Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares Global Healthcare ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>As recently as last week and throughout February/March we have recommended shifting to defensives due to our belief that $93 will cap upside on the $ACWI in 2023.</li>
<li>MSCI ACWI defensive Sectors including Health Care, Utilities, and Consumer Staples are hitting 2+ month RS highs, and are staging bullish price and RS reversals, as are gold miners (GDX-US).</li>
<li>This confirms our belief that now is the time to be tactically overweight defensives. We highlight buys in Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities, with the vast majority from Europe</li>
</ul>


As recently as last week and throughout February/March we have recommended shifting to defensives due to our belief that $93 will cap upside on the $ACWI in 2023.
MSCI ACWI defensive Sectors including Health Care, Utilities, and Consumer Staples are hitting 2+ month RS highs, and are staging bullish price and RS reversals, as are gold miners (GDX-US).
This confirms our belief that now is the time to be tactically overweight defensives. We highlight buys in Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities, with the vast majority from Europe


Defensives Worthy of a Tactical Overweight; Buys in Global Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), EAFE (EFA-US), and EM (EEM-US) are all reversing topside their 2-month downtrends.</li>
<li>Despite this being a bullish short-term development, we still expect $93 to cap upside on the ACWI-US, leaving about 4-5% upside from here (at time of writing)</li>
<li>As a result, we would use any further strength as an opportunity to get more defensive. Actionable Themes: REA-AU, GFL-CA, GFL-US, Consumer Staples, Health Care, and Gold Miners</li>
</ul>


The MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), EAFE (EFA-US), and EM (EEM-US) are all reversing topside their 2-month downtrends.
Despite this being a bullish short-term development, we still expect $93 to cap upside on the ACWI-US, leaving about 4-5% upside from here (at time of writing)
As a result, we would use any further strength as an opportunity to get more defensive. Actionable Themes: REA-AU, GFL-CA, GFL-US, Consumer Staples, Health Care, and Gold Miners


Shift To Defensives as $ACWI Makes Push for $93; Remain Overweight Europe; Opptys in China/HK, Japan

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 23rd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in CBA, Pilbara Minerals, Fortescue Metals, ANZ, NAB.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 23rd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.1bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in CBA, Pilbara Minerals, Fortescue Metals, ANZ, NAB.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 23rd): Short Covering for Banks

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>S&amp;P/ASX 200 gained 14% during 2021, higher than other developed markets in Asia-Pacific. Many healthcare stocks remained resilient to the resurgence of the COVID-19 pandemic and outperformed the broader market.</li>
<li>Despite the recent surge, Australia’s total infection and deaths numbers are lower than many comparable countries. Australian government has so far ruled out the possibility of lock down.</li>
<li>In this insight, we have discussed five high growth ideas, with attractive business model and strong growth opportunities. Despite Omicron, these stocks are expected to continue their strong performance.</li>
</ul>


S&amp;P/ASX 200 gained 14% during 2021, higher than other developed markets in Asia-Pacific. Many healthcare stocks remained resilient to the resurgence of the COVID-19 pandemic and outperformed the broader market.
Despite the recent surge, Australia’s total infection and deaths numbers are lower than many comparable countries. Australian government has so far ruled out the possibility of lock down.
In this insight, we have discussed five high growth ideas, with attractive business model and strong growth opportunities. Despite Omicron, these stocks are expected to continue their strong performance.


Australian Healthcare: High Growth Ideas for 2022

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>CSL aims to raise up to US$4.8bn (A$6.8bn) via a fully underwritten placement, in order to partly fund its acquisition of Vifor Pharma.</li>
<li>The deal has been in the news for a while with CSL recently having to put out a media release to confirm talks.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


CSL aims to raise up to US$4.8bn (A$6.8bn) via a fully underwritten placement, in order to partly fund its acquisition of Vifor Pharma.
The deal has been in the news for a while with CSL recently having to put out a media release to confirm talks.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


CSL Placement - Lage Acquisition, Placement and Accretion, Along with Index Impact

Australia

Cochlear Limited researches, develops and markets cochlear implant systems for hearing impaired individuals.  The Company's hearing implant systems include Nucleus and Baha and are sold both domestically and internationally.

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Cochlear Ltd (COH AU)

Defensives Worthy of a Tactical Overweight; Buys in Global Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities

We have recommended shifting to defensives throughout Feb/March due to our belief that $93 will cap upside on $ACWI. We highlight buys within...

Vermilion Research

Shift To Defensives as $ACWI Makes Push for $93; Remain Overweight Europe; Opptys in China/HK, Japan

$ACWI, $ACWX, $EFA, and $EEM all reversing topside their 2-month downtrends. Despite this bullish short-term development, we still expect $93 to...

Vermilion Research

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 23rd): Short Covering for Banks

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in CBA, Pilbara Minerals, Fortescue Metals, ANZ, NAB.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Australian Healthcare: High Growth Ideas for 2022

Australian equity market is expected to continue its superior performance in 2022. This insight has highlighted five high growth healthcare ideas,...

Tina Banerjee

CSL Placement - Lage Acquisition, Placement and Accretion, Along with Index Impact

CSL aims to raise up to US$4.8bn (A$6.8bn) via a fully underwritten placement, in order to partly fund its acquisition of Vifor Pharma.

Sumeet Singh

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