Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Weekly balance sheets at US banks show a strong economy, and likely far better 3Q25 results for banks</li>
<li>Credit growth continues to accelerate, now at 4.67% YoY, weekly CP data is very strong, at +26% YoY</li>
<li>Credit metrics appear very strong, with LLR growing at almost nothing, at 1.36% YoY and less than 2% YoY for all weeks so far in this quarter</li>
</ul>


Weekly balance sheets at US banks show a strong economy, and likely far better 3Q25 results for banks
Credit growth continues to accelerate, now at 4.67% YoY, weekly CP data is very strong, at +26% YoY
Credit metrics appear very strong, with LLR growing at almost nothing, at 1.36% YoY and less than 2% YoY for all weeks so far in this quarter


US Banks - Weekly Loans Accelerate to 4.67% YoY, LLR at Only +1.36% YoY, CP +26% YoY

Singapore Market Roundup, Singapore Market Roundup

Singapore Market Roundup

<ul>
<li>UOBKH raises Pan-United target price to $1.33 due to Terminal 5 contract and demand.</li>
<li>OCBC raises Nanofilm's fair value to 79 cents, but outlook is uncertain.</li>
<li>Maybank and DBS boost Sea Limited's target prices due to Shopee and gaming growth.</li>
</ul>


UOBKH raises Pan-United target price to $1.33 due to Terminal 5 contract and demand.
OCBC raises Nanofilm's fair value to 79 cents, but outlook is uncertain.
Maybank and DBS boost Sea Limited's target prices due to Shopee and gaming growth.


Singapore Market Roundup (12-Sep-2025): UOBKH lifts Pan-United target to $1.33 on Terminal 5 deal.

<ul>
<li>OCBC's Lim raises Nanofilm's fair value to 79 cents, citing uncertain outlook.</li>
<li>Brokers’ Digest: Suntec REIT, BRC Asia, YZJ Financial, CNMC Goldmine, Prime US REIT.</li>
<li>Maybank and DBS lift Sea Limited target prices due to higher Shopee take-rates.</li>
</ul>


OCBC's Lim raises Nanofilm's fair value to 79 cents, citing uncertain outlook.
Brokers’ Digest: Suntec REIT, BRC Asia, YZJ Financial, CNMC Goldmine, Prime US REIT.
Maybank and DBS lift Sea Limited target prices due to higher Shopee take-rates.


Singapore Market Roundup (11-Sep-2025): OCBC's Lim Ups Nanofilm's Fair Value to 79 Cents

<ul>
<li>SYF quarterly credit metrics is a sign of well improving consumer credit metrics</li>
<li>Credit costs are moving lower, in all quarters from June 2024 to June 2025</li>
<li>Total LLR coverage of loans remains high, NCO are shrinking: all is +ve</li>
</ul>


SYF quarterly credit metrics is a sign of well improving consumer credit metrics
Credit costs are moving lower, in all quarters from June 2024 to June 2025
Total LLR coverage of loans remains high, NCO are shrinking: all is +ve


Synchrony Financial - Progressively Lower Credit Costs, Still High LLR, Falling NCO Too

<ul>
<li>Large US banks show very strong loan acceleration weekly, not only due to small banks and their base effect</li>
<li>Credit metrics appear exceptional with almost no LLR growth at US banks, which is different to total banks system</li>
<li>Different to all banks and to smaller banks, US Large banks show still negative YoY growth in CRE loans - but with a lessor narrowing recently. </li>
</ul>


Large US banks show very strong loan acceleration weekly, not only due to small banks and their base effect
Credit metrics appear exceptional with almost no LLR growth at US banks, which is different to total banks system
Different to all banks and to smaller banks, US Large banks show still negative YoY growth in CRE loans - but with a lessor narrowing recently. 


US Banks - Weekly Balance Sheets for Large Banks, Highly Positive with Only 0.58% YoY LLR

United States

Citigroup Inc. is a diversified financial services holding company that provides a broad range of financial services to consumer and corporate customers. The Company services include investment banking, retail brokerage, corporate banking, and cash management products and services. Citigroup serves customers globally.

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Citigroup Inc (C US)

US Banks - Weekly Loans Accelerate to 4.67% YoY, LLR at Only +1.36% YoY, CP +26% YoY

Weekly balance sheets for US banks show accelerating 4.67% loan growth, and weekly CP data is very strong at +26% YoY. Credit metrics appear...

Daniel Tabbush

Singapore Market Roundup (12-Sep-2025): UOBKH lifts Pan-United target to $1.33 on Terminal 5 deal.

UOBKH raises Pan-United's target price to $1.33, while OCBC increases Nanofilm's fair value to 79 cents amid an uncertain outlook.

Singapore Market Roundup

Singapore Market Roundup (11-Sep-2025): OCBC's Lim Ups Nanofilm's Fair Value to 79 Cents

OCBC's Lim raises Nanofilm's fair value to 79 cents amid uncertainty. Maybank and DBS increase Sea Limited target prices due to higher Shopee take...

Singapore Market Roundup

Synchrony Financial - Progressively Lower Credit Costs, Still High LLR, Falling NCO Too

SYF shows a narrowing of credit costs from 2Q24 to 2Q25, and it shows high LLR/loans over this time still, with declining net charge-offs. Suggests...

Daniel Tabbush

US Banks - Weekly Balance Sheets for Large Banks, Highly Positive with Only 0.58% YoY LLR

Weekly HFD at large US banks is highly positive, showing almost no growth in LLR, and accelerating growth in loans. CRE loan growth remains negative.

Daniel Tabbush

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