Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Real Estate exposure is close to its lowest levels on record among active Asia Ex-Japan investors.  Average weights have fallen to 3.07% following an aggressive decline that took hold in April 2020 when average holding weights were above 5%.Real Estate is now the 3rd least widely held sector among active Asia Ex-Japan investors, slipping behind Health Care and Materials earlier this year for the first time in a decade.Underweights are widespread, led by the lightly held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-asset-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22650:1" rel="noopener">CK Asset Holdings (1113 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wharf-real-estate-investment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26031:1" rel="noopener">Wharf Real Estate Investment (1997 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-holdings-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5225:1" rel="noopener">Country Garden Holdings Co (2007 HK).</a>  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-investment-ltd-si" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33774:1" rel="noopener">Capitaland Investment (CLI SP)</a>, a 0.1% weight in the MSCI AAXJ index is held by none of the active strategies in our analysis.Activity over the last 6-months shows a clear rotation out of China &amp; HK and Singapore Real Estate and in to India.  Indian Real Estate ownership metrics all moved higher, with average weights increasing by 0.17%, funds invested by +4.3%, more funds buying than selling and positive fund flows.Analysis taken from our Asia Ex-Japan research, covering 96 active strategies with combined AUM of $85bn

Real Estate exposure is close to its lowest levels on record among active Asia Ex-Japan investors.  Average weights have fallen to 3.07% following an aggressive decline that took hold in April 2020 when average holding weights were above 5%.Real Estate is now the 3rd least widely held sector among active Asia Ex-Japan investors, slipping behind Health Care and Materials earlier this year for the first time in a decade.Underweights are widespread, led by the lightly held CK Asset Holdings (1113 HK), Wharf Real Estate Investment (1997 HK) and Country Garden Holdings Co (2007 HK).  Capitaland Investment (CLI SP), a 0.1% weight in the MSCI AAXJ index is held by none of the active strategies in our analysis.Activity over the last 6-months shows a clear rotation out of China &amp; HK and Singapore Real Estate and in to India.  Indian Real Estate ownership metrics all moved higher, with average weights increasing by 0.17%, funds invested by +4.3%, more funds buying than selling and positive fund flows.Analysis taken from our Asia Ex-Japan research, covering 96 active strategies with combined AUM of $85bn

Asia Ex-Japan Real Estate:  Hitting the Lows.  China to India Rotation

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/city-developments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:57" rel="noopener">City Developments (CIT SP)</a> sells Sincere stake for US$1; Raises stake in Shenzhen tech park</h3><ul><li>CIT has exited its investment in China-based Sincere Property Group for a consideration of US$1, while raising its stake in a technology park in Shenzhen. CIT has agreed to sell its 63.75% interest in HCP Chongqing Property Development (HCP Cayman) to an unrelated third party incorporated in the Republic of Seychelles. HCP Cayman holds an 80.01% equity interest in Sincere</li><li>The consideration was agreed upon after taking into account Sincere's current liquidity issues and its potential bankruptcy. For FY20, CIT had booked a S$1.78bn impairment for losses attributable to Sincere – effectively writing down 93% of its total investment in Sincere. Concurrently, CIT is increasing its stake in a company that owns 65% of Shenzhen Longgang Tusincere Tech Park. A Shenzhen Longgang District state-owned enterprise holds the remaining 35%</li></ul>

SingaporeCity Developments (CIT SP) sells Sincere stake for US$1; Raises stake in Shenzhen tech parkCIT has exited its investment in China-based Sincere Property Group for a consideration of US$1, while raising its stake in a technology park in Shenzhen. CIT has agreed to sell its 63.75% interest in HCP Chongqing Property Development (HCP Cayman) to an unrelated third party incorporated in the Republic of Seychelles. HCP Cayman holds an 80.01% equity interest in SincereThe consideration was agreed upon after taking into account Sincere's current liquidity issues and its potential bankruptcy. For FY20, CIT had booked a S$1.78bn impairment for losses attributable to Sincere – effectively writing down 93% of its total investment in Sincere. Concurrently, CIT is increasing its stake in a company that owns 65% of Shenzhen Longgang Tusincere Tech Park. A Shenzhen Longgang District state-owned enterprise holds the remaining 35%

