Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Did Trump do <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-hutchison-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:132:1" rel="noopener">CKH (1 HK)</a> a solid, convincing them to sell assets that have profited from international trade growth, just as Trump starts imposing tariffs on anything that moves?</li>
<li>An OK package for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I (3382 JP)</a>. Not perfect. SEI IPO's a bit dodgy. It may be designed to spur ACT into action, but isn't an awful fallback.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/macromill-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24026:1" rel="noopener">Macromill (3978 JP)</a>'s Offer bumped.  If you want to make sure this deal doesn't get done, do the things you need to do to make sure it doesn't get done.</li>
</ul>


Did Trump do CKH (1 HK) a solid, convincing them to sell assets that have profited from international trade growth, just as Trump starts imposing tariffs on anything that moves?
An OK package for Seven &amp; I (3382 JP). Not perfect. SEI IPO's a bit dodgy. It may be designed to spur ACT into action, but isn't an awful fallback.

Macromill (3978 JP)'s Offer bumped.  If you want to make sure this deal doesn't get done, do the things you need to do to make sure it doesn't get done.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Cheung Kong, Macromill, China National Building Material, Canvest

<ul>
<li>As part of a US$22.8bn transaction, BlackRock, Global Infrastructure Partners and Terminal Investment, have <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0304/2025030402128.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">agreed to buy</a> two contentious Panama ports from Li Ka-shing's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-hutchison-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:132:1" rel="noopener">CK Hutchison (1 HK)</a> (CKH).</li>
<li>The transaction also includes an 80% stake in CKH's ports subsidiaries, which operate 43 ports comprising 199 berths in 23 countries.</li>
<li>CKH expects cash proceeds in excess of US$19bn. CKH's current market cap was - at the time of deal - also  ~US$19bn. </li>
</ul>


As part of a US$22.8bn transaction, BlackRock, Global Infrastructure Partners and Terminal Investment, have agreed to buy two contentious Panama ports from Li Ka-shing's CK Hutchison (1 HK) (CKH).
The transaction also includes an 80% stake in CKH's ports subsidiaries, which operate 43 ports comprising 199 berths in 23 countries.
CKH expects cash proceeds in excess of US$19bn. CKH's current market cap was - at the time of deal - also  ~US$19bn. 


Li Ka-Ching! Cheung Kong (1 HK) Offloads Panama Ports To Blackrock

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-hutchison-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:132:1" rel="noopener">CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)</a> (CKH) is trading "cheap" as Panama's Supreme Court agrees to consider a request to nullify CKH's canal concessions. </li>
<li>Preceding my comments on CKH, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-infrastructure-holdings-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:163:1" rel="noopener">CK Infrastructure Holdings (1038 HK)</a> (coming up cheap on my monitor), and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/power-assets-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:788:1" rel="noopener">Power Assets Holdings (6 HK)</a> are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK) (CKH) is trading "cheap" as Panama's Supreme Court agrees to consider a request to nullify CKH's canal concessions. 
Preceding my comments on CKH, CK Infrastructure Holdings (1038 HK) (coming up cheap on my monitor), and Power Assets Holdings (6 HK) are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-pacific-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:173:1" rel="noopener">First Pacific Co (142 HK)</a> is a Southeast Asian conglomerate that has been handicapped by its listing in the Hong Kong market over the last several years.</li>
<li>As Southeast Asian markets (Indonesia and Philippines) begin to re-rate on the back of a more accommodating Fed policy, First Pacific is beginning to participate in the uptrend.</li>
<li>Metro Pacific Investments Corp (MPIC), the second largest piece of the company's NAV has been active in acquiring more infrastructure assets since being privatized last year.</li>
</ul>



First Pacific Co (142 HK) is a Southeast Asian conglomerate that has been handicapped by its listing in the Hong Kong market over the last several years.
As Southeast Asian markets (Indonesia and Philippines) begin to re-rate on the back of a more accommodating Fed policy, First Pacific is beginning to participate in the uptrend.
Metro Pacific Investments Corp (MPIC), the second largest piece of the company's NAV has been active in acquiring more infrastructure assets since being privatized last year.


BUY: First Pacific Company (142 HK): Right Stock Trapped in the Wrong Market

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vodafone-idea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15678:1" rel="noopener">Vodafone Idea (IDEA IN)</a> plans to raise around US$2.2bn via a follow-on public offering.</li>
<li>The deal has been in the works for years and proceeds will be used for capex and short-term debt repayment.</li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Vodafone Idea (IDEA IN) plans to raise around US$2.2bn via a follow-on public offering.
The deal has been in the works for years and proceeds will be used for capex and short-term debt repayment.
In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the deal dynamics.


Vodafone Idea Placement - Very Well Flagged but Its Not Going to Fix a Whole Lot of Issues

Hong Kong

CK Hutchison Holdings Limited holds all of the non-property businesses of the Cheung Kong Group and the Hutchison Group, including ports and related services, telecommunications, retail, infrastructure, energy, and movable assets leasing operations.

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CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Cheung Kong, Macromill, China National Building Material, Canvest

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Li Ka-Ching! Cheung Kong (1 HK) Offloads Panama Ports To Blackrock

CKH is super cheap. This deal removes a significant overhang. You could set up a long/short with CKI. Or simply buy outright in CKH. Then buy...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Cheung Kong's Geopolitics

Labelling CKH an agent of China is misplaced. But with a Panamanian court judgement potentially imminent, it's probably still too early to jump in.

David Blennerhassett

BUY: First Pacific Company (142 HK): Right Stock Trapped in the Wrong Market

Since our insight on 1st Pac last Sept., the stock has gained 33%. Company had solid 2024 results. MPIC, the undervalued Phil./Indonesia...

David Mudd

Vodafone Idea Placement - Very Well Flagged but Its Not Going to Fix a Whole Lot of Issues

Vodafone Idea (IDEA IN) plans to raise around US$2.2bn via a follow-on public offering. In this note, we talk about the deal dyanmics.

Sumeet Singh

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