Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>We discuss how to use the OWL ESG Analytics (available on Smartkarma) to narrow down the list of companies that could be the next targets of corporate activism in Korea. </li>
<li>We go through in detail, step-by-step process of how to narrow down the list of companies, using the OWL ESG Analytics. </li>
<li>Corporate activism has been one of the most important, market moving factors moving the Korean stock market this year.</li>
</ul>


We discuss how to use the OWL ESG Analytics (available on Smartkarma) to narrow down the list of companies that could be the next targets of corporate activism in Korea. 
We go through in detail, step-by-step process of how to narrow down the list of companies, using the OWL ESG Analytics. 
Corporate activism has been one of the most important, market moving factors moving the Korean stock market this year.


Using Smartkarma/OWL ESG Analytics to Narrow Down List of Corporate Activism Targets in Korea

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>On 6 March, the Financial Services Commission (FSC) and the Korea Exchange (KRX) jointly announced revisions and guidelines to spin-offs and double listings in Korea.</li>
<li>The new guidelines of the FSC and KRX regarding the spin-offs/double listings is positive and a step in the right direction to improve the corporate governance of companies in Korea.</li>
<li>On the other hand, one of the consequences of these changes could be that the parent companies may take more time to complete IPOs of their promising affiliates.</li>
</ul>


On 6 March, the Financial Services Commission (FSC) and the Korea Exchange (KRX) jointly announced revisions and guidelines to spin-offs and double listings in Korea.
The new guidelines of the FSC and KRX regarding the spin-offs/double listings is positive and a step in the right direction to improve the corporate governance of companies in Korea.
On the other hand, one of the consequences of these changes could be that the parent companies may take more time to complete IPOs of their promising affiliates.


FSC and KRX Jointly Announce Revisions to Spinoffs and Double Listings in Korea

<ul>
<li>There are two key, positive catalysts for major Korean holding companies that could result in these stocks outperforming the market in the coming months.</li>
<li>The first main catalyst is that the two leading presidential candidates are both have campaign pledges to protect minority shareholders when conglomerates conduct physical division spin-offs/splits. </li>
<li>The second key catalyst is the shift from growth to value stocks amid heightened market volatility.</li>
</ul>


There are two key, positive catalysts for major Korean holding companies that could result in these stocks outperforming the market in the coming months.
The first main catalyst is that the two leading presidential candidates are both have campaign pledges to protect minority shareholders when conglomerates conduct physical division spin-offs/splits. 
The second key catalyst is the shift from growth to value stocks amid heightened market volatility.


Two Key Positive Catalysts for Major Korean Holding Companies

Global Special Situations & Strategy, SR Services Ltd

David Lepper

Global Special Situations & Strategy

SR Services Ltd

SR Services provides Strategic Knowledge and Solutions services for Family Offices and Corporate Business. 

We deliver this via advisory services, strategic planning, opportunity analysis/sourcing, as well as solution implementation. 

Whilst, we create intellectual discipline and operational leverage for your projects or daily activities, our ultimate objective is to empower whilst enhancing your decision making. 

Strategic Knowledge and Solutions

<ul>
<li>
Our Q3-2021 All Cap High-Risk screen of stocks produced a market-cap-weighted average price return of 2% and a simple average decline of 0.2%.</li>
<li>
Out of the 34 stocks that appeared in our Q3-2021 screen, 15 stocks saw an average share price decline of 11.5%, whilst 19 stocks appreciated on average by 14%. The two biggest declining stock  were down 25% and 19% respectively.</li>
<li>Our Q4 2021 screen, with 38 names (up from 34 seen in Q3 and Q2 2021) delivers an interesting composition this quarter, </li>
<li>
As in the previous few quarters, we anticipate the possibility of a risk of deteriorating credit metrics during the next few quarters: Q4 2021’s Altman Z score rests at 1.23, which is just up on Q3 2021’s level of 1.19.</li>
</ul>



Our Q3-2021 All Cap High-Risk screen of stocks produced a market-cap-weighted average price return of 2% and a simple average decline of 0.2%.

Out of the 34 stocks that appeared in our Q3-2021 screen, 15 stocks saw an average share price decline of 11.5%, whilst 19 stocks appreciated on average by 14%. The two biggest declining stock  were down 25% and 19% respectively.
Our Q4 2021 screen, with 38 names (up from 34 seen in Q3 and Q2 2021) delivers an interesting composition this quarter, 

As in the previous few quarters, we anticipate the possibility of a risk of deteriorating credit metrics during the next few quarters: Q4 2021’s Altman Z score rests at 1.23, which is just up on Q3 2021’s level of 1.19.


Screening the Silk Road: Q4 2021 High-Risk Names to Avoid

<h2>Eight new names, SoftBank remains for the 3rd quarter running</h2>
<ul>
<li>
OurQ2-2021 All Cap High-Risk screen of stocks produced a market cap-weighted average price decline of 2%. In comparison, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index posted a decline of 1.7% over the same period. The stock quality of our Q2 2021 decreased 2.4 points or 3.8% over the period. Within the mix of 34 stocks in our Q2 2021 (May) list 19 posted negative performance, with an average decline of 14.1%.</li>
<li>
At a static number of 34 stocks our Q3 2021 screen, delivers an interesting composition this quarter, with eight (8) new names and strong representation from Hong Kong in terms of geography and Industrials and Basic Materials from a sector perspective. This suggests that the “reopening of the economy” trade may have run its course for now.</li>
<li>Our Q3 2021 screen shows a further reduction in average stock rank (a reading on relative quality amongst the broad market peers with 100 being the highest) to 61 from 65.18 in Q2 2021.</li>
<li>
Stock specific focus: We discuss why SoftBank stands out as a stock that presents with additional risk. We also discuss the fact that whilst there is a high representation of Industrials in the list, within this list, there are several names that may warrant not being too bearish towards.</li>
</ul>

Eight new names, SoftBank remains for the 3rd quarter running


OurQ2-2021 All Cap High-Risk screen of stocks produced a market cap-weighted average price decline of 2%. In comparison, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index posted a decline of 1.7% over the same period. The stock quality of our Q2 2021 decreased 2.4 points or 3.8% over the period. Within the mix of 34 stocks in our Q2 2021 (May) list 19 posted negative performance, with an average decline of 14.1%.

At a static number of 34 stocks our Q3 2021 screen, delivers an interesting composition this quarter, with eight (8) new names and strong representation from Hong Kong in terms of geography and Industrials and Basic Materials from a sector perspective. This suggests that the “reopening of the economy” trade may have run its course for now.
Our Q3 2021 screen shows a further reduction in average stock rank (a reading on relative quality amongst the broad market peers with 100 being the highest) to 61 from 65.18 in Q2 2021.

Stock specific focus: We discuss why SoftBank stands out as a stock that presents with additional risk. We also discuss the fact that whilst there is a high representation of Industrials in the list, within this list, there are several names that may warrant not being too bearish towards.


Screening the Silk Road: Q3 2021 High-Risk Names to Avoid

South Korea

CJ Corp. is an investment holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, manufactures processed food products.  The subsidiaries' products include refined sugar, monosodium glutamate (MSG), condiment, wheat powder, flour, cooking oil, processed meats, and animal feed.

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CJ Corp (001040 KS)

Using Smartkarma/OWL ESG Analytics to Narrow Down List of Corporate Activism Targets in Korea

We discuss how to use the OWL ESG Analytics (available on Smartkarma) to narrow down the list of companies that could be the next targets of...

Douglas Kim

FSC and KRX Jointly Announce Revisions to Spinoffs and Double Listings in Korea

The new guidelines of the FSC and KRX regarding the spin-offs/double listings is positive and a step in the right direction to improve the...

Douglas Kim

Two Key Positive Catalysts for Major Korean Holding Companies

There are two key, positive catalysts for major Korean holding companies that could result in these stocks outperforming the market in the coming...

Douglas Kim

Screening the Silk Road: Q4 2021 High-Risk Names to Avoid

As we move through into Q1 2022, we expect to see volatility around highly priced & leveraged names. This screen is a key starting point towards...

David Lepper

Screening the Silk Road: Q3 2021 High-Risk Names to Avoid

Screening the Silk Road Q3 2021: Asia Pac High-risk names to avoid screening is out now. Eight new names, despite being down 23%, SoftBank remains...

David Lepper

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