IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/denso-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18703:1" rel="noopener">Denso Corp (6902 JP)</a>'s US$4.0 Billion Secondary Offering and US$1.4 Billion Buyback.  </li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-vehicles-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28012:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orecorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8120:1" rel="noopener">Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boustead-plantations-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11418:1" rel="noopener">Boustead Plantations (BPLANT MK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Denso Corp (6902 JP)'s US$4.0 Billion Secondary Offering and US$1.4 Billion Buyback.  
Event-Driven developments - CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK), Origin Energy (ORG AU), Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU), Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US), Boustead Plantations (BPLANT MK). 


Weekly Deals Digest (03 Dec) - Denso, T&K Toka, CIMC Vehicles, Origin, OreCorp, Hollysys, BPLANT

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A holistic view of the three different documents here suggests the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/denso-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18703:1" rel="noopener">Denso Corp (6902 JP)</a> buyback, indeed, "It was a trap".</li>
<li>3D Investment Partners raised its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sapporo-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14085:1" rel="noopener">Sapporo Holdings (2501 JP)</a>,  suggesting the activist investor is optimistic about successfully advancing their proposals.</li>
<li>A firm merger proposal is expected for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a> in the next couple of weeks. Time to buy.</li>
</ul>


A holistic view of the three different documents here suggests the Denso Corp (6902 JP) buyback, indeed, "It was a trap".
3D Investment Partners raised its stake in Sapporo Holdings (2501 JP),  suggesting the activist investor is optimistic about successfully advancing their proposals.
A firm merger proposal is expected for Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US) in the next couple of weeks. Time to buy.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Denso, Sapporo, Hollysys, PCCW, Origin Energy

Hollysys Automation Technologies / Event-Driven

Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)

<ul>
<li>I tally 42 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Two new deals discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/glosel-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18515:1" rel="noopener">Glosel (9995 JP)</a>'s Tender Offer; and the indicative Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-vehicles-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28012:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK)</a>'s H-shares. </li>
<li>Key updates on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orecorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8120:1" rel="noopener">Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tietto-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28006:1" rel="noopener">Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lansen-pharmaceutical-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10835:1" rel="noopener">Lansen Pharmaceutical Holdings Co, Ltd. (503 HK)</a> </li>
</ul>


I tally 42 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Two new deals discussed on Smartkarma this week: Glosel (9995 JP)'s Tender Offer; and the indicative Offer for CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK)'s H-shares. 
Key updates on: Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU), Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU), and Lansen Pharmaceutical Holdings Co, Ltd. (503 HK) 


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Glosel, CIMC, Orecorp, Tietto Mineral, Lansen Pharmaceutical

Taisho Pharmaceutical Holdin / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For the month of November 2023, 16 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$13bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in November was 41%. The average YTD is 38% (97 deals).</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2022 (106 deals), 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of November 2023, 16 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$13bn.
The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in November was 41%. The average YTD is 38% (97 deals).
This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2022 (106 deals), 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Nov 2023: Taisho Pharma, CIMC Vehicle, CMIC, Japan Best Rescue, Shidax

<ul>
<li>After <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-vehicles-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28012:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK)</a> was suspended yesterday pursuant to Hong Kong's Takeover Code, the expectation was an H-share Offer from its parent, SOE-backed CIMC Group.</li>
<li>CIMC subsequently <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2023/1128/2023112800426.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> an indicative Offer yesterday evening, from its parent, at a $7.00/share for each H-share, a pitiful 8.6% premium to last close. There is no concurrent A-share Offer.</li>
<li>CIMC traded around $7.00 late September, and comfortably traded through the indicative terms for most of July. </li>
</ul>


After CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK) was suspended yesterday pursuant to Hong Kong's Takeover Code, the expectation was an H-share Offer from its parent, SOE-backed CIMC Group.
CIMC subsequently announced an indicative Offer yesterday evening, from its parent, at a $7.00/share for each H-share, a pitiful 8.6% premium to last close. There is no concurrent A-share Offer.
CIMC traded around $7.00 late September, and comfortably traded through the indicative terms for most of July. 


CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): $7.00/Share Indicative Offer From Parent - Really?!

China

CIMC Vehicles is a global leader in the manufacturing and sale of semi-trailers and truck bodies for specialty vehicles. Its product range includes various semi-trailer types like container chassis, flatbed, refrigerated, and tank trailers, as well as truck bodies for dump trucks and mixer trucks. The company also offers specialized design and manufacturing services for new energy heavy truck-tractor chassis and electric tractors and trailers. Headquartered in Shenzhen, China, the company was founded in 2002.

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CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK)

Weekly Deals Digest (03 Dec) - Denso, T&K Toka, CIMC Vehicles, Origin, OreCorp, Hollysys, BPLANT

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (T K Toka, CIMC Vehicles, Origin Energy, OreCorp, Hollysys, Boustead Plantations, UMW) and...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Denso, Sapporo, Hollysys, PCCW, Origin Energy

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Glosel, CIMC, Orecorp, Tietto Mineral, Lansen Pharmaceutical

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Nov 2023: Taisho Pharma, CIMC Vehicle, CMIC, Japan Best Rescue, Shidax

For the month of November, 16 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of ~US$13bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Weekly Deals Digest (03 Dec) - Denso, T&K Toka, CIMC Vehicles, Origin, OreCorp, Hollysys, BPLANT

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (T K Toka, CIMC Vehicles, Origin Energy, OreCorp, Hollysys, Boustead Plantations, UMW) and...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Denso, Sapporo, Hollysys, PCCW, Origin Energy

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Glosel, CIMC, Orecorp, Tietto Mineral, Lansen Pharmaceutical

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Nov 2023: Taisho Pharma, CIMC Vehicle, CMIC, Japan Best Rescue, Shidax

For the month of November, 16 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of ~US$13bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): $7.00/Share Indicative Offer From Parent - Really?!

You have a possible floor at $7.00/share. I wouldn't buy through terms. It may still get bumped. It should get bumped. It may not. Plus this...

David Blennerhassett