IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-vehicles-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28012:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK)</a> possible H Share buyback offer, excluding <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-international-marine-cntnrs-gp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11752:1" rel="noopener">China International Marine Cntnrs Gp (2039 HK)</a>’s shares, is HK$7.00, an 8.7% premium to the undisturbed price. </li>
<li>The key condition is approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection). There could also be a 90% minimum acceptance condition.</li>
<li>The offer is light, but independent H shareholders holding blocking stakes will likely be supportive. The final offer will be made on “<em>same or better terms</em>”, suggesting a potential bump.</li>
</ul>



CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK) possible H Share buyback offer, excluding China International Marine Cntnrs Gp (2039 HK)’s shares, is HK$7.00, an 8.7% premium to the undisturbed price. 
The key condition is approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection). There could also be a 90% minimum acceptance condition.
The offer is light, but independent H shareholders holding blocking stakes will likely be supportive. The final offer will be made on “same or better terms”, suggesting a potential bump.


CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): Possible H Share Buyback Offer

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-vehicles-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28012:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK)</a></strong> is currently <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2023/1128/2023112701144.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">suspended</a> pursuant to Hong Kong's Code on Takeovers and Mergers.</li>
<li>SOE-Backed CIMC Group controls ~74% of CMIC Vehicle's H-shares. Presumably, if any Offer was to unfold, it would be from the parent.</li>
<li>And what price for the H-shares? Around HK$9/share, a life-time high, would be in keeping with premiums seen in precedent PRC-incorporated privatisations. </li>
</ul>



CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK) is currently suspended pursuant to Hong Kong's Code on Takeovers and Mergers.
SOE-Backed CIMC Group controls ~74% of CMIC Vehicle's H-shares. Presumably, if any Offer was to unfold, it would be from the parent.
And what price for the H-shares? Around HK$9/share, a life-time high, would be in keeping with premiums seen in precedent PRC-incorporated privatisations. 


CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): Parent Privatisation?

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 122.2% as of Nov 24th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.9ppt week on week, led by information technology, real estate, consumer discretionary and offset by consumer staples, communication services, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Angang Steel, Gwmotor, YOFC, Sinopec Oilfield.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 122.2% as of Nov 24th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.9ppt week on week, led by information technology, real estate, consumer discretionary and offset by consumer staples, communication services, energy.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Angang Steel, Gwmotor, YOFC, Sinopec Oilfield.


A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 24th): Angang Steel, Gwmotor, YOFC, Sinopec Oilfield

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 116.5% as of Jun 2nd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.0ppt week on week, led by communication services, financials, industrials and offset by consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Conch Cement, China Vanke, China Southern, CSC Financial, COSCO Ship, China Longyuan.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 116.5% as of Jun 2nd.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.0ppt week on week, led by communication services, financials, industrials and offset by consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Conch Cement, China Vanke, China Southern, CSC Financial, COSCO Ship, China Longyuan.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 2nd): Conch Cement, China Vanke, China Southern, CSC Financial, COSCO Ship

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 117.4% as of Apr 7th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.5ppt week on week, led by communication services, health care, real estate and offset by utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Vanke, China Rail Group, Huatai Securities, Yankuang Energy, CRRC, CICC, GWM.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 117.4% as of Apr 7th.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.5ppt week on week, led by communication services, health care, real estate and offset by utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Vanke, China Rail Group, Huatai Securities, Yankuang Energy, CRRC, CICC, GWM.


A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 7th): China Vanke, China Rail Group, Huatai Securities, Yankuang Energy

China

CIMC Vehicles (Group) Co., Ltd. operates as a semi trailers and truck bodies manufacturer. The Company produces chassis trailers, flatbed trailers, fence trailers, tank trailers, refrigerated trailers, van trailers, and other equipment. CIMC Vehicles (Group) markets its products worldwide.

Price Gauge
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CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK)

CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): Parent Privatisation?

If any offer was to unfold, it would be from the CIMC Group holding 74% of the H-shares. ~HK$9/share Offer price would be in keeping with premiums...

David Blennerhassett

A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 24th): Angang Steel, Gwmotor, YOFC, Sinopec Oilfield

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Angang Steel, Gwmotor, YOFC, Sinopec Oilfield.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 2nd): Conch Cement, China Vanke, China Southern, CSC Financial, COSCO Ship

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Conch Cement, China Vanke, China Southern, CSC Financial,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 7th): China Vanke, China Rail Group, Huatai Securities, Yankuang Energy

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Vanke, China Rail Group, Huatai Securities, Yankuang...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): Possible H Share Buyback Offer

The offer is light, but independent H shareholders holding blocking stakes will likely be supportive. The final offer will be made on “same or...

Arun George

CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): Parent Privatisation?

If any offer was to unfold, it would be from the CIMC Group holding 74% of the H-shares. ~HK$9/share Offer price would be in keeping with premiums...

David Blennerhassett

A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 24th): Angang Steel, Gwmotor, YOFC, Sinopec Oilfield

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Angang Steel, Gwmotor, YOFC, Sinopec Oilfield.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 2nd): Conch Cement, China Vanke, China Southern, CSC Financial, COSCO Ship

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Conch Cement, China Vanke, China Southern, CSC Financial,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 7th): China Vanke, China Rail Group, Huatai Securities, Yankuang Energy

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Vanke, China Rail Group, Huatai Securities, Yankuang...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM