cash position also adds an appeal to us.


CIMC Enric (3899 HK): Growth Outlook Secured by Encouraging Orderbook

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>While 1H25 results are upcoming, the market's focus will start to move to the 2H25 earnings. There are five stocks whose earnings momentum will accelerate HoH. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-equipment-intl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11104:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy Equipment (631 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-electric-group-company-limited-d542164d-4d5a-4ce0-b33e-5fe6bc34722c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8777:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen International (152 HK)</a> are having the best YTD performance. Still, there is more upside.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36229:1" rel="noopener">China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-enric-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Enric Holdings (3899 HK)</a> are the laggards YTD, but a stronger earnings outlook should drive a pick-up in 2H25.</li>
</ul>


While 1H25 results are upcoming, the market's focus will start to move to the 2H25 earnings. There are five stocks whose earnings momentum will accelerate HoH. 

Sany Heavy Equipment (631 HK), Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK), and Shenzhen International (152 HK) are having the best YTD performance. Still, there is more upside.

China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880 HK) and CIMC Enric Holdings (3899 HK) are the laggards YTD, but a stronger earnings outlook should drive a pick-up in 2H25.


China Strategy: Interesting Stock Picks for 2H25

Hong Kong

CIMC Enric Holdings Ltd. designs, manufactures, and markets gas equipment.  The Company produces compressors, pressure vessels, gas refueling station trailers, and other gas equipment, as well as transportation equipment such as containers, trailers, tank equipments and airport equipments.

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CIMC Enric Holdings (3899 HK)

CIMC Enric (3899 HK): One More Spin-Off Progressing

CIMC Enric has applied to quote its liquid food segment on the NEEQ and then list it on the BSE, providing funding and boosting valuations. A...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CIMC Enric (3899 HK): Demonstrating Sustained Resilience

The 18.8% surge in orders on hand at end-1H23 means good forward earnings coverage and management has gotten more optimistic about the 2H23...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CIMC Enric (3899 HK): It's Not My Fault, I'm Resilient

1Q23 revenue grew 19.8% with excellent margin expansion. New order growth accelerated to 21.6%, from just 10.7% in Jan-Feb, with backlog rose 22.3%...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CIMC Enric (3899 HK): Growth Outlook Secured by Encouraging Orderbook

CIMC Enric's earnings growth will stay encouraging and this is supported by healthy orders on hand and good new orders momentum. Hydrogen revenue...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Strategy: Interesting Stock Picks for 2H25

Market focus shifting to 2H25 earnings, with five stocks expected to see earnings momentum acceleration, including Sany Intl, Shanghai Electric,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CIMC Enric (3899 HK): One More Spin-Off Progressing

​CIMC Enric has applied to quote its liquid food segment on the NEEQ and then list it on the BSE, providing funding and boosting valuations. A...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CIMC Enric (3899 HK): Demonstrating Sustained Resilience

The 18.8% surge in orders on hand at end-1H23 means good forward earnings coverage and management has gotten more optimistic about the 2H23...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CIMC Enric (3899 HK): It's Not My Fault, I'm Resilient

1Q23 revenue grew 19.8% with excellent margin expansion. New order growth accelerated to 21.6%, from just 10.7% in Jan-Feb, with backlog rose 22.3%...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CIMC Enric (3899 HK): Growth Outlook Secured by Encouraging Orderbook

CIMC Enric's earnings growth will stay encouraging and this is supported by healthy orders on hand and good new orders momentum. Hydrogen revenue...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Strategy: Interesting Stock Picks for 2H25

​Market focus shifting to 2H25 earnings, with five stocks expected to see earnings momentum acceleration, including Sany Intl, Shanghai Electric,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CIMC Enric has applied to quote its liquid food segment on the NEEQ and then list it on the BSE, providing funding and boosting valuations. A...

Market focus shifting to 2H25 earnings, with five stocks expected to see earnings momentum acceleration, including Sany Intl, Shanghai Electric,...