Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The March rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights.</li>
<li>The net round-trip trade across all stocks across the five indices is estimated at HK$38.8bn (US$4.96bn). There is size to trade in a lot of stocks.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29030:1" rel="noopener">NetEase</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-molybdenum-co-ltd-d9c46a67-e31f-431f-9f5f-02222265d701" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8585:1" rel="noopener">China Molybdenum</a> are the largest net buys, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hsbc-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:516:1" rel="noopener">HSBC Holdings</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">SMIC</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lenovo-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13359:1" rel="noopener">Lenovo</a> are the largest net sells.</li>
</ul>


The March rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights.
The net round-trip trade across all stocks across the five indices is estimated at HK$38.8bn (US$4.96bn). There is size to trade in a lot of stocks.

Tencent, Xiaomi, Meituan, Alibaba, Horizon Robotics, NetEase and China Molybdenum are the largest net buys, while HSBC Holdings, BYD, SMIC, JD.com and Lenovo are the largest net sells.


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSBIO Index Rebalance: US$5bn of Flows Post Capping (Mar 2026)

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics / Equity Capital Markets

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics (2692 HK)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-zhaowei-machinery-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46000:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery (2692 HK)</a>'s IPO does not look attractive, as valuations are not cheap relative to peers, despite a steep 45.6% discount to A-share. </li>
<li>At the maximum IPO price of HK$73.68, Zhaowei will trade on a PER of 50.1x for FY26F and 40.8x for FY27F. Global peers are, on average, just 16.9x.</li>
<li>Even if we park its HA discount alongside its close peer, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-sanhua-intelligent-controls-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45277:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls (2050 HK)</a>, it will only mean 6.5% upside from the IPO price.</li>
</ul>



Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery (2692 HK)'s IPO does not look attractive, as valuations are not cheap relative to peers, despite a steep 45.6% discount to A-share. 
At the maximum IPO price of HK$73.68, Zhaowei will trade on a PER of 50.1x for FY26F and 40.8x for FY27F. Global peers are, on average, just 16.9x.
Even if we park its HA discount alongside its close peer, Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls (2050 HK), it will only mean 6.5% upside from the IPO price.


Shenzhen Zhaowei (2692 HK) IPO: Limited Near-Term Upside

Contemporary Amperex Technology / Index Rebalance

Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-catl-co-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">CATL (3750 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-molybdenum-co-ltd-d9c46a67-e31f-431f-9f5f-02222265d701" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8585:1" rel="noopener">China Molybdenum (3993 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/laopu-gold-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44036:1" rel="noopener">Laopu Gold (6181 HK)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a> in March, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng Group (881 HK)</a> will be deleted.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 2.5% and the estimated round-trip trade is HK$9.65bn (US$1.23bn). Big capping inflows for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> and big capping outflows for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hsbc-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:516:1" rel="noopener">HSBC Holdings (5 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>With decent size to buy from passives, the A/H trades on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-catl-co-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">CATL (3750 HK)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technolog" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">CATL (300750 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-molybdenum-co-ltd-d9c46a67-e31f-431f-9f5f-02222265d701" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8585:1" rel="noopener">China Molybdenum (3993 HK)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cmoc-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28168:1" rel="noopener">CMOC Group (603993 CH)</a> become interesting.</li>
</ul>



CATL (3750 HK), China Molybdenum (3993 HK) and Laopu Gold (6181 HK) will be added to the Hang Seng Index in March, while Zhongsheng Group (881 HK) will be deleted.
Estimated one-way turnover is 2.5% and the estimated round-trip trade is HK$9.65bn (US$1.23bn). Big capping inflows for Tencent (700 HK) and big capping outflows for HSBC Holdings (5 HK). 
With decent size to buy from passives, the A/H trades on CATL (3750 HK) / CATL (300750 CH) and China Molybdenum (3993 HK) / CMOC Group (603993 CH) become interesting.


Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: 3 Adds & 1 Delete as More A/H Pairs Selected

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 12th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Alibaba, China Pacific Insurance, Tencent, Bidu, Akeso, Shandong Gold Mining.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 12th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Alibaba, China Pacific Insurance, Tencent, Bidu, Akeso, Shandong Gold Mining.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Alibaba, China Pacific Insurance, Tencent, Bidu, Akeso

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSI in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on AIA, HSBC, MEITUAN, JD.COM, BIDU, SINO BIOPHARM, XINYI SOLAR, HSBC, Meituan, Jd, AIA, Bidu, Sino Biopharm, Xinyi Solar.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSI in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on AIA, HSBC, MEITUAN, JD.COM, BIDU, SINO BIOPHARM, XINYI SOLAR, HSBC, Meituan, Jd, AIA, Bidu, Sino Biopharm, Xinyi Solar.


HSI Index Earning Revision (Aug): AIA, HSBC, MEITUAN, JD.COM, BIDU, SINO BIOPHARM

Hong Kong

CLP Holdings Limited is an investment holding company primarily engaged in the generation, retail, transmission, and distribution of electricity across the Asia-Pacific region, including Hong Kong, Mainland China, Australia, India, Thailand, and Taiwan. The company utilizes a diversified energy portfolio, including coal, gas, nuclear, and renewable sources, and also provides energy and infrastructure solutions. It was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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CLP (2 HK)

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSBIO Index Rebalance: US$5bn of Flows Post Capping (Mar 2026)

The March rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSHKBIO indices will use today's closing prices for capping. The round-trip trade across the...

Brian Freitas

Shenzhen Zhaowei (2692 HK) IPO: Limited Near-Term Upside

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery's IPO is not particularly attractive at HK$73.68 due to high valuations compared to peers, despite a significant 45.6%...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: 3 Adds & 1 Delete as More A/H Pairs Selected

There are 3 adds, 1 delete for the HSI to take us to 90 members. We should get to the 100-target early 2027. With mainland China closed for the...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Alibaba, China Pacific Insurance, Tencent, Bidu, Akeso

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 12th and highlight short interest changes in Alibaba, China Pacific...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSI Index Earning Revision (Aug): AIA, HSBC, MEITUAN, JD.COM, BIDU, SINO BIOPHARM

We analyzed HSI's consensus for Aug 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in AIA (1299 HK), HSBC (5 HK), MEITUAN (3690 HK), JD.COM (9618 HK), BIDU...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSBIO Index Rebalance: US$5bn of Flows Post Capping (Mar 2026)

The March rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSHKBIO indices will use today's closing prices for capping. The round-trip trade across the...

Brian Freitas

Shenzhen Zhaowei (2692 HK) IPO: Limited Near-Term Upside

​Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery's IPO is not particularly attractive at HK$73.68 due to high valuations compared to peers, despite a significant 45.6%...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: 3 Adds & 1 Delete as More A/H Pairs Selected

There are 3 adds, 1 delete for the HSI to take us to 90 members. We should get to the 100-target early 2027. With mainland China closed for the...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Alibaba, China Pacific Insurance, Tencent, Bidu, Akeso

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 12th and highlight short interest changes in Alibaba, China Pacific...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSI Index Earning Revision (Aug): AIA, HSBC, MEITUAN, JD.COM, BIDU, SINO BIOPHARM

We analyzed HSI's consensus for Aug 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in AIA (1299 HK), HSBC (5 HK), MEITUAN (3690 HK), JD.COM (9618 HK), BIDU...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery's IPO is not particularly attractive at HK$73.68 due to high valuations compared to peers, despite a significant 45.6%...