Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows of China Mobile, Xiaomi, Tencent, China Life, Kuaishou.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight flows of China Mobile, Xiaomi, Tencent, China Life, Kuaishou.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (January): China Mobile, Xiaomi, Tencent

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

Montage Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>As a global leader in fabless IC design, focusing on interconnect solutions for cloud computing and AI infrastructure, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/montage-technology-co-ltd-c827a672-7027-4114-b744-0fc66a5d1d98" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46333:1" rel="noopener">Montage Technology (6809 HK)</a>'s 3-year EPS CAGR will reach 43.2%.</li>
<li>We assess a fair price at HK$147.4, or 45.8x FY26 PER, a 20% premium over <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rambus-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7214:1" rel="noopener">Rambus (RMBS US)</a>, the third-largest player globally. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/montage-technology-co-ltd-c827a672-7027-4114-b744-0fc66a5d1d98" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46333:1" rel="noopener"></a>
</li>
<li>This represents a 37.9% upside, also putting it in line with the average of 28% discount of the H-share IPOs to A-shares since 2025.</li>
</ul>


As a global leader in fabless IC design, focusing on interconnect solutions for cloud computing and AI infrastructure, Montage Technology (6809 HK)'s 3-year EPS CAGR will reach 43.2%.
We assess a fair price at HK$147.4, or 45.8x FY26 PER, a 20% premium over Rambus (RMBS US), the third-largest player globally. 

This represents a 37.9% upside, also putting it in line with the average of 28% discount of the H-share IPOs to A-shares since 2025.


Montage Technology (6809 HK) IPO: Decent Upside Potential

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 170 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 59.2% as of Jan 30th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.7ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, utilities, industrials and offset by energy, real estate, financials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Railway, CNOOC, Ningbo Joyson Electronic, YOFC, Tianqi Lithium, Foshan Haitian Flavouring And Food.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 170 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 59.2% as of Jan 30th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.7ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, utilities, industrials and offset by energy, real estate, financials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Railway, CNOOC, Ningbo Joyson Electronic, YOFC, Tianqi Lithium, Foshan Haitian Flavouring And Food.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 30th): China Railway, CNOOC, Ningbo Joyson Electronic, YOFC, Tianqi Lithium

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen / Equity Capital Markets

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-lead-intelligent-equipmen" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27971:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH)</a>, aims to raise up to US$700m in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>WLIE is a global platform-based intelligent equipment enterprise, offering intelligent equipment and solutions to a wide range of emerging and high-end manufacturing industries.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the recent updates and likely A/H premium.</li>
</ul>



Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH), aims to raise up to US$700m in its H-share listing.
WLIE is a global platform-based intelligent equipment enterprise, offering intelligent equipment and solutions to a wide range of emerging and high-end manufacturing industries.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the recent updates and likely A/H premium.


Aequitas: Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment A/H Listing - PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium

Equity Bottom-Up

GigaDevice Semiconductor  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gigadevice-semiconductor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46238:1" rel="noopener">GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK)</a>'s grey market price of HK$224.8 is 38.8% higher than the IPO price. This means a PER of 53.5x for FY26, simply too stretched for us. </li>
<li>The grey market price represents a 68-77% FY26 PER premium to the most-expensive peers, namely <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microchip-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8788:1" rel="noopener">Microchip Technology (MCHP US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/texas-instruments-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18804:1" rel="noopener">Texas Instruments (TXN US)</a>. </li>
<li>Our fair value range is HK$204-238, based on the HA discount for 2025 IPOs and the current overall HA discount, implying limited upside potential.</li>
</ul>



GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK)'s grey market price of HK$224.8 is 38.8% higher than the IPO price. This means a PER of 53.5x for FY26, simply too stretched for us. 
The grey market price represents a 68-77% FY26 PER premium to the most-expensive peers, namely Microchip Technology (MCHP US) and Texas Instruments (TXN US). 
Our fair value range is HK$204-238, based on the HA discount for 2025 IPOs and the current overall HA discount, implying limited upside potential.


GigaDevice (3986 HK): Its Just Too Demanding

China

CNGR Advanced Material is a globally renowned enterprise specializing in the research, development, production, and sales of advanced energy materials, primarily lithium battery cathode material precursors. Its key products include ternary precursors, cobalt tetroxide, and various nickel-based, cobalt-based, phosphorus-based, and sodium-based materials for new energy vehicles, energy storage, and consumer electronics. The company is headquartered in Tongren, Guizhou, China, and was founded in 2014.

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CNGR Advanced Material (2579 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (January): China Mobile, Xiaomi, Tencent

We estimate inflows to Hong Kong stocks from mainland China to be USD 7.2bn. We highlight big flows for China Mobile (2.2bn outflows), Tencent...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Montage Technology (6809 HK) IPO: Decent Upside Potential

Montage Technology's 3-year EPS CAGR is projected to be 43.2%, with a fair price estimated at HK$147.4, a 20% premium over Rambus. This offers a...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 30th): China Railway, CNOOC, Ningbo Joyson Electronic, YOFC, Tianqi Lithium

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Railway, CNOOC, Ningbo Joyson Electronic, YOFC, Tianqi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas: Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment A/H Listing - PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH), aims to raise up to US$700m in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about the PHIP updates and...

Sumeet Singh

GigaDevice (3986 HK): Its Just Too Demanding

GigaDevice's grey market price is 38.8% higher than IPO, leading to a FY26 PER of 53.5x, with limited upside potential compared to peers, even...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (January): China Mobile, Xiaomi, Tencent

We estimate inflows to Hong Kong stocks from mainland China to be USD 7.2bn. We highlight big flows for China Mobile (2.2bn outflows), Tencent...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Montage Technology (6809 HK) IPO: Decent Upside Potential

​Montage Technology's 3-year EPS CAGR is projected to be 43.2%, with a fair price estimated at HK$147.4, a 20% premium over Rambus. This offers a...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 30th): China Railway, CNOOC, Ningbo Joyson Electronic, YOFC, Tianqi Lithium

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Railway, CNOOC, Ningbo Joyson Electronic, YOFC, Tianqi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas: Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment A/H Listing - PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH), aims to raise up to US$700m in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about the PHIP updates and...

Sumeet Singh

GigaDevice (3986 HK): Its Just Too Demanding

​GigaDevice's grey market price is 38.8% higher than IPO, leading to a FY26 PER of 53.5x, with limited upside potential compared to peers, even...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Montage Technology's 3-year EPS CAGR is projected to be 43.2%, with a fair price estimated at HK$147.4, a 20% premium over Rambus. This offers a...

GigaDevice's grey market price is 38.8% higher than IPO, leading to a FY26 PER of 53.5x, with limited upside potential compared to peers, even...