Fixed Income and Currency Strategist

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

FX & Rates

The US dollar has weakened since the end of March, leaving it flat from the start of the year. If the dollar moves sideways for the time being, as we expect, then it should lead to a carry trade environment. We identify the best EM currencies for such an environment.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of the EM currency market in which we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to an EM currency index.

The US dollar has weakened since the end of March, leaving it flat from the start of the year. If the dollar moves sideways for the time being, as we expect, then it should lead to a carry trade environment. We identify the best EM currencies for such an environment.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of the EM currency market in which we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to an EM currency index.

FX Dashboard: Which Currencies to Target in a Carry Trade Environment?

Following the recent rally in the Indian rupee, we assess that there is more upside in the currency but suggest targeting a better entry point as uncertainties remain.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of the EM currency market in which we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to an EM currency index.

Following the recent rally in the Indian rupee, we assess that there is more upside in the currency but suggest targeting a better entry point as uncertainties remain.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of the EM currency market in which we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to an EM currency index.

FX Dashboard: Does the Indian Rupee Have More Room to Run?

In this week’s Alpha Bites, we recommend going long the Chilean peso (CLP) against the Australian dollar (AUD) in a beta-neutral ratio. The Chilean peso has outperformed its EM peers but has lagged the rally in copper. Instead of funding CLP in dollars, we prefer the Australian dollar to partly hedge the commodity risk as both Chile and Australia are major metal exporters.

In this week’s Alpha Bites, we recommend going long the Chilean peso (CLP) against the Australian dollar (AUD) in a beta-neutral ratio. The Chilean peso has outperformed its EM peers but has lagged the rally in copper. Instead of funding CLP in dollars, we prefer the Australian dollar to partly hedge the commodity risk as both Chile and Australia are major metal exporters.

Alpha Bites: Long Chilean Peso Vs Short Australian Dollar

In this note, we argue that as volatility spills over from rising US yields, it may be better to hedge a broad EM currency exposure with the euro rather than reducing it.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of the EM currency market in which we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to an EM currency index.

In this note, we argue that as volatility spills over from rising US yields, it may be better to hedge a broad EM currency exposure with the euro rather than reducing it.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of the EM currency market in which we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to an EM currency index.

FX Dashboard: Hedge EM Currencies with Euro as Volatility Rises

In this note, we go over the drivers behind the outperformance of the Chilean peso versus other EM currencies and argue that the currency can continue to outperform on the back of rising copper prices.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of the EM currency market in which we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to an EM currency index.

In this note, we go over the drivers behind the outperformance of the Chilean peso versus other EM currencies and argue that the currency can continue to outperform on the back of rising copper prices.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of the EM currency market in which we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to an EM currency index.

FX Dashboard: Chilean Peso Outperforms Against EM but Lags Copper

Chile

The Chilean peso is the official currency of the Republic of Chile.  The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

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CLP (USDCLP CURNCY)

FX Dashboard: Which Currencies to Target in a Carry Trade Environment?

If the dollar moves sideways for the time being, as we expect, then it should lead to a carry trade environment. We identify the best EM currencies...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

FX Dashboard: Does the Indian Rupee Have More Room to Run?

Following the recent rally in the Indian rupee, we assess that there is more upside in the currency but suggest targeting a better entry point as...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

Alpha Bites: Long Chilean Peso Vs Short Australian Dollar

We recommend going long the Chilean peso (CLP) against the Australian dollar (AUD) in a beta-neutral ratio. The Chilean peso has outperformed its...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

FX Dashboard: Hedge EM Currencies with Euro as Volatility Rises

In this note, we argue that as volatility spills over from rising US yields, it may be better to hedge a broad EM currency exposure with the euro...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

FX Dashboard: Chilean Peso Outperforms Against EM but Lags Copper

We go over the drivers behind the outperformance of the Chilean peso versus other EM currencies and argue that the currency can continue to...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)