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cdl-hospitality-trusts" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:936" rel="noopener">CDL Hospitality Trusts (CDREIT SP)</a> enters UK's build-to-rent sector with S$136m investment; 5.1% stabilized pro-forma NPI yield</h3><ul><li>CDREIT has entered into a land-purchase agreement and a development-funding agreement to invest in a build-to-rent (BTR) residential property in Manchester, United Kingdom, for a purchase consideration of GBP73.3m (S$136m). This is in line with CDREIT's strategy to strengthen its rental income base and boost its portfolio diversification. This transaction is a forward-funding arrangement, which enables CDREIT to invest in a residential BTR property at a fixed-cost, with cash flows managed over the duration of development. The pro forma stabilised NPI yield is estimated to be 5.1%, which translates to a 2.2% accretion on the FY20 DPU on a pro forma basis. CDREIT has also acquired land and buildings on the south east side of Longacre Street in Ancoats in Manchester, from BTR developer and operator Packaged Living for a consideration of GBP9.5m</li><li>In connection with the land acquisition and under a development-funding agreement, Packaged Living will redevelop the land into a residential BTR building to be known as The Castings. This will cost GBP63.8m, of which GBP58.2m will be paid out periodically over the development period; the remaining GBP5.6m will be paid shortly after project completion, expected in May24. An independent valuer has valued The Castings on a forward-funding basis at GBP76.1m, which is higher than the purchase consideration of GBP73.3m. Including the estimated furnishing and fit-out expenses of GBP3.1m, the total project cost is estimated to be GBP76.4m. The total transaction cost, including all other transaction expenses and professional fees, is GBP78.9m.</li></ul>

SingaporeCDL Hospitality Trusts (CDREIT SP) enters UK's build-to-rent sector with S$136m investment; 5.1% stabilized pro-forma NPI yieldCDREIT has entered into a land-purchase agreement and a development-funding agreement to invest in a build-to-rent (BTR) residential property in Manchester, United Kingdom, for a purchase consideration of GBP73.3m (S$136m). This is in line with CDREIT's strategy to strengthen its rental income base and boost its portfolio diversification. This transaction is a forward-funding arrangement, which enables CDREIT to invest in a residential BTR property at a fixed-cost, with cash flows managed over the duration of development. The pro forma stabilised NPI yield is estimated to be 5.1%, which translates to a 2.2% accretion on the FY20 DPU on a pro forma basis. CDREIT has also acquired land and buildings on the south east side of Longacre Street in Ancoats in Manchester, from BTR developer and operator Packaged Living for a consideration of GBP9.5mIn connection with the land acquisition and under a development-funding agreement, Packaged Living will redevelop the land into a residential BTR building to be known as The Castings. This will cost GBP63.8m, of which GBP58.2m will be paid out periodically over the development period; the remaining GBP5.6m will be paid shortly after project completion, expected in May24. An independent valuer has valued The Castings on a forward-funding basis at GBP76.1m, which is higher than the purchase consideration of GBP73.3m. Including the estimated furnishing and fit-out expenses of GBP3.1m, the total project cost is estimated to be GBP76.4m. The total transaction cost, including all other transaction expenses and professional fees, is GBP78.9m.

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-logistics-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16035" rel="noopener">Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT SP)</a> to acquire Australian cold storage facility at 4.3% yield; Fully-funded by debt, DPU accretive</h3><ul><li>MLT proposed an acquisition of a cold storage facility at 5-17 Leslie Road and 6-10 Pipe Road in Melbourne, Victoria, Australia for A$42.8m (S$42.8m) vs. independent valuation of A$43.0m as at 21Jun21. Including A$3.1m transaction-related costs, the total transaction costs will be A$45.9m</li><li>The freehold property is located within the inner west precinct of Melbourne, an established industrial and logistics region in the vicinity of MLT’s existing four properties. Spanning a total NLA of 14,747sqm, the property is comprised of five blocks of cold and freezer warehouse (77% of NLA), ambient warehouse, office and other amenities. The property is 100% leased to Austco Polar Cold Storage, a wholly-owned subsidiary of ASX-listed Wingara AG Limited, for the next 13 years with annual rent escalations</li><li>The asset is expected to generate an initial NPI yield of 4.3% (based on purchase price) and will be accretive at the distribution level. The acquisition will be 100% funded by debt and is expected to be completed by 3Q22. Upon completion and including the proposed acquisition of 9 Changi South Street 2 (announced on 9Jul21), MLT’s aggregate leverage ratio is estimated to rise to 38.7%</li><li>Following this Acquisition, MLT will have five logistics assets in Melbourne and a total of 13 assets in AUS with over A$870m in AUM (8.5% of AUM from 8.0%) and 352,400sqm of leasable space. Contribution from AUS will increase from 7.4% of GRI to 8.5%</li><li>MLT is currently trading at 4.2% FY22E yield and 1.6x P/B.</li></ul><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/223/820/original/image_45736139921629083801234.png?1629083809" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="223820"></figure>

SingaporeMapletree Logistics Trust (MLT SP) to acquire Australian cold storage facility at 4.3% yield; Fully-funded by debt, DPU accretiveMLT proposed an acquisition of a cold storage facility at 5-17 Leslie Road and 6-10 Pipe Road in Melbourne, Victoria, Australia for A$42.8m (S$42.8m) vs. independent valuation of A$43.0m as at 21Jun21. Including A$3.1m transaction-related costs, the total transaction costs will be A$45.9mThe freehold property is located within the inner west precinct of Melbourne, an established industrial and logistics region in the vicinity of MLT’s existing four properties. Spanning a total NLA of 14,747sqm, the property is comprised of five blocks of cold and freezer warehouse (77% of NLA), ambient warehouse, office and other amenities. The property is 100% leased to Austco Polar Cold Storage, a wholly-owned subsidiary of ASX-listed Wingara AG Limited, for the next 13 years with annual rent escalationsThe asset is expected to generate an initial NPI yield of 4.3% (based on purchase price) and will be accretive at the distribution level. The acquisition will be 100% funded by debt and is expected to be completed by 3Q22. Upon completion and including the proposed acquisition of 9 Changi South Street 2 (announced on 9Jul21), MLT’s aggregate leverage ratio is estimated to rise to 38.7%Following this Acquisition, MLT will have five logistics assets in Melbourne and a total of 13 assets in AUS with over A$870m in AUM (8.5% of AUM from 8.0%) and 352,400sqm of leasable space. Contribution from AUS will increase from 7.4% of GRI to 8.5%MLT is currently trading at 4.2% FY22E yield and 1.6x P/B.

<h2>Singapore</h2>
<h3>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</h3>
<table class="table table-striped">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
 
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
ECWREIT
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
DASIN
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
LREIT
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
IREIT (€)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 15.3pt;">
Period
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.3pt;">
2Q21
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.3pt;">
1H21
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.3pt;">
2H21
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.3pt;">
1H21
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 15.35pt;">
Gross Revenue (S$m)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.35pt;">
31.2 (10.6% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.35pt;">
51.3 (38.5% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.35pt;">
37 (+8.5%YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.35pt;">
23.6 (+31.6% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
NPI (S$m)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
27.9 (8.1% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
38.2 (26.3% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
26.5 (+10% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
19.3 (+23.4% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
DPU (S$ c)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
1.532 (10.5% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
2.98 (55.2% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
2.34 (+32.8% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
1.43 (+14.4% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
NAV per Unit (S$)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
0.93
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
1.46
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
0.79
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
0.5
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
P/B (x)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
0.88
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
0.34
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
1.08
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
0.81
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
Occupancy (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
99.1
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
95.7
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
99.8 (Overall portfolio)
99.2 (313@Somerset)
100 (Sky Complex)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
95.9 (Overall)
99.8 (Germany)
85.2 (Spanish)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 7.4pt;">
Reversion (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 7.4pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 7.4pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 7.4pt;">
NA
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 7.4pt;">
NA
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
Gearing (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
37.6
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
36.7
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
32
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
33.3
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
Cost of Debt (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
4.2
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
0.88
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
1.8
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
7.36
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
9.59
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
5.78
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
6.67
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
Debt Hedged (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
100% of offshore facilities
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
Not Disclosed
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
NA
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
Target Price
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
NA
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
NA
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 15.3pt;">
Rating
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.3pt;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.3pt;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.3pt;">
NA
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.3pt;">
NA
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

Singapore
SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)




 


ECWREIT


DASIN


LREIT


IREIT (€)




Period


2Q21


1H21


2H21


1H21




Gross Revenue (S$m)


31.2 (10.6% YoY)


51.3 (38.5% YoY)


37 (+8.5%YoY)


23.6 (+31.6% YoY)




NPI (S$m)


27.9 (8.1% YoY)


38.2 (26.3% YoY)


26.5 (+10% YoY)


19.3 (+23.4% YoY)




DPU (S$ c)


1.532 (10.5% YoY)


2.98 (55.2% YoY)


2.34 (+32.8% YoY)


1.43 (+14.4% YoY)




NAV per Unit (S$)


0.93


1.46


0.79


0.5




P/B (x)


0.88


0.34


1.08


0.81




Occupancy (%)


99.1


95.7


99.8 (Overall portfolio)
99.2 (313@Somerset)
100 (Sky Complex)


95.9 (Overall)
99.8 (Germany)
85.2 (Spanish)




Reversion (%)


N/A


N/A


NA


NA




Gearing (%)


37.6


36.7


32


33.3




Cost of Debt (%)


4.2


N/A


0.88


1.8




1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)


7.36


9.59


5.78


6.67




Debt Hedged (%)


100% of offshore facilities


N/A


Not Disclosed


NA




Target Price


Under Review


Under Review


NA


NA




Rating


Under Review


Under Review


NA


NA





ASEAN Builder's Scoop (10Aug21) - ECWREIT Steady as She Goes

Singapore

City Developments Limited (CDL) is a Singaporean multinational real estate operating company. It develops, owns, and manages a diversified portfolio of residential, commercial, and hospitality properties, including offices, hotels, serviced apartments, shopping malls, and integrated developments. CDL was founded on September 7, 1963, and is headquartered in Singapore.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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City Developments (CIT SP)

Asia Ex-Japan Real Estate: Hitting the Lows. China to India Rotation

Real Estate exposure is close to its lowest levels on record among active Asia Ex-Japan investors. As China Real Estate suffers an exodus, India...

Steven Holden

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (13Sep21)

CIT sells Sincere stake, raises stake in Shenzhen tech park; Hoi Hup/Sunway JV acquires Flynn Park enbloc; TSH focuses in SG, Indo, AUS; MREIT...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (1Sep21)

CDREIT enters UK's BTR resi segment; CIT secured over S$3bn green financing to-date; DC charges rising for resi, comm sites; DILD 1H21 back in red;...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (16Aug21)

MLT buys Aus cold storage facility; CIT readies ~2,000 resi launch pipeline; Jul21 new home sales surged 77% MoM; RCR gets IPO listing nod;...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (10Aug21) - ECWREIT Steady as She Goes

ECWREIT steady as she goes; DASIN boosted by acquisitions; LREIT robust occupancy levels; IREIT dual-currency trading; FPL well-positioned for...

SCCM Asia Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

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