Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Brilliance China Automotive / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We see 44 potential adds (including plenty of new listings) and 19 potential deletes (on market cap, liquidity and suspension) for the Hang Seng Composite Index in March.</li>
<li>We expect 37 stocks to be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the rebalance while 37 stocks could be deleted from the trading link and become Sell-only. </li>
<li>There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.</li>
</ul>


We see 44 potential adds (including plenty of new listings) and 19 potential deletes (on market cap, liquidity and suspension) for the Hang Seng Composite Index in March.
We expect 37 stocks to be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the rebalance while 37 stocks could be deleted from the trading link and become Sell-only. 
There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: A Lot of Change

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>ClouDr released positive profit alert for 2022. We think ClouDr is in a virtuous circle based on its solid business model. It's a matter of time before ClouDr achieves breakeven. </li>
<li>As the number of hospitals/pharmacies newly deploying SaaS modules increases, and the existing B-end users continue to receive new patients,ClouDr is able to absorb new C-end users at low cost.</li>
<li>When more powerful competitors come in and carve up B-end market, ClouDr's long-term prospects may be uncertain, but its valuation shouldn't be much lower than Ping An Good Doctor. </li>
</ul>


ClouDr released positive profit alert for 2022. We think ClouDr is in a virtuous circle based on its solid business model. It's a matter of time before ClouDr achieves breakeven. 
As the number of hospitals/pharmacies newly deploying SaaS modules increases, and the existing B-end users continue to receive new patients,ClouDr is able to absorb new C-end users at low cost.
When more powerful competitors come in and carve up B-end market, ClouDr's long-term prospects may be uncertain, but its valuation shouldn't be much lower than Ping An Good Doctor. 


ClouDr Group (9955.HK) - Positive Profit Alert for 2022, Thoughts on Business Model and the Concerns

<ul>
<li>We see 3 potential adds for the HSCI in December. We also see 26 potential adds and 16 potential deletes for the index in March.</li>
<li>Following the March rebalance, we see 22 potential inclusions to Stock Connect while we expect 37 stocks to be removed from the link.</li>
<li>Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


We see 3 potential adds for the HSCI in December. We also see 26 potential adds and 16 potential deletes for the index in March.
Following the March rebalance, we see 22 potential inclusions to Stock Connect while we expect 37 stocks to be removed from the link.
Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Changes at the Margins

<ul>
<li>We see three new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in December. One is already in Stock Connect, one will be added to Stock Connect while one will not.</li>
<li>Given the large market moves, there will be many changes to the HSCI in March 2023. Quite a few stocks could remain in the HSCI but drop out of Connect.</li>
<li>Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


We see three new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in December. One is already in Stock Connect, one will be added to Stock Connect while one will not.
Given the large market moves, there will be many changes to the HSCI in March 2023. Quite a few stocks could remain in the HSCI but drop out of Connect.
Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in December & March (There's a Lot!)

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Initiate at BUY. ClouDr is a pioneer and leader in China’s digital healthcare industry with a focus on chronic condition management in the scenarios of hospitals, pharmacies and individual users.</li><li>According to F&amp;S, the Company is the largest digital chronic condition management solution provider in China in terms of numbers of SaaS installations in hospitals and pharmacies as of 2021.</li><li><div><div><div><p>Big market potential of digital chronic condition management in China.</p></div></div></div></li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Initiate at BUY. ClouDr is a pioneer and leader in China’s digital healthcare industry with a focus on chronic condition management in the scenarios of hospitals, pharmacies and individual users.According to F&amp;S, the Company is the largest digital chronic condition management solution provider in China in terms of numbers of SaaS installations in hospitals and pharmacies as of 2021.Big market potential of digital chronic condition management in China.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ClouDr (9955 HK) – Digitalizing the chronic condition management market in China

China

ClouDr Group Limited is a China-based investment holding company that provides medical services and products. It offers medical supplies, SaaS solutions to hospitals and pharmacies, and digital marketing services to pharmaceutical companies, alongside online consultations and prescriptions for patients. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

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ClouDr Group (9955 HK)

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: A Lot of Change

We forecast 44 adds/19 deletes for the HSCI in March leading to 37 adds/deletes for Southbound Stock Connect. There could be more Connect changes...

Brian Freitas