TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>EPAM is an IT Services firm that does high end software development for Fortune 2000 customers.</li>
<li>One of the great under the radar compounders of all time. Feb 2012 IPO-Feb 2022: ~27% revenue, earnings, FCF CAGR, 45% equity CAGR.</li>
<li>Core engineering talent historically in Ukraine, Belarus, and Russia, this is the overhang. We think great management team can navigate relocation and return to growth.</li>
</ul>


EPAM is an IT Services firm that does high end software development for Fortune 2000 customers.
One of the great under the radar compounders of all time. Feb 2012 IPO-Feb 2022: ~27% revenue, earnings, FCF CAGR, 45% equity CAGR.
Core engineering talent historically in Ukraine, Belarus, and Russia, this is the overhang. We think great management team can navigate relocation and return to growth.


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

A Relationship Beyond Broking

Nirmal Bang, one of the leading stock broking companies in India, caters to retail and institutional clients by offering them a range of financial products and services, including equities, derivatives, commodities, currency derivatives, mutual funds, IPOs, insurance, depository services and PMS.

Nirmal Bang is drawn from a diversity of professional backgrounds, and blend of experience, skill and dedication is shared with its clients. Nirmal Bang emphasizes adequate, thorough research local and world-wide developments, balancing these with the astute discovery of intrinsic values, synergies and growth. The aim is simply to help the investors to maximize their returns.

Cognizant Tech Solutions A / Equity Bottom-Up

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Margins affected by seasonality and labor crunch: In 1QFY22, operating margin came in at 15%, reflecting 20bps decline YoY.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Continued moderation in voluntary attrition: 1QCY22 voluntary attrition moderated a tad bit at 26% on an annualized basis or 29% on LTM basis.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Muted M&amp;A action for now but not from a medium-term perspective: CTS has not reported any acquisition in this quarter and indicated about experiencing a little bit of bumpiness in M&amp;A, with some deals falling out and, in some cases, it has stepped out of deals as it did not match with CTS’ strategy.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Margins affected by seasonality and labor crunch: In 1QFY22, operating margin came in at 15%, reflecting 20bps decline YoY.Continued moderation in voluntary attrition: 1QCY22 voluntary attrition moderated a tad bit at 26% on an annualized basis or 29% on LTM basis.Muted M&amp;A action for now but not from a medium-term perspective: CTS has not reported any acquisition in this quarter and indicated about experiencing a little bit of bumpiness in M&amp;A, with some deals falling out and, in some cases, it has stepped out of deals as it did not match with CTS’ strategy.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tdcx-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34187:1" rel="noopener">TDCX (TDCX US)</a>, which is headquartered in Singapore, is a digital customer experience (CX) solutions provider for innovative technology and other blue-chip companies. </p></div><div><p>At the mid-point of the proposed IPO price range of $16.00-18.00 per ADS, TDCX will have a market cap of $2.4 billion. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the net proceeds are $294.5 million, below the rumoured $400 million raise target. TDCX has received indications of interest worth 2% of the ADSs being offered from the founder, directors and officers. The IPO proceeds will be used to repay $188.0 million of the Credit Suisse facility (related to the acquisition of the founder’s interests in TDCX KY) and to expand into new markets.</p></div><div><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tdcx-ipo-initiation-good-service" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:57442" rel="noopener">TDCX IPO Initiation: Good Service</a>, we stated that in a competitive market, TDCX’s differentiated value-added services are reflected in market share gains, high growth and sector-leading margin. The key risk is the high dependence on two customers, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/facebook-inc-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">Facebook Inc A (FB US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/airbnb-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:431:1" rel="noopener">Airbnb Inc (ABNB US)</a>. This customer risk is partly mitigated by long-standing relationships. We concluded that TDCX’s fundamentals are attractive.</p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>Our valuation analysis suggests that TDCX is attractively valued to its customer experience (CX) centric peers, particularly at the low-end of the IPO price range.  </p></div></div></div>

TDCX (TDCX US), which is headquartered in Singapore, is a digital customer experience (CX) solutions provider for innovative technology and other blue-chip companies. At the mid-point of the proposed IPO price range of $16.00-18.00 per ADS, TDCX will have a market cap of $2.4 billion. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the net proceeds are $294.5 million, below the rumoured $400 million raise target. TDCX has received indications of interest worth 2% of the ADSs being offered from the founder, directors and officers. The IPO proceeds will be used to repay $188.0 million of the Credit Suisse facility (related to the acquisition of the founder’s interests in TDCX KY) and to expand into new markets.In TDCX IPO Initiation: Good Service, we stated that in a competitive market, TDCX’s differentiated value-added services are reflected in market share gains, high growth and sector-leading margin. The key risk is the high dependence on two customers, Facebook Inc A (FB US) and Airbnb Inc (ABNB US). This customer risk is partly mitigated by long-standing relationships. We concluded that TDCX’s fundamentals are attractive.Our valuation analysis suggests that TDCX is attractively valued to its customer experience (CX) centric peers, particularly at the low-end of the IPO price range.  

