Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Commonwealth Bank of Australia / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 31st August, published on the 4th September.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$1.2bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.9bn out of "Gold". Net shorts declined A$0.9bn week-on-week.</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/commonwealth-bank-of-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14:1" rel="noopener">Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-australia-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15:1" rel="noopener">National Australia Bank (NAB AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/transurban-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:593:1" rel="noopener">Transurban (TCL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/westpac-banking-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:444:1" rel="noopener">Westpac Banking (WBC AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP (BHP AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 31st August, published on the 4th September.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$1.2bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.9bn out of "Gold". Net shorts declined A$0.9bn week-on-week.
Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA AU), National Australia Bank (NAB AU), Transurban (TCL AU), Westpac Banking (WBC AU), and BHP (BHP AU).


Aussie Shorts [31 Aug 2026]: CBA, NAB, Transurban, Westpac, BHP

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Australia in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on ANZ, CAR, Fortescue, Pro Medicus, BHP, Vicinity Centres Re, Cochlear.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Australia in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on ANZ, CAR, Fortescue, Pro Medicus, BHP, Vicinity Centres Re, Cochlear.


MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Aug): ANZ, CAR, Fortescue, Pro Medicus, BHP, Cochlear

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 2 changes for the ASX50, 1 for the ASX100, 6 for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 and 16 adds/11 deletes for the ASX300 in September.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the ASX200 and ASX300 indices.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few months, but outperformance has reduced for the ASX50/ASX200 indices and has increased for the ASX100/ASX300 indices.</li>
</ul>


There could be 2 changes for the ASX50, 1 for the ASX100, 6 for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 and 16 adds/11 deletes for the ASX300 in September.
Passive trackers will need to trade a lot of stock in the forecast changes, with the impact being especially large for the changes to the ASX200 and ASX300 indices.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few months, but outperformance has reduced for the ASX50/ASX200 indices and has increased for the ASX100/ASX300 indices.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 26): Plenty of Change with Big Flow & Impact

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Key support levels on global equity indexes (EURO STOXX 50, $ACWX, $EFA) are beginning to break as the U.S. dollar (DXY) and 10-year Treasury yield break above $105.70 and 4.35%.</li>
<li>This significantly increases the odds of a break below major $92-$93 support on $ACWI, and we would shift to a more cautious outlook only on a break below $92.</li>
<li>We shifted to overweight value within non-U.S. equities last week, and we are now also shifting to overweight small-caps within non-U.S. equities as well. Buys in Transportation, Communications, and HealthCare</li>
</ul>


Key support levels on global equity indexes (EURO STOXX 50, $ACWX, $EFA) are beginning to break as the U.S. dollar (DXY) and 10-year Treasury yield break above $105.70 and 4.35%.
This significantly increases the odds of a break below major $92-$93 support on $ACWI, and we would shift to a more cautious outlook only on a break below $92.
We shifted to overweight value within non-U.S. equities last week, and we are now also shifting to overweight small-caps within non-U.S. equities as well. Buys in Transportation, Communications, and HealthCare


Supports Starting to Break; Upgrading Non-U.S. Small-Caps to Overweight; Transports/Comm/HC Buys

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 14th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD49.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in CSL, South32, Iress, Computershare, Coles.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 14th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD49.4bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in CSL, South32, Iress, Computershare, Coles.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 14th): CSL, South32, Iress, Computershare, Coles

Australia

Cochlear Limited researches, develops and markets cochlear implant systems for hearing impaired individuals.  The Company's hearing implant systems include Nucleus and Baha and are sold both domestically and internationally.

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Cochlear Ltd (COH AT)

Aussie Shorts [31 Aug 2026]: CBA, NAB, Transurban, Westpac, BHP

The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$1.2bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.9bn out of "Gold". Net...

David Blennerhassett

MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Aug): ANZ, CAR, Fortescue, Pro Medicus, BHP, Cochlear

We analyzed MS-Australia's consensus for Aug 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in ANZ, CAR, Fortescue, Pro Medicus, BHP, Vicinity Centres Re,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 26): Plenty of Change with Big Flow & Impact

There could be 45 changes across the ASX family of indices in Sept. Passive trackers need to trade a lot of stock in many names. Short interest is...

Brian Freitas

Supports Starting to Break; Upgrading Non-U.S. Small-Caps to Overweight; Transports/Comm/HC Buys

Support levels on global indexes (EURO STOXX 50, $ACWX, $EFA) beginning to break as $DXY and 10-year Treasury yield $TNX break above $105.70 and...

Vermilion Research

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 14th): CSL, South32, Iress, Computershare, Coles

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in CSL, South32, Iress, Computershare, Coles.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Aussie Shorts [31 Aug 2026]: CBA, NAB, Transurban, Westpac, BHP

The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$1.2bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.9bn out of "Gold". Net...

David Blennerhassett

MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Aug): ANZ, CAR, Fortescue, Pro Medicus, BHP, Cochlear

We analyzed MS-Australia's consensus for Aug 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in ANZ, CAR, Fortescue, Pro Medicus, BHP, Vicinity Centres Re,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 26): Plenty of Change with Big Flow & Impact

There could be 45 changes across the ASX family of indices in Sept. Passive trackers need to trade a lot of stock in many names. Short interest is...

Brian Freitas

Supports Starting to Break; Upgrading Non-U.S. Small-Caps to Overweight; Transports/Comm/HC Buys

Support levels on global indexes (EURO STOXX 50, $ACWX, $EFA) beginning to break as $DXY and 10-year Treasury yield $TNX break above $105.70 and...

Vermilion Research

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 14th): CSL, South32, Iress, Computershare, Coles

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in CSL, South32, Iress, Computershare, Coles.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 26): Plenty of Change with Big Flow & Impact