Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Korea Exchange announced the KOSPI 200, KOSDAQ 150, and KRX 300 rebalance changes today. Lotte Confectionery will be added and Samyang Holdings will be deleted from the KOSPI 200 index.</li>
<li>The rebalances of these Korean indices are regularly updated twice a year. The changes to these indices will be effective starting 9 December. </li>
<li>The potential exclusion candidates for KOSPI 200 in 2023 include K Car, Handsome, HS Enterprise, Zinus, and Hyundai Home Shopping. </li>
</ul>


Korea Exchange announced the KOSPI 200, KOSDAQ 150, and KRX 300 rebalance changes today. Lotte Confectionery will be added and Samyang Holdings will be deleted from the KOSPI 200 index.
The rebalances of these Korean indices are regularly updated twice a year. The changes to these indices will be effective starting 9 December. 
The potential exclusion candidates for KOSPI 200 in 2023 include K Car, Handsome, HS Enterprise, Zinus, and Hyundai Home Shopping. 


KOSPI 200 & KOSDAQ 150 Rebalance Changes + KOSPI 200 & KOSDAQ 150 Exclusion Candidates in 2023

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, we see 11 potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>Most of the potential changes are high probability ones, but there are some stocks that are very close to market cap and liquidity cutoffs.</li>
<li>The impact of passive trading will be much higher on the potential deletes as compared to the potential inclusions, though trade notionals are higher for the potential adds.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, we see 11 potential changes to the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance.
Most of the potential changes are high probability ones, but there are some stocks that are very close to market cap and liquidity cutoffs.
The impact of passive trading will be much higher on the potential deletes as compared to the potential inclusions, though trade notionals are higher for the potential adds.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Churn in IT, Healthcare Stocks

<ul>
<li>With 85% of the review period complete, we see 10 potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>There are a few stocks that are close adds/deletes on market cap and liquidity and could make it into the final list depending on price/volume over the next few weeks.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last month and pre-positioning could continue till the end of the review period.</li>
</ul>


With 85% of the review period complete, we see 10 potential changes to the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance.
There are a few stocks that are close adds/deletes on market cap and liquidity and could make it into the final list depending on price/volume over the next few weeks.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last month and pre-positioning could continue till the end of the review period.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Moving in the Right Direction

<ul>
<li>One third of the way through the review period for the June rebalance, we see 11 potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>One-Way turnover is estimated at 3.88% and the impact on the expected deletions is a lot higher than the impact on the expected inclusions.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last few months. With the potential adds not short sell eligible, there could be more to go here.</li>
</ul>


One third of the way through the review period for the June rebalance, we see 11 potential changes to the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX). 
One-Way turnover is estimated at 3.88% and the impact on the expected deletions is a lot higher than the impact on the expected inclusions.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last few months. With the potential adds not short sell eligible, there could be more to go here.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 2022): Changes Galore Early in the Review Period

<ul>
<li>With over 80% of the averaging in the review period complete, we see 15 potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>11 of the 15 changes are high/medium probability and it will take large moves over the rest of the review period for these stocks to drop out of the list.</li>
<li>Four potential inclusions have more than 3 days of ADV to buy from passives, while nine potential deletions have more than 3 days of ADV to sell from passives.</li>
</ul>


With over 80% of the averaging in the review period complete, we see 15 potential changes to the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the June rebalance.
11 of the 15 changes are high/medium probability and it will take large moves over the rest of the review period for these stocks to drop out of the list.
Four potential inclusions have more than 3 days of ADV to buy from passives, while nine potential deletions have more than 3 days of ADV to sell from passives.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview (June): Potential Inclusions Starting to Outperform

South Korea

CMG Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. develops and markets general pharmaceuticals and healthcare functional pharmaceuticals, and manufactures apparatus used in medical treatments and surgeries.

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Cmg Pharmaceutical (058820 KS)

KOSPI 200 & KOSDAQ 150 Rebalance Changes + KOSPI 200 & KOSDAQ 150 Exclusion Candidates in 2023

Korea Exchange announced the KOSPI 200, KOSDAQ 150, and KRX 300 rebalance changes today. Lotte Confectionery will be added and Samyang Holdings...

Douglas Kim

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Churn in IT, Healthcare Stocks

There could be 11 changes at the Dec rebalance. Most changes are high probability and will result in a big churn in the IT & Healthcare sectors....

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Moving in the Right Direction

There could be 10 changes to the KOSDAQ150 Index in December. There are a few stocks that are close adds/deletes. The potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 2022): Changes Galore Early in the Review Period

One third of the way through the review period, we see 11 potential changes. The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and there...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview (June): Potential Inclusions Starting to Outperform

With 80% of the review period complete, there are 15 potential index changes. The potential inclusions have started to outperform the index and the...

Brian Freitas

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