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tdcx-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34187:1" rel="noopener">TDCX (TDCX US)</a>, which is headquartered in Singapore, is a digital customer experience (CX) solutions provider for innovative technology and other blue-chip companies. TDCX has filed for an NYSE IPO to raise proceeds of $400 million, according to press reports. The IPO proceeds will be used to repay US$188.0 million of the Credit Suisse facility (related to the acquisition of the founder’s interests in TDCX KY) and to expand into new markets.</p><p>The business Support Services (BSS) industry has moved from a focus on cost arbitrage solutions to driving business outcomes and creating value for customers. There remains a significant portion of higher value-added workstreams that remain reliant on human expertise as businesses continue to deal with customers who request more engaging experiences. CX services, which is a subset of the BSS industry, is forecasted to grow 6.6% CAGR from 2021 to 2025 to reach US$100.4 billion in 2025, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>In a competitive market, TDCX’s differentiated value-added services are reflected in market share gains, high growth and sector-leading margin. The key risk is the high dependence on two customers, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/facebook-inc-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">Facebook Inc A (FB US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/airbnb-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:431:1" rel="noopener">Airbnb Inc (ABNB US)</a>. This customer risk is partly mitigated by long-standing relationships. Overall, we believe that TDCX’s fundamentals are attractive.</p></div>

TDCX (TDCX US), which is headquartered in Singapore, is a digital customer experience (CX) solutions provider for innovative technology and other blue-chip companies. TDCX has filed for an NYSE IPO to raise proceeds of $400 million, according to press reports. The IPO proceeds will be used to repay US$188.0 million of the Credit Suisse facility (related to the acquisition of the founder’s interests in TDCX KY) and to expand into new markets.The business Support Services (BSS) industry has moved from a focus on cost arbitrage solutions to driving business outcomes and creating value for customers. There remains a significant portion of higher value-added workstreams that remain reliant on human expertise as businesses continue to deal with customers who request more engaging experiences. CX services, which is a subset of the BSS industry, is forecasted to grow 6.6% CAGR from 2021 to 2025 to reach US$100.4 billion in 2025, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. In a competitive market, TDCX’s differentiated value-added services are reflected in market share gains, high growth and sector-leading margin. The key risk is the high dependence on two customers, Facebook Inc A (FB US) and Airbnb Inc (ABNB US). This customer risk is partly mitigated by long-standing relationships. Overall, we believe that TDCX’s fundamentals are attractive.

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Palantir Technologies  / Equity Capital Markets

<p>Palantir is ready to complete its Direct Public Listing on September 23rd. </p>
<p>Our valuation analysis suggests an implied market cap of $29.7 billion and a target price of $13.7 per share for Palantir (49% higher than the base price of $9.2 per share). The IPO price range is from $11.1 (low) to $16.6 per share (high). Assuming Direct Public Listing (DPL) market cap of $20 billion and diluted shares of 2.17 billion, this suggests $9.2 per share. Given the solid upside, we have a positive view of this DPL.</p>
<p>There are three key positives with Palantir which we believe are likely to outweigh its negatives, leading many investors to value this company at nearly $30 billion.</p>
<ul>
<li>First, we believe the <strong>company's accelerating sales growth</strong> since the launch of its Foundry product in 2017 is likely to be valued highly. The company's sales growth is clearly much higher than its peers in 2020. </li>
<li>
<div class="content-highlight">Second, Palantir has picked a <strong>great time</strong> to complete its public offering with great investors demand high-quality software-related stocks this year.</div>
</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Third, Palantir has been enjoying a noticeable improvement in its operating margins and the company possesses a strong balance sheet. </li>
</ul>

Palantir is ready to complete its Direct Public Listing on September 23rd. 
Our valuation analysis suggests an implied market cap of $29.7 billion and a target price of $13.7 per share for Palantir (49% higher than the base price of $9.2 per share). The IPO price range is from $11.1 (low) to $16.6 per share (high). Assuming Direct Public Listing (DPL) market cap of $20 billion and diluted shares of 2.17 billion, this suggests $9.2 per share. Given the solid upside, we have a positive view of this DPL.
There are three key positives with Palantir which we believe are likely to outweigh its negatives, leading many investors to value this company at nearly $30 billion.

First, we believe the company's accelerating sales growth since the launch of its Foundry product in 2017 is likely to be valued highly. The company's sales growth is clearly much higher than its peers in 2020. 

Second, Palantir has picked a great time to complete its public offering with great investors demand high-quality software-related stocks this year.



Third, Palantir has been enjoying a noticeable improvement in its operating margins and the company possesses a strong balance sheet. 


United States

Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation provides custom Information Technology (IT) consulting and technology services as well as outsourcing services. The Company's core competencies include technology strategy consulting, complex systems development, enterprise software package implementation and maintenance, data warehousing and business intelligence.

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Cognizant Tech Solutions A (CTSH US)

Long Idea: EPAM Systems

EPAM System is one of the great compounders of the past 10 years, with an exceptional management team that will successfully relocate engineering...

Aaron Gabin

Cognizant Technology Solutions

Organic growth upped; Expects QoQ pick-up in attrition in June Qtr. Post 1QCY22, Cognizant Technology Solutions’ (CTS) organic CC revenue growth at 9%

Nirmal Bang

TDCX IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that TDCX is attractively valued to its customer experience (CX) centric peers, particularly at the low-end of the...

Arun George

TDCX IPO Initiation: Good Service

TDCX has filed for an NYSE IPO to raise proceeds of $400m. TDCX’s differentiated value-added services are reflected in market share gains, high...

Arun George

Palantir DPL Valuation Analysis

Our valuation analysis suggests an implied market cap of $29.7 billion and a target price of $13.7 per share for Palantir (49% higher than the base...

Douglas Kim

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