Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uol-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:142:1" rel="noopener">UOL Group (UOL SP)</a> has underperformed its Singapore peers and the drop in market cap could result in the stock being deleted from global passive portfolios in February.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uol-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:142:1" rel="noopener">UOL Group (UOL SP)</a> has traded higher since end October and there has been a steady increase in cumulative excess volume on the stock since then.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uol-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:142:1" rel="noopener">UOL Group (UOL SP)</a> trades richer than its closest peer, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/city-developments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:57:1" rel="noopener">City Developments (CIT SP)</a>, on EV/Sales and EV/EBITDA. The recent outperformance presents a trading opportunity.</li>
</ul>



UOL Group (UOL SP) has underperformed its Singapore peers and the drop in market cap could result in the stock being deleted from global passive portfolios in February.

UOL Group (UOL SP) has traded higher since end October and there has been a steady increase in cumulative excess volume on the stock since then.

UOL Group (UOL SP) trades richer than its closest peer, City Developments (CIT SP), on EV/Sales and EV/EBITDA. The recent outperformance presents a trading opportunity.


UOL Group (UOL SP): At Risk of Passive Selling in February

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

Yangzijiang Financial Holding / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Managing director of Swensen’s ABR Holdings adds to his stake CapitaLand Investment again led the buyback consideration tally, buying back 11,965,200 shares at an average price of S$2.94 per share over the five sessions.</li><li>On Jan 19, ABR Holdings managing director Ang Yee Lim acquired 175,300 shares of the company for a consideration of S$83,432 at an average price of S$0.476 per share.</li></ul>

Managing director of Swensen’s ABR Holdings adds to his stake CapitaLand Investment again led the buyback consideration tally, buying back 11,965,200 shares at an average price of S$2.94 per share over the five sessions.On Jan 19, ABR Holdings managing director Ang Yee Lim acquired 175,300 shares of the company for a consideration of S$83,432 at an average price of S$0.476 per share.

Managing director of Swensen’s ABR Holdings adds to his stake

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Temasek raised around US$300m via its secondary selldown in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-airlines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:74:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Airlines (SIA SP)</a> in Jun 2023. The lockup from that placement will expire soon.</li>
<li>Temasek still owns over 50% of SIA and hence, any selldown might not come before SIA reports its 1H23/24 results in mid-Nov 2023.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the placement lockup dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Temasek raised around US$300m via its secondary selldown in Singapore Airlines (SIA SP) in Jun 2023. The lockup from that placement will expire soon.
Temasek still owns over 50% of SIA and hence, any selldown might not come before SIA reports its 1H23/24 results in mid-Nov 2023.
In this note, we talk about the placement lockup dynamics.


SIA Placement Lockup - Time for Another Trim of Its US$7bn Stake

Keppel Infrastructure Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>OCBC, CapitaLand Investment, UOBKH lead buyback tally OCBC led the share buyback consideration tally, buying back 1.2 million shares at an average price of S$12.74 per share, followed by CapitaLand Investment, which bought back two million shares at an average price of S$3.03 per share.</li><li>This was due mainly to the increase in revenue from hotel operations of S$34.7 million and rental of investment properties of S$2.3 million.</li></ul>

OCBC, CapitaLand Investment, UOBKH lead buyback tally OCBC led the share buyback consideration tally, buying back 1.2 million shares at an average price of S$12.74 per share, followed by CapitaLand Investment, which bought back two million shares at an average price of S$3.03 per share.This was due mainly to the increase in revenue from hotel operations of S$34.7 million and rental of investment properties of S$2.3 million.

OCBC, CapitaLand Investment, UOBKH Lead Buyback Tally

<ul><li>STI Rebounds 5.2% in July, led by Seatrium & Keppel Corp The 5.2% gain on the month was the STI's strongest performing month since a 6.4% gain in November 2022, with the STI trading at March levels (below 3,150) in early July, then retesting February levels (above 3,350) in late July.  https://investors.sgx.com/_security-types/stocks/S51?lang=en led the STI constituents in July, gaining 12.8% while booking the highest net institutional inflow for the month at S$75.4 million.</li></ul>

STI Rebounds 5.2% in July, led by Seatrium & Keppel Corp The 5.2% gain on the month was the STI's strongest performing month since a 6.4% gain in November 2022, with the STI trading at March levels (below 3,150) in early July, then retesting February levels (above 3,350) in late July.  https://investors.sgx.com/_security-types/stocks/S51?lang=en led the STI constituents in July, gaining 12.8% while booking the highest net institutional inflow for the month at S$75.4 million.

STI Rebounds 5.2% in July, led by Seatrium & Keppel Corp

Singapore

City Developments Limited is a property developer and owner. The Company, through its subsidiaries, are principally engaged in the investment of properties and shares, property management, project management and the provision of consultancy services, hospitality-related information technology, and procurement services. City Developments has a global presence.

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City Developments (CIT SP)

UOL Group (UOL SP): At Risk of Passive Selling in February

UOL Group could be deleted from global passive portfolios in February and trackers will need to sell 16x ADV. UOL Group has outperformed City Dev...

Brian Freitas

Managing director of Swensen’s ABR Holdings adds to his stake

Managing director of Swensen’s ABR Holdings adds to his stake CapitaLand Investment again led the buyback consideration tally, buying back...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

SIA Placement Lockup - Time for Another Trim of Its US$7bn Stake

Temasek raised around US$300m via its secondary selldown in Singapore Airlines (SIA SP) in Jun 2023. The lockup from that placement will expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

OCBC, CapitaLand Investment, UOBKH Lead Buyback Tally

OCBC, CapitaLand Investment, UOBKH lead buyback tally OCBC led the share buyback consideration tally, buying back 1.2 million shares at an average...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

STI Rebounds 5.2% in July, led by Seatrium & Keppel Corp

STI Rebounds 5.2% in July, led by Seatrium & Keppel Corp The 5.2% gain on the month was the STI's strongest performing month since a 6.4% gain...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

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