HarmoniQ Insights

William Mann

Independent Insight Provider

At HarmoniQ Insights, we empower investors to enhance their investment strategies by integrating cutting-edge quantitative research processes and technologies. Our solutions provide access to leading quantitative data providers and services, tailored to align with each client’s unique goals. By bridging the gap between traditional investment approaches and advanced data-driven methods, we help clients gain a competitive edge through innovation in both process and technology.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Bill and Chris use LLMs like ChatGPT, Claude, and Google Gemini to gather and synthesize investment outlooks from experts.</li><li>They create an alpha capture portfolio based on sentiment, risk premia, and expected returns across assets, regions, sectors, and ETFs.</li><li>Using their methodology, they design a portfolio of 10-12 ETFs for long and short positions, ensuring a balance of exposures and avoiding overlap in stock constituents.</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Bill and Chris use LLMs like ChatGPT, Claude, and Google Gemini to gather and synthesize investment outlooks from experts.They create an alpha capture portfolio based on sentiment, risk premia, and expected returns across assets, regions, sectors, and ETFs.Using their methodology, they design a portfolio of 10-12 ETFs for long and short positions, ensuring a balance of exposures and avoiding overlap in stock constituents.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Inauguration, The Trump Trade & Building Smarter Portfolios with LLMs | The New Barbarians #004

Singapore Market Roundup, Singapore Market Roundup

Singapore Market Roundup

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>DBS may need to accelerate expansion into Malaysian market due to urgency of JS-SEZ project, according to CreditSights.</li><li>Singtel is focused on enhancing shareholder value, as confirmed by UOBKH, which also maintains a buy rating for KORE and Prime post office return mandate.</li><li>Venture Corp receives a 'buy' rating from UOB Kay Hian due to promising medium-term growth prospects, while Maybank predicts S-REIT distributions to stabilize by 2H2025 and growth in FY2026.</li></ul>

DBS may need to accelerate expansion into Malaysian market due to urgency of JS-SEZ project, according to CreditSights.Singtel is focused on enhancing shareholder value, as confirmed by UOBKH, which also maintains a buy rating for KORE and Prime post office return mandate.Venture Corp receives a 'buy' rating from UOB Kay Hian due to promising medium-term growth prospects, while Maybank predicts S-REIT distributions to stabilize by 2H2025 and growth in FY2026.

Singapore Market Roundup (21-Jan-2025): DBS must accelerate Malaysia expansion due to JS-SEZ urgency - CreditSights

<ul><li>RHB predicts strong earnings growth for SGX in 1HFY2025 with interim DPS of 17.5 cents, indicating positive performance ahead.</li><li>DBS issues special dividend as UOB plans share buyback, showcasing strong financial health and confidence in future prospects.</li><li>CGSI forecasts DBS's 4QFY2024 net profit at $2.7 billion and quarterly dividend rising to 60 cents, suggesting continued profitability.</li></ul>

RHB predicts strong earnings growth for SGX in 1HFY2025 with interim DPS of 17.5 cents, indicating positive performance ahead.DBS issues special dividend as UOB plans share buyback, showcasing strong financial health and confidence in future prospects.CGSI forecasts DBS's 4QFY2024 net profit at $2.7 billion and quarterly dividend rising to 60 cents, suggesting continued profitability.

Singapore Market Roundup (16-Jan-2025): RHB predicts strong 1HFY2025 earnings growth for SGX.

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul>
<li>The LA fires are not yet contained, especially in Pacific Palisades, and mortgage loan valuations are at risk</li>
<li>Loan restructurings can reduce yields long term, while there should also be immediate impairments</li>
<li>Many possible negative second order impacts, loan rationing, higher risk-based pricing on marginal loans, increased costs for new loans, and lower collateral values, overall</li>
</ul>


The LA fires are not yet contained, especially in Pacific Palisades, and mortgage loan valuations are at risk
Loan restructurings can reduce yields long term, while there should also be immediate impairments
Many possible negative second order impacts, loan rationing, higher risk-based pricing on marginal loans, increased costs for new loans, and lower collateral values, overall


US Banks - Los Angeles Fires Can Drive Loan Restructurings, Impairments, 2nd Order Effects

<ul>
<li>Weekly HFD for large US banks shows a profit-positive picture in latest data through 18 December</li>
<li>Loan growth is accelerating in the week and in the past few weeks, with a steady rise in the pace of growth since late November</li>
<li>Where large US banks are growing loans more aggressively, but seeing more negative growth in higher cost Jumbo Deposits, this can be highly positive for core income</li>
</ul>


Weekly HFD for large US banks shows a profit-positive picture in latest data through 18 December
Loan growth is accelerating in the week and in the past few weeks, with a steady rise in the pace of growth since late November
Where large US banks are growing loans more aggressively, but seeing more negative growth in higher cost Jumbo Deposits, this can be highly positive for core income


US Banks - Weekly Loans Surge at Large Banks, With -Ve YoY Growth CRE, Jumbo Deposits Down

United States

Citigroup Inc. is a diversified financial services holding company that provides a broad range of financial services to consumer and corporate customers. The Company services include investment banking, retail brokerage, corporate banking, and cash management products and services. Citigroup serves customers globally.

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Citigroup Inc (C US)

Inauguration, The Trump Trade & Building Smarter Portfolios with LLMs | The New Barbarians #004

Mark Connors, Christopher Rose, and Bill discuss market sell-offs, portfolio design, stablecoins, Bitcoin concentration, AI research tools, and...

William Mann

Singapore Market Roundup (21-Jan-2025): DBS must accelerate Malaysia expansion due to JS-SEZ urgency - CreditSights

DBS urged to accelerate expansion into Malaysia as Singtel aims to enhance shareholder value, UOBKH maintains buy ratings for KORE and Prime,...

Singapore Market Roundup

Singapore Market Roundup (16-Jan-2025): RHB predicts strong 1HFY2025 earnings growth for SGX.

RHB predicts strong earnings growth for SGX in 1HFY2025, while DBS issues special dividend, UOB plans share buyback, and CGSI predicts positive...

Singapore Market Roundup

US Banks - Los Angeles Fires Can Drive Loan Restructurings, Impairments, 2nd Order Effects

Fires in Los Angeles can result in impairments, loan restructurings, other second order effects for banks (and insurance companies), like credit...

Daniel Tabbush

US Banks - Weekly Loans Surge at Large Banks, With -Ve YoY Growth CRE, Jumbo Deposits Down

Weekly HFD data for large US banks is highly positive: loans accelerating, not CRE loans, with less growth in high cost jumbo deposits, and also...

Daniel Tabbush

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