External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

Clean Science and Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We maintain SELL on Clean Science and Technology (CSTL) with a price target of INR 1,026 (WACC 11%, terminal growth 6%), owing to (1) slower-than-expected ramp-up in hindered amine light stabilisers (HALS) (2) entry of domestic competitor in mono methyl ether of hydroquinone (MEHQ) manufacturing and (3) lower offtake of performance chemicals</li><li>Gross profit margin and EBITDA margin are expected to fall by 520/340 bps by FY26 from 65/43% in FY23</li><li>Global giants are augmenting the capacities of HALS and intermediates of HALS.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We maintain SELL on Clean Science and Technology (CSTL) with a price target of INR 1,026 (WACC 11%, terminal growth 6%), owing to (1) slower-than-expected ramp-up in hindered amine light stabilisers (HALS) (2) entry of domestic competitor in mono methyl ether of hydroquinone (MEHQ) manufacturing and (3) lower offtake of performance chemicalsGross profit margin and EBITDA margin are expected to fall by 520/340 bps by FY26 from 65/43% in FY23Global giants are augmenting the capacities of HALS and intermediates of HALS.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Clean Science and Technology: Margin to Decline, Valuation Expensive. Maintain SELL

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Revenue for our coverage universe is likely to improve by 6.3% QoQ while it could fall by 6.6% YoY in 2Q</li><li>Inventory rationalisation by global agrochemicals and weak demand for products from the US and Europe led to a correction in the prices of finished products</li><li>EBITDA could fall by 7% YoY while EBITDA margin could remain flattish YoY.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Revenue for our coverage universe is likely to improve by 6.3% QoQ while it could fall by 6.6% YoY in 2QInventory rationalisation by global agrochemicals and weak demand for products from the US and Europe led to a correction in the prices of finished productsEBITDA could fall by 7% YoY while EBITDA margin could remain flattish YoY.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Chemicals (Q2FY24 Results Preview): Lackluster quarter

<ul><li>Dabur: Dabur delivered an operationally in-line Q1FY24 print with consolidated revenue/EBITDA each growing by 11% YoY while volume grew by 3% (c.6% excl beverages)</li><li>The domestic business grew by 8% while the international business posted a 10% growth (21% cc growth)</li><li>Growth was led by double-digit growth in healthcare (+10%) and HPC (+11%)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Dabur: Dabur delivered an operationally in-line Q1FY24 print with consolidated revenue/EBITDA each growing by 11% YoY while volume grew by 3% (c.6% excl beverages)The domestic business grew by 8% while the international business posted a 10% growth (21% cc growth)Growth was led by double-digit growth in healthcare (+10%) and HPC (+11%)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Dabur, Eicher Motors, Hindustan Petroleum Corporation

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for a bunch of indices ended last week though the announcement of the changes will take 4-6 weeks.</li>
<li>There are no rebalance implementations in the coming week though focus will move to the implementation of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank</a> merger and index changes the following week.</li>
<li>There were big inflows to China focused ETF with a lot of money going into Semiconductor and Chip focused ETFs.</li>
</ul>


The review period for a bunch of indices ended last week though the announcement of the changes will take 4-6 weeks.
There are no rebalance implementations in the coming week though focus will move to the implementation of the HDFC Limited/ HDFC Bank merger and index changes the following week.
There were big inflows to China focused ETF with a lot of money going into Semiconductor and Chip focused ETFs.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: KQ150, LQ45, PCOMP, HDFC/HDFCB, Delta Electronics, Redox IPO, AMFI

Event-Driven

Tube Investments of India  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 9 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 10 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other migrations and some stocks have seen large price moves over the last couple of weeks.</li>
<li>Active managers would have started realigning their portfolios and that could continue for a couple of weeks. Unwind long positions into strength.</li>
</ul>


We see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 9 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 10 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other migrations and some stocks have seen large price moves over the last couple of weeks.
Active managers would have started realigning their portfolios and that could continue for a couple of weeks. Unwind long positions into strength.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2023): Outperformance Continues

India

Clean Science and Technology Private Limited operates as a chemical company. The Company offers butylated hydroxy anisole, mono methyl ether of hydroquinone, guaiacol, and dimethyl carbonate. Clean Science and Technology serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Clean Science and Technology (CLEAN IN)

Clean Science and Technology: Margin to Decline, Valuation Expensive. Maintain SELL

Gross profit margin and EBITDA margin are expected to fall by 520/340 bps by FY26 from 65/43% in FY23. Global giants are augmenting the capacities...

HDFC Securities

Chemicals (Q2FY24 Results Preview): Lackluster quarter

Inventory rationalisation by global agrochemicals and weak demand for products from the US and Europe led to a correction in the prices of finished...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Dabur, Eicher Motors, Hindustan Petroleum Corporation

Dabur: Dabur delivered an operationally in-line Q1FY24 print with consolidated revenue/EBITDA each growing by 11% YoY while volume grew by 3% (c.6%...

HDFC Securities

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: KQ150, LQ45, PCOMP, HDFC/HDFCB, Delta Electronics, Redox IPO, AMFI

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2023): Outperformance Continues

There could be 34 stocks migrating between size segments at the next reclassification. Active fund managers would have started rebalancing their...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)