External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>We maintain our positive stance on Banks as we expect better liquidity condition to be reflected in Sep25 CoF, combined with attractive yield.</li><li>We continue to favor exposure in Commodities through Metals (INCO) and Coal (AADI). </li><li>While Consumers sector trade at deep discount, we remain ST cautious amid lingering raw materials pressure and weaker IDR risk.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We maintain our positive stance on Banks as we expect better liquidity condition to be reflected in Sep25 CoF, combined with attractive yield.We continue to favor exposure in Commodities through Metals (INCO) and Coal (AADI). While Consumers sector trade at deep discount, we remain ST cautious amid lingering raw materials pressure and weaker IDR risk.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Equity Strategy: Oct25 Picks: Sticking with Banks, Commodities, Telco

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>VAT discount continuation combined with potential better outlook on overall liquidity shall support the sector’s FY26F pre-sales.</li><li>Our check with companies suggests minimum exposure towards NPL risks (mostly occurring in the low-end market with building sz. &lt;21sqm).</li><li>We maintain our OW rating as it still trades at discount vs. historical 5- yrs. with improved pre-sales. Key risks is on peaking local fund position.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

VAT discount continuation combined with potential better outlook on overall liquidity shall support the sector’s FY26F pre-sales.Our check with companies suggests minimum exposure towards NPL risks (mostly occurring in the low-end market with building sz. &lt;21sqm).We maintain our OW rating as it still trades at discount vs. historical 5- yrs. with improved pre-sales. Key risks is on peaking local fund position.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property: VAT Discount Continuation and Better Liquidity to Support FY26 Pre-Sales (OVERWEIGHT)

<ul><li>We expect 2H25 earnings growth to rebound, driven by improved liquidity and prospect of govt spending acceleration.</li><li>We continue to like Telcos and are turning more constructive on banks (stable/ better NIM), while remaining ST cautious on Consumers.</li><li>We raise our JCI target to 7,960, factoring in premium from anticipated flow into conglo-group stocks, despite our lower FY25 EPS growth f’cast.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect 2H25 earnings growth to rebound, driven by improved liquidity and prospect of govt spending acceleration.We continue to like Telcos and are turning more constructive on banks (stable/ better NIM), while remaining ST cautious on Consumers.We raise our JCI target to 7,960, factoring in premium from anticipated flow into conglo-group stocks, despite our lower FY25 EPS growth f’cast.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Equity Strategy: 2H25: Positioning for a Growth Rebound

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Dian Swastatika Sentosa / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index July rebalance ended on 30 June. The changes should be announced later in two weeks, becoming effective after the close on 31 July.</li>
<li>We highlight 2 potential inclusions and 2 potential exclusions for the index at the rebalance, though there is a possibility that there are no constituent changes.</li>
<li>Both potential inclusions will have over 2x ADV to trade from passive trackers and the flow is significant for one stock.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index July rebalance ended on 30 June. The changes should be announced later in two weeks, becoming effective after the close on 31 July.
We highlight 2 potential inclusions and 2 potential exclusions for the index at the rebalance, though there is a possibility that there are no constituent changes.
Both potential inclusions will have over 2x ADV to trade from passive trackers and the flow is significant for one stock.


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jul 2025): Identifying Potential Index Changes

<ul><li>In May25, domestic funds added positions in Metals, Auto and Retailers while trimming Tech, Consumers, and Petrochemicals.</li><li>Banks’ soft earnings may drive further trimming in the sector; catalysts for Metals remain, but positioning is already high in ANTM and INCO. </li><li>JCI remains attractive versus EM peers on growth outlook and valuation; our picks for 2Q-3Q25 are: BBCA, ICBP, ISAT, and CTRA.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In May25, domestic funds added positions in Metals, Auto and Retailers while trimming Tech, Consumers, and Petrochemicals.Banks’ soft earnings may drive further trimming in the sector; catalysts for Metals remain, but positioning is already high in ANTM and INCO. JCI remains attractive versus EM peers on growth outlook and valuation; our picks for 2Q-3Q25 are: BBCA, ICBP, ISAT, and CTRA.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Equity Strategy: Jun25 Positioning: What to Add if Investors Trim Banks?

Indonesia

PT Ciputra Development Tbk develops and sells real estate including office spaces, shopping centers, and related facilities as well as industrial estates. The Company also designs, develops, and maintains housing facilities including golf courses, clubs, restaurants, recreational places, and related facilities.

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Ciputra Development (CTRA IJ)

Equity Strategy: Oct25 Picks: Sticking with Banks, Commodities, Telco

We maintain our positive stance on Banks as we expect better liquidity condition to be reflected in Sep25 CoF, combined with attractive yield.

BRI Danareksa Research

Property: VAT Discount Continuation and Better Liquidity to Support FY26 Pre-Sales (OVERWEIGHT)

We maintain our OW rating as it still trades at discount vs. historical 5- yrs. with improved pre-sales. Key risks is on peaking local fund position.

BRI Danareksa Research

Equity Strategy: 2H25: Positioning for a Growth Rebound

We raise our JCI target to 7,960, factoring in premium from anticipated flow into conglo-group stocks, despite our lower FY25 EPS growth f’cast.

BRI Danareksa Research

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jul 2025): Identifying Potential Index Changes

We highlight 2 sets of changes for the LQ45 in July. The forecast adds and deletes have traded in a range over the last few months. Historically,...

Brian Freitas

Equity Strategy: Jun25 Positioning: What to Add if Investors Trim Banks?

In May25, domestic funds added positions in Metals, Auto and Retailers while trimming Tech, Consumers, and Petrochemicals.

BRI Danareksa Research

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