ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-telecommunications" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20:1" rel="noopener">Singtel (ST SP)</a> and Optus, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jollibee-foods-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:987:1" rel="noopener">Jollibee Foods (JFC PM)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mk-restaurants-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17689:1" rel="noopener">MK Restaurants Group (M TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/agung-podomoro-land-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16010:1" rel="noopener">Agung Podomoro Land (APLN IJ)</a>.</li>
<li>There was also a thematic insight looking at the rise of BNPL, a sector piece on APAC Luxury, and 14 stocks to own in Thailand from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/dr-andrew-stotz-cfa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:756" rel="noopener">Dr Andrew Stotz, CFA</a>.</li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The past week saw insights on Singtel (ST SP) and Optus, Jollibee Foods (JFC PM), MK Restaurants Group (M TB) and Agung Podomoro Land (APLN IJ).
There was also a thematic insight looking at the rise of BNPL, a sector piece on APAC Luxury, and 14 stocks to own in Thailand from Dr Andrew Stotz, CFA.
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - SingTel & Optus, Jollibee Foods, and 14 Thai Stocks

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Majority of property developers’ marketing sales showed stable growth of 0-2% yoy in 4Q23, with CTRA showing the strongest at 45% yoy.</li><li>We expect a brighter sales outlook for FY24 (at +8-12% yoy), supported by a continuation in VAT and LTV stimulus.</li><li>We currently have an OW rating on the sector; possible downside risks might come from postponement of commercial property purchases.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Majority of property developers’ marketing sales showed stable growth of 0-2% yoy in 4Q23, with CTRA showing the strongest at 45% yoy.We expect a brighter sales outlook for FY24 (at +8-12% yoy), supported by a continuation in VAT and LTV stimulus.We currently have an OW rating on the sector; possible downside risks might come from postponement of commercial property purchases.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property: Stable 4Q23 Marketing Sales Growth (OVERWEIGHT)

<ul>
<li>The Past Week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lendlease-global-commercial-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28292:1" rel="noopener">Lendlease Global Commercial REIT</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berli-jucker-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3685:1" rel="noopener">Berli Jucker (BJC TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aem-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11019:1" rel="noopener">AEM (AEM SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/airports-of-thailand-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:239:1" rel="noopener">Airports of Thailand (AOT TB)</a>, and the upcoming <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/citicore-renewable-energy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40676:1" rel="noopener">Citicore Renewable Energy</a> IPO.</li>
<li>There was also macro insight on the new joint Singapore &amp; Malaysia Special Economic Zone in Johor and an insight on the STTF rebalancing in Singapore. </li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The Past Week saw insights on Lendlease Global Commercial REIT, Berli Jucker (BJC TB), AEM (AEM SP), Airports of Thailand (AOT TB), and the upcoming Citicore Renewable Energy IPO.
There was also macro insight on the new joint Singapore &amp; Malaysia Special Economic Zone in Johor and an insight on the STTF rebalancing in Singapore. 
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - LREIT's Focussed, Berli Jucker, and AEM's Inventory Loss

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Tower Bersama Infrastructure / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index ended on 29 December. The changes should be announced in the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 31 January.</li>
<li>Based on the index methodology, there could be up to 5 changes at the rebalance. Plus there will be capping changes for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat (BBRI)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA)</a>.</li>
<li>The impact of passive trading will be higher on the deletions than the inclusions since lower liquidity stocks are replaced with higher liquidity stocks.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index ended on 29 December. The changes should be announced in the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 31 January.
Based on the index methodology, there could be up to 5 changes at the rebalance. Plus there will be capping changes for Bank Rakyat (BBRI) and Bank Central Asia (BBCA).
The impact of passive trading will be higher on the deletions than the inclusions since lower liquidity stocks are replaced with higher liquidity stocks.


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jan): Reading the Tea Leaves

<ul>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo</a> post its pivotal results, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak-com-pt-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mayora-indah-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15131:1" rel="noopener">Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dbs-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22:1" rel="noopener">DBS (DBS SP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indika-energy-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1776:1" rel="noopener">Indika Energy (INDY IJ)</a>.</li>
<li>The was also a macro insight on Singapore, a sector insight on Indonesian Banks, and credit insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lippo-karawaci-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3121:1" rel="noopener">Lippo Karawaci (LPKR IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pertamina-geothermal-energy-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36725:1" rel="noopener">Pertamina Geothermal Energy PT (PGEO IJ)</a>.</li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The past week saw insights on GoTo post its pivotal results, Astra International (ASII IJ), Bukalapak (BUKA IJ), Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ), DBS (DBS SP) and Indika Energy (INDY IJ).
The was also a macro insight on Singapore, a sector insight on Indonesian Banks, and credit insights on Lippo Karawaci (LPKR IJ) and Pertamina Geothermal Energy PT (PGEO IJ).
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - GoTo's Pivot, Astra's Sustainability Push, and Mayora Indah

Indonesia

PT Ciputra Development Tbk develops and sells real estate including office spaces, shopping centers, and related facilities as well as industrial estates. The Company also designs, develops, and maintains housing facilities including golf courses, clubs, restaurants, recreational places, and related facilities.

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Ciputra Development (CTRA IJ)

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - SingTel & Optus, Jollibee Foods, and 14 Thai Stocks

The past week saw insights on Singtel (ST SP) and Optus, Jollibee Foods (JFC PM), MK Restaurants Group (M TB) and Agung Podomoro Land (APLN IJ).

Angus Mackintosh

Property: Stable 4Q23 Marketing Sales Growth (OVERWEIGHT)

Majority of property developers’ marketing sales showed stable growth of 0-2% yoy in 4Q23, with CTRA showing the strongest at 45% yoy.

BRI Danareksa Research

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - LREIT's Focussed, Berli Jucker, and AEM's Inventory Loss

The Past Week saw insights on Lendlease Global Commercial REIT, Berli Jucker (BJC TB), AEM (AEM SP), Airports of Thailand (AOT TB), and the...

Angus Mackintosh

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jan): Reading the Tea Leaves

There could be 5 potential changes for the LQ45 Index in January. The potential adds have performed well while the potential deletes are trading...

Brian Freitas

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - GoTo's Pivot, Astra's Sustainability Push, and Mayora Indah

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

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52-week Range

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