External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Investors are disappointed with Citigroup's lackluster profitability compared to other large US banks, leading to a low valuation of 0.65x TBV</li><li>Potential for improvement as the company has excess capital and may be able to increase profitability to reach a 10% ROTE in the next two years</li><li>Predictions suggest that if Citigroup reaches its targets, there could be a significant increase in share value, with TBV/share reaching $100 and EPS of $10 by 2026, presenting a compelling investment opportunity for those willing to take a risk on the bank's future performance.</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.</em></p>

Investors are disappointed with Citigroup's lackluster profitability compared to other large US banks, leading to a low valuation of 0.65x TBVPotential for improvement as the company has excess capital and may be able to increase profitability to reach a 10% ROTE in the next two yearsPredictions suggest that if Citigroup reaches its targets, there could be a significant increase in share value, with TBV/share reaching $100 and EPS of $10 by 2026, presenting a compelling investment opportunity for those willing to take a risk on the bank's future performance.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Citigroup Inc (C) - Wednesday, Sep 18, 2024

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul>
<li>BAC shows strong growth of its core income in the period YoY, almost accounting for 100% of its full net profit delta YoY</li>
<li>The bank is showing greater strength in corporate lending YoY and QoQ, and this can be more powerful of a statement for economic health</li>
<li>NCO figures are coming down in corporate lending, while residential mortgages is seeing strong new originations - both are a good view on US economy</li>
</ul>


BAC shows strong growth of its core income in the period YoY, almost accounting for 100% of its full net profit delta YoY
The bank is showing greater strength in corporate lending YoY and QoQ, and this can be more powerful of a statement for economic health
NCO figures are coming down in corporate lending, while residential mortgages is seeing strong new originations - both are a good view on US economy


BAC - Almost All of Net Profit Delta YoY Is Core Income, with Strong Corporate Lending in QoQ

<ul>
<li>HSBC holds 19% of BoCom and still carries it with a value of USD23.3bn despite the stock market valuation putting it closer to USD8.1bn on YE22 figures. </li>
<li>The bank cites its Value In Use testing as the justifiable reason for this gap, and this testing will include major assumptions like discount rates and long term growth rates.</li>
<li>Goodwill and other intangible charges were USD10.6bn in FY08, USD3.4bn in FY16, and USD7.4bn in FY19 for HSBC. </li>
</ul>


HSBC holds 19% of BoCom and still carries it with a value of USD23.3bn despite the stock market valuation putting it closer to USD8.1bn on YE22 figures. 
The bank cites its Value In Use testing as the justifiable reason for this gap, and this testing will include major assumptions like discount rates and long term growth rates.
Goodwill and other intangible charges were USD10.6bn in FY08, USD3.4bn in FY16, and USD7.4bn in FY19 for HSBC. 


HSBC - Gap of USD15bn on Carrying Value Vs Fair Value of BoCom, as China Economy Weakens More

Singapore Market Roundup, Singapore Market Roundup

Singapore Market Roundup

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>RHB predicts strong earnings growth for SGX in 1HFY2025 with interim DPS of 17.5 cents, indicating positive performance ahead.</li><li>DBS issues special dividend as UOB plans share buyback, showcasing strong financial health and confidence in future prospects.</li><li>CGSI forecasts DBS's 4QFY2024 net profit at $2.7 billion and quarterly dividend rising to 60 cents, suggesting continued profitability.</li></ul>

RHB predicts strong earnings growth for SGX in 1HFY2025 with interim DPS of 17.5 cents, indicating positive performance ahead.DBS issues special dividend as UOB plans share buyback, showcasing strong financial health and confidence in future prospects.CGSI forecasts DBS's 4QFY2024 net profit at $2.7 billion and quarterly dividend rising to 60 cents, suggesting continued profitability.

Singapore Market Roundup (16-Jan-2025): RHB predicts strong 1HFY2025 earnings growth for SGX.

<ul>
<li>The 4Q24 results from JPM are strong with net profit up 50% YoY and 9% QoQ</li>
<li>The bank shows almost no deposit growth YoY but there is reasonable loan growth</li>
<li>While non-accrual loans are rising, JPM holds substantially and rising LLR for these</li>
</ul>


The 4Q24 results from JPM are strong with net profit up 50% YoY and 9% QoQ
The bank shows almost no deposit growth YoY but there is reasonable loan growth
While non-accrual loans are rising, JPM holds substantially and rising LLR for these


JPM - 4Q24 Results Show Continued Strength in Core Income, Rising Non-Accruals Well Covered by LLR

United States

Citigroup Inc. is a diversified financial services holding company that provides a broad range of financial services to consumer and corporate customers. The Company services include investment banking, retail brokerage, corporate banking, and cash management products and services. Citigroup serves customers globally.

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Citigroup Inc (C US)

Citigroup Inc (C) - Wednesday, Sep 18, 2024

Investors are disappointed with Citigroup's lackluster profitability compared to other large US banks, leading to a low valuation of 0.65x TBV

Value Investors Club

BAC - Almost All of Net Profit Delta YoY Is Core Income, with Strong Corporate Lending in QoQ

BAC is showing most all of its net profit delta in the past year coming from core income, which is positive. Its corporate lending appears strong,...

Daniel Tabbush

HSBC - Gap of USD15bn on Carrying Value Vs Fair Value of BoCom, as China Economy Weakens More

HSBC still carries its 19% investment in BoCom at a very high value compared with the market value and with a far weaker China outlook, we are not...

Daniel Tabbush

Singapore Market Roundup (16-Jan-2025): RHB predicts strong 1HFY2025 earnings growth for SGX.

RHB predicts strong earnings growth for SGX in 1HFY2025, while DBS issues special dividend, UOB plans share buyback, and CGSI predicts positive...

Singapore Market Roundup

JPM - 4Q24 Results Show Continued Strength in Core Income, Rising Non-Accruals Well Covered by LLR

The 4Q24 results from JPM are just out, with very strong growth in net profit, good cost controls and strong ALM still, with LDR expansion. Rising...

Daniel Tabbush